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Denmark vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 52-72
6-29 13-14 16-19 17-10
Position#27
Record9-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game72.2
Denmark
vs
Serbia 🏆
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game62.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Farum Arena
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denmark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A10/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
69-61
69
61
+8
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
60-46
60
46
+14
no box
A22/07
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H26/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
94-81
94
81
+13
no box
H02/08
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
88-63
88
63
+25
no box
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 74
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 74
A26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
18-16
11-18
24-17
20-14
17-18
17-16
10-16
21-15
18-14
12-16
18-16
21-12
14-21
14-26
22-13
18-6
9-17
12-13
21-10
27-16
17-27
25-22
13-10
18-25
26-9
27-21
23-26
24-17
23-11
21-17
20-18
12-23
16-14
22-16
25-16
27-23
31-19
14-30
13-17
146.9Avg total
76.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.272.2149.4+5.156%
Season at home (8)81.271.2152.5+10.075%
Season away (8)73.273.1146.4+0.138%
Last 10 (10)76.570.4146.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)84.875.4160.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.584.5154.0-15.00%
vs Similar (11)72.775.9148.6-3.236%
vs Weaker (15)80.372.5152.8+7.773%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
China
#20
W
105-63
105
63
+42
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
no box
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
115-83
115
83
+32
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
112-79
112
79
+33
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
77-61
77
61
+16
68avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 70
A26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
30-20
22-13
28-16
27-15
30-12
18-31
19-19
30-20
26-19
27-26
32-18
19-23
23-17
20-19
14-19
29-15
27-20
31-18
25-26
24-25
25-13
24-17
14-13
23-15
29-24
23-24
20-23
26-23
21-24
10-22
20-14
17-20
19-14
22-17
19-10
21-12
17-19
22-21
16-11
165.5Avg total
91.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.562.0138.5+14.5100%
Season at home (1)77.061.0138.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)76.063.0139.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.474.1165.5+17.380%
Last 5 (5)82.472.2154.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (6)91.879.8171.7+12.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.474.0159.4+11.478%
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
DenmarkSerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H26/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A22/07
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H02/08
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A05/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A26/02
EuroBasket
73.4Avg total
39.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.777.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.377.6-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.176.6+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.434.073.4+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.881.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.043.878.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (11)34.639.574.2-4.927%-
vs Weaker (15)42.036.878.8+5.280%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#20
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H26/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/02
EuroBasket
85.2Avg total
48.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.236.282.5+10.087%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.138.585.6+8.787%-
Last 30 away (15)45.334.079.3+11.387%-
Last 10 (10)48.836.485.2+12.490%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.882.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (6)48.540.088.5+8.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.435.180.5+10.391%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.5
50.4%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.412.9
60.3%
71.4%12.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀30%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.0
46.2%
50.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.0
28.6%
32.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws33.023.0
69.7%
71.4%23.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denmark
LWWWWWLWLL
Serbia
WWLWWWLWWW
#27
League position
#1
+4.1
Net rating
+25.4
102.2
Offensive rating
108.7
98.2
Defensive rating
83.3
50.3%
Effective FG%
45.0%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
39.8%
21.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
41.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.55
33.5%
3-point %
28.6%
62.7%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 108.7Defence98.2 · 83.3Shooting50.3% · 45.0%3-point %33.5% · 28.6%Ball care21.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds36.1% · 41.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.55Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Denmark   ■ Serbia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denmark wins
0
Serbia wins
No previous meetings.
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24AFinland85-89
23/02/24HGeorgia75-69
05/08/23AKosovo88-63
02/08/23HSwitzerland94-81
26/07/23HKosovo82-75
22/07/23ASwitzerland60-46
26/02/23HSlovakia71-72
23/02/23HNorway69-61
13/11/22ANorth Macedonia71-74 OT
10/11/22ASlovakia70-74
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24AGeorgia76-63
23/02/24HFinland77-61
10/09/23AGermany77-83
08/09/23HCanada95-86
05/09/23ALithuania87-68
03/09/23ADominican Republic112-79
01/09/23HItaly76-78
30/08/23ASouth Sudan115-83
28/08/23APuerto Rico94-77
26/08/23HChina105-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denmark
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game77.281.273.2
Allowed / game72.271.273.1
Point differential+5.1+10.0+0.1
Avg total149.4152.5146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Serbia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.577.076.0
Allowed / game62.061.063.0
Point differential+14.5+16.0+13.0
Avg total138.5138.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia220100%76.562.0+14.5
2 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
3 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
4 France220100%73.562.5+11.0
5 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
6 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
7 Estonia220100%69.564.0+5.5
8 Greece220100%73.068.0+5.0
9 Croatia1210283%84.166.8+17.3
10 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
11 North Macedonia86275%75.165.0+10.1
12 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
13 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
14 Poland85362%78.573.9+4.6
15 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
16 Denmark169756%77.272.2+5.1
17 Bosnia & Herzegovina21150%81.570.0+11.5
18 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
19 Lithuania21150%71.064.5+6.5
20 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
21 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
22 Czech Republic21150%77.077.0+0.0
23 Great Britain21150%90.092.0-2.0
24 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
25 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
26 Sweden21150%77.082.5-5.5
27 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
28 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
29 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
30 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
31 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
32 Georgia31233%74.078.0-4.0
33 Finland31233%77.784.0-6.3
34 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
35 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
36 Cyprus141137%63.480.9-17.4
37 Netherlands2020%83.086.0-3.0
38 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
39 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
40 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denmark613161752
Serbia2914191072
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