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Astros vs Diablos Rojos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 74-91
18-21 20-19 15-27 21-24
Position#2
Record28-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game76.6
Astros
Mexico
vs
Diablos Rojos 🏆
Mexico
Position#4
Record23-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game81.4
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Semi-finals· Arena Astros
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astros v Diablos Rojos
31 Oct 2025
ASTR63
DIAB83
30 Oct 2025
ASTR66
DIAB77
21 Oct 2025
ASTR98
DIAB71
20 Oct 2025
ASTR74
DIAB91
13 Jul 2024
ASTR74
DIAB84
12 Jul 2024
ASTR78
DIAB74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diablos Rojos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
A10/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
100-88
100
88
+12
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A19/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
105-91
105
91
+14
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 86
H10/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 86
H11/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
101-58
101
58
+43
104avg 86
A14/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-18
21-19
25-21
23-25
30-32
25-26
20-24
27-18
31-21
15-20
27-29
20-19
17-19
20-13
21-15
17-18
29-13
28-28
23-24
31-21
30-24
22-27
22-19
33-12
24-22
22-22
22-27
19-19
18-19
25-14
17-22
22-13
22-16
34-23
15-19
26-16
24-12
23-16
28-14
173.3Avg total
93.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.476.6167.1+13.890%
Season at home (16)90.677.1167.7+13.694%
Season away (15)90.276.2166.4+14.087%
Last 10 (10)93.380.0173.3+13.390%
Last 5 (5)95.875.4171.2+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)92.092.0184.0+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diablos RojosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRojos
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A15/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
114-84
114
84
+30
no box
H21/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
84avg 81
H10/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 81
H11/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
84-96
84
96
-12
72avg 81
A14/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
81-65
81
65
+16
84avg 81
A15/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
89-83
89
83
+6
91avg 81
H18/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-26
23-21
23-22
27-27
26-11
33-24
19-18
21-23
37-14
26-20
30-27
15-17
19-22
20-19
19-13
21-19
22-27
26-18
15-19
28-32
21-20
21-16
24-17
15-18
26-23
17-22
20-23
20-27
16-31
23-10
25-28
17-13
27-14
20-11
17-27
29-20
18-30
23-22
19-11
172.3Avg total
89.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)91.381.4172.7+9.970%
Season at home (17)100.581.6182.1+18.982%
Season away (16)81.581.2162.7+0.356%
Last 10 (10)89.982.4172.3+7.580%
Last 5 (5)85.283.0168.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.585.0164.5-5.50%
vs Similar (11)84.984.1169.0+0.855%
vs Weaker (17)93.979.0172.9+14.982%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
AstrosDiablos Rojos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H14/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
61-45
61
45
+16
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H11/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A14/10
LNBP
85.6Avg total
47.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.537.484.0+9.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.038.485.4+8.669%-
Last 30 away (14)46.036.382.3+9.779%-
Last 10 (10)47.837.885.6+10.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.834.884.6+15.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)50.744.094.7+6.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.136.782.8+9.474%-
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diablos RojosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H21/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A14/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A15/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H18/10
LNBP
89.2Avg total
45.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.386.7+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.940.991.8+9.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.682.2-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.689.2+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.689.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.537.076.5+2.5100%-
vs Similar (11)42.343.085.3-0.736%-
vs Weaker (17)48.140.788.8+7.471%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.8
50.6%
50.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.6
39.8%
36.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.611.1
71.2%
74.6%11.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diablos Rojostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diablos Rojos: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
50.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.2
40.3%
36.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.210.8
62.8%
74.6%10.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWWWWWWLW
Diablos Rojos
WWLLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#4
+10.7
Net rating
+2.4
110.7
Offensive rating
114.1
100.0
Defensive rating
111.7
54.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
39.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.8%
3-point %
40.3%
59.2%
Assist %
68.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 114.1Defence100.0 · 111.7Shooting54.0% · 54.9%3-point %39.8% · 40.3%Ball care15.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds26.2% · 39.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Astros   ■ Diablos Rojos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Astros wins
2
Diablos Rojos wins
DateGameScore
10/09/25Diablos Rojos v Astros79-81
09/09/25Diablos Rojos v Astros80-89
17/10/24Diablos Rojos v Astros104-70
16/10/24Diablos Rojos v Astros102-107 OT
14/07/24Astros v Diablos Rojos74-84
13/07/24Astros v Diablos Rojos78-74
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25AHalcones de Xalapa101-58
11/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa93-71
10/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa79-74
28/09/25AAbejas101-83
27/09/25AAbejas105-91
20/09/25AMineros97-83
19/09/25AMineros78-66
14/09/25HFuerza Regia100-88
14/09/25HFuerza Regia98-107
10/09/25ADiablos Rojos81-79
Diablos Rojoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HDorados89-83
15/10/25ADorados81-65
14/10/25ADorados84-96
11/10/25HDorados78-86
10/10/25HDorados94-85
28/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun84-83
27/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun73-71
21/09/25HCorrecaminos114-84
20/09/25HCorrecaminos105-80
15/09/25APanteras97-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWWWWW87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %90%94%87%
Points / game90.490.690.2
Allowed / game76.677.176.2
Point differential+13.8+13.6+14.0
Avg total167.1167.7166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%62%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diablos Rojos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %70%82%56%
Points / game91.3100.581.5
Allowed / game81.481.681.2
Point differential+9.9+18.9+0.3
Avg total172.7182.1162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros3128390%90.476.6+13.8
2 Soles3327682%88.478.7+9.7
3 Fuerza Regia3223972%92.582.1+10.4
4 Diablos Rojos33231070%91.381.4+9.9
5 Mineros34201459%84.682.4+2.3
6 Dorados35201557%85.881.5+4.3
7 Panteras35171849%88.087.0+1.0
8 Halcones de Xalapa34151944%79.680.8-1.1
9 El Calor de Cancun31121939%79.782.7-2.9
10 Correcaminos30111937%84.392.8-8.5
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos3072323%79.488.8-9.4
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1820152174
Diablos Rojos2119272491
← all games of the day
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