PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dorados vs Gambusinos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 94-91
33-19 18-22 22-22 21-28
Position#6
Record17-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game80.6
Dorados 🏆
Mexico
vs
Gambusinos
Mexico
Position#11
Record10-19
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game89.8
MexicoLNBP· Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dorados v Gambusinos
12 Oct 2026
DORA88
GAMB87
11 Oct 2026
DORA98
GAMB83
11 Aug 2026
DORA91
GAMB77
10 Aug 2026
DORA89
GAMB81
03 Oct 2025
DORA94
GAMB91
02 Oct 2025
DORA131
GAMB75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dorados winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gambusinos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDorados
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#10
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A05/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H09/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
105-74
105
74
+31
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
A15/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H21/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
89-57
89
57
+32
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
131-75
131
75
+56
136avg 136
H03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
25-23
27-18
21-30
21-14
23-20
22-31
24-27
29-17
23-29
11-13
20-18
24-14
24-17
27-18
30-25
30-16
19-20
23-15
20-15
17-27
19-19
20-21
17-23
24-19
21-21
21-18
10-26
23-34
21-24
22-16
17-19
28-12
27-14
18-18
16-13
33-18
37-18
28-21
33-18
171.1Avg total
91.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.080.6166.5+5.459%
Season at home (15)88.582.2170.7+6.360%
Season away (14)83.278.8162.0+4.457%
Last 10 (10)91.879.3171.1+12.560%
Last 5 (5)90.479.8170.2+10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.885.0162.8-7.233%
vs Similar (5)88.489.2177.6-0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.177.6165.7+10.568%
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGambusinos
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A05/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H09/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
85-95
85
95
-10
no box
A15/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H20/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
no box
H21/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
104-85
104
85
+19
no box
H28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
75-131
75
131
-56
68avg 68
A03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
14-26
21-10
20-18
24-18
16-22
25-22
19-26
24-26
15-28
18-17
23-16
23-22
15-31
33-20
17-15
13-27
26-30
28-13
18-25
32-13
20-22
11-15
18-18
19-31
22-27
30-18
17-17
15-19
28-23
20-23
21-13
28-29
25-29
20-12
31-15
18-33
18-37
21-28
18-33
175.1Avg total
84.6Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.089.8173.8-5.834%
Season at home (14)85.287.4172.6-2.236%
Season away (15)82.991.9174.8-9.133%
Last 10 (10)84.690.5175.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)86.491.0177.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)81.693.8175.4-12.218%
vs Similar (6)87.890.3178.2-2.533%
vs Weaker (6)87.077.8164.8+9.283%
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
DoradosGambusinos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A05/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H10/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A15/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
55-26
55
26
+29
A28/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
70-36
70
36
+34
H03/10
LNBP
88.1Avg total
49.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.241.586.7+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.841.687.4+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)44.641.486.0+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)49.139.088.1+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)50.041.291.2+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.848.588.3-8.733%-
vs Similar (5)40.846.487.2-5.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.138.086.1+10.179%-
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A05/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H10/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A14/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A15/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H20/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H21/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H27/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
36-70
36
70
-34
A03/10
LNBP
93.7Avg total
41.4Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.147.788.8-6.631%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.646.689.2-3.936%-
Last 30 away (15)39.748.788.5-9.027%-
Last 10 (10)41.452.393.7-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)45.052.697.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.349.088.3-9.718%-
vs Similar (6)43.749.893.5-6.233%-
vs Weaker (6)43.841.885.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Doradostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dorados: 131.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.034.0
69.4%
50.3%68.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.017.0
53.1%
36.9%51.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
74.6%12.0
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gambusinostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gambusinos: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.0
51.6%
50.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.0
36.0%
36.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
74.6%14.0
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dorados
WWLLLWWWLW
Gambusinos
LWWLWLLLLL
#6
League position
#11
+69.9
Net rating
-69.9
157.9
Offensive rating
88.0
88.0
Defensive rating
157.9
73.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
73.5%
10.6%
Turnover %
27.2%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
15.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
53.1%
3-point %
36.0%
72.5%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence157.9 · 88.0Defence88.0 · 157.9Shooting73.5% · 52.7%3-point %53.1% · 36.0%Ball care10.6% · 27.2%Off. rebounds36.4% · 15.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Dorados   ■ Gambusinos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dorados wins
1
Gambusinos wins
DateGameScore
03/10/25Dorados v Gambusinos131-75
13/07/25Gambusinos v Dorados64-83
12/07/25Gambusinos v Dorados88-80
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HGambusinos131-75
28/09/25ASantos89-57
27/09/25ASantos83-93
21/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa76-84
20/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa73-90
15/09/25AFreseros92-66
14/09/25AFreseros105-74
10/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun83-77
09/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun90-92
05/09/25ACorrecaminos96-85
Gambusinoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25ADorados75-131
28/09/25HFreseros104-85
27/09/25HFreseros84-78
21/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun88-93
20/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun81-68
15/09/25ACorrecaminos85-95
14/09/25ACorrecaminos91-96 OT
10/09/25HPanteras80-87
09/09/25HPanteras84-88
05/09/25AAstros74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dorados
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW59%
HomeLWLLW60%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%60%57%
Points / game86.088.583.2
Allowed / game80.682.278.8
Point differential+5.4+6.3+4.4
Avg total166.5170.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Gambusinos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL34%
HomeLWLWW36%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %34%36%33%
Points / game84.085.282.9
Allowed / game89.887.491.9
Point differential-5.8-2.2-9.1
Avg total173.8172.6174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %14%14%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2825389%90.477.6+12.8
2 Soles2825389%88.977.1+11.8
3 Fuerza Regia2820871%93.682.2+11.4
4 Diablos Rojos2820871%92.481.1+11.3
5 Mineros29181162%84.381.9+2.4
6 Dorados29171259%86.080.6+5.4
7 Halcones de Xalapa29141548%81.680.6+0.9
8 Panteras29131645%87.387.2+0.2
9 El Calor de Cancun29111838%80.683.6-3.0
10 Correcaminos29111838%84.192.2-8.1
11 Gambusinos29101934%84.089.8-5.8
12 Santos2972224%79.188.1-9.0
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dorados3318222194
Gambusinos1922222891
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.