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Diablos Rojos vs Dorados Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 78-86
15-18 26-23 17-22 20-23
Position#4
Record21-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game81.2
Diablos Rojos
Mexico
vs
Dorados 🏆
Mexico
Position#6
Record18-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game81.3
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Quarter-finals· Gimnasio Olimpico Juan de la Barrera
Other2025-26
Meetings · Diablos Rojos v Dorados
17 Oct 2025
DIAB89
DORA83
10 Oct 2025
DIAB78
DORA86
09 Oct 2025
DIAB94
DORA85
27 Oct 2024
DIAB80
DORA83
26 Oct 2024
DIAB113
DORA109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diablos Rojos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dorados winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diablos RojosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRojos
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
55-76
55
76
-21
no box
A05/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
H09/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A15/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
114-84
114
84
+30
no box
H21/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
84avg 84
H10/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
8-16
21-19
11-26
23-25
17-14
20-24
20-26
21-15
18-20
19-21
21-25
19-28
29-22
26-18
16-19
23-22
28-26
23-21
23-22
27-27
26-11
33-24
19-18
21-23
37-14
26-20
30-27
15-17
19-22
20-19
19-13
21-19
22-27
26-18
15-19
28-32
21-20
21-16
24-17
169.8Avg total
87.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)92.481.2173.7+11.272%
Season at home (15)102.881.2184.0+21.687%
Season away (14)81.481.3162.6+0.157%
Last 10 (10)87.182.7169.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)94.080.6174.6+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.585.0164.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.583.9169.4+1.662%
vs Weaker (20)96.079.5175.6+16.585%
This opponent (Dorados) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDorados
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
105-74
105
74
+31
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
A15/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H21/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
89-57
89
57
+32
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
131-75
131
75
+56
136avg 98
H03/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
94-91
94
91
+3
86avg 98
H04/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
72avg 98
A10/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
23-29
11-13
20-18
24-14
24-17
27-18
30-25
30-16
19-20
23-15
20-15
17-27
19-19
20-21
17-23
24-19
21-21
21-18
10-26
23-34
21-24
22-16
17-19
28-12
27-14
18-18
16-13
33-18
37-18
28-21
33-18
33-19
18-22
22-22
21-28
32-28
20-21
16-21
17-24
171.2Avg total
91.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.281.3167.5+4.958%
Season at home (16)88.982.8171.6+6.162%
Season away (15)83.379.8163.1+3.553%
Last 10 (10)91.180.1171.2+11.060%
Last 5 (5)96.482.0178.4+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.885.0162.8-7.233%
vs Similar ◀ (5)87.489.2176.6-1.840%
vs Weaker (19)88.378.7167.1+9.668%
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
Diablos RojosDorados
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diablos RojosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A05/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H21/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
LNBP
85.3Avg total
43.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.940.887.6+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.740.793.4+12.187%-
Last 30 away (15)41.040.981.9+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.585.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.442.489.8+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.537.076.5+2.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.841.183.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (20)49.241.090.2+8.270%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H10/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A15/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
55-26
55
26
+29
A28/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
70-36
70
36
+34
H03/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A10/10
LNBP
91.1Avg total
50.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.487.0+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.040.986.9+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)45.141.987.0+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)50.240.991.1+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)54.442.096.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.848.588.3-8.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.045.088.0-2.040%-
vs Weaker (19)48.038.386.3+9.779%-
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Diablos Rojostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diablos Rojos: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.0
55.0%
50.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.014.0
38.9%
36.9%42.0
🏀 Free throws12.08.0
66.7%
74.6%8.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Doradostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dorados: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.725.3
56.7%
50.3%50.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.713.7
46.1%
36.9%41.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.7
70.4%
74.6%12.7
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/3 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Diablos Rojos
WWWWWWWLLL
Dorados
LWWWLLLWWW
#4
League position
#6
+9.0
Net rating
+24.1
121.2
Offensive rating
132.1
112.2
Defensive rating
108.0
56.6%
Effective FG%
61.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
12.9%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.9%
3-point %
46.1%
41.7%
Assist %
61.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 132.1Defence112.2 · 108.0Shooting56.6% · 61.7%3-point %38.9% · 46.1%Ball care15.5% · 12.9%Off. rebounds38.1% · 33.9%Free throws0.16 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Diablos Rojos   ■ Dorados
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Diablos Rojos wins
4
Dorados wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25Diablos Rojos v Dorados94-85
20/07/25Dorados v Diablos Rojos90-110
19/07/25Dorados v Diablos Rojos88-72
01/11/24Dorados v Diablos Rojos90-94
31/10/24Dorados v Diablos Rojos76-77
28/10/24Diablos Rojos v Dorados80-83
27/10/24Diablos Rojos v Dorados113-109 OT
24/08/24Dorados v Diablos Rojos99-84
23/08/24Dorados v Diablos Rojos85-79
Diablos Rojoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HDorados94-85
28/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun84-83
27/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun73-71
21/09/25HCorrecaminos114-84
20/09/25HCorrecaminos105-80
15/09/25APanteras97-91
14/09/25APanteras90-87
10/09/25HAstros79-81
09/09/25HAstros80-89
05/09/25ASoles55-76
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25ADiablos Rojos85-94
04/10/25HGambusinos94-91
03/10/25HGambusinos131-75
28/09/25ASantos89-57
27/09/25ASantos83-93
21/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa76-84
20/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa73-90
15/09/25AFreseros92-66
14/09/25AFreseros105-74
10/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diablos Rojos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeLLWWW87%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %72%87%57%
Points / game92.4102.881.4
Allowed / game81.281.281.3
Point differential+11.2+21.6+0.1
Avg total173.7184.0162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dorados
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %58%62%53%
Points / game86.288.983.3
Allowed / game81.382.879.8
Point differential+4.9+6.1+3.5
Avg total167.5171.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2926390%90.077.5+12.5
2 Soles2925486%88.377.2+11.1
3 Diablos Rojos2921872%92.481.2+11.2
4 Fuerza Regia2921872%93.282.2+11.0
5 Mineros31191261%85.082.1+3.0
6 Dorados31181358%86.281.3+4.9
7 Panteras31151648%87.886.7+1.1
8 Halcones de Xalapa32151747%80.679.8+0.8
9 El Calor de Cancun31121939%79.782.7-2.9
10 Correcaminos30111937%84.392.8-8.5
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos3072323%79.488.8-9.4
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Diablos Rojos1526172078
Dorados1823222386
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