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Santos vs Dorados Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 57-89
12-28 14-27 18-18 13-16
Position#12
Record7-20
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Dorados 🏆
Mexico
Position#6
Record15-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game81.6
MexicoLNBP· Auditorio Miguel Barragán
Other2025-26
Meetings · Santos v Dorados
25 Aug 2026
SANT94
DORA102
24 Aug 2026
SANT87
DORA63
27 Sep 2025
SANT57
DORA89
26 Sep 2025
SANT93
DORA83
24 Oct 2024
SANT85
DORA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dorados winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
H23/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A04/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
65-96
65
96
-31
A05/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H09/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H10/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H19/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H27/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
13-24
23-21
17-28
25-23
21-19
20-22
17-23
15-29
13-16
16-26
21-25
23-19
27-27
18-25
17-16
23-20
24-27
22-14
17-22
26-19
21-19
23-11
17-25
18-20
11-19
21-30
10-21
21-10
19-22
22-19
25-18
16-18
18-15
20-24
24-14
34-23
24-21
16-22
19-17
162.9Avg total
79.5Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.088.0168.0-7.926%
Season at home (13)85.486.8172.2-1.446%
Season away (14)75.189.1164.1-14.07%
Last 10 (10)79.583.4162.9-3.950%
Last 5 (5)81.077.4158.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.190.5167.7-13.414%
vs Similar (6)89.786.3176.0+3.350%
vs Weaker (2)82.570.0152.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H24/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A04/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A05/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H09/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H10/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
105-74
105
74
+31
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
92-66
92
66
+26
A15/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H20/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H21/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A27/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
24-11
14-25
20-17
9-22
28-21
19-23
21-21
23-14
25-23
27-18
21-30
21-14
23-20
22-31
24-27
29-17
23-29
11-13
20-18
24-14
24-17
27-18
30-25
30-16
19-20
23-15
20-15
17-27
19-19
20-21
17-23
24-19
21-21
21-18
10-26
23-34
21-24
22-16
17-19
169.3Avg total
86.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.281.6165.8+2.656%
Season at home (14)85.582.7168.2+2.857%
Season away (13)82.880.5163.2+2.354%
Last 10 (10)86.782.6169.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)85.881.4167.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.885.0162.8-7.233%
vs Similar (7)85.986.1172.0-0.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.578.9164.5+6.665%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
SantosDorados
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H23/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A05/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H09/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H19/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H27/09
LNBP
82.1Avg total
41.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.246.887.0-6.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.546.590.0-3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.347.184.4-9.812%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.182.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.278.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.247.785.9-9.514%-
vs Similar (6)48.548.396.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)37.032.569.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H24/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A05/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H10/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A14/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A15/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/09
LNBP
86.8Avg total
46.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.386.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.185.9+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.686.8+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)46.140.786.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.286.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.848.588.3-8.733%-
vs Similar (7)41.745.687.3-3.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.438.885.2+7.676%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Santos wins
6
Dorados wins
DateGameScore
27/09/25Santos v Dorados93-83
06/07/25Dorados v Santos87-85 OT
05/07/25Dorados v Santos90-69
25/10/24Santos v Dorados85-97
22/10/24Dorados v Santos72-83
20/10/24Dorados v Santos106-71
10/08/24Dorados v Santos82-86
09/08/24Dorados v Santos85-82
28/10/23Dorados v Santos77-97
27/10/23Dorados v Santos96-84
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HDorados93-83
20/09/25HFreseros78-71
19/09/25HFreseros87-69
14/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun60-90
14/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun87-74
10/09/25HCorrecaminos86-83
09/09/25HCorrecaminos85-87
05/09/25APanteras65-96
04/09/25APanteras83-87
23/08/25HAstros71-94
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ASantos83-93
21/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa76-84
20/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa73-90
15/09/25AFreseros92-66
14/09/25AFreseros105-74
10/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun83-77
09/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun90-92
05/09/25ACorrecaminos96-85
04/09/25ACorrecaminos77-87
24/08/25HPanteras92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Santos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW26%
HomeLWWWW46%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %26%46%7%
Points / game80.085.475.1
Allowed / game88.086.889.1
Point differential-7.9-1.4-14.0
Avg total168.0172.2164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Dorados
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWLWLL57%
AwayLWWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%57%54%
Points / game84.285.582.8
Allowed / game81.682.780.5
Point differential+2.6+2.8+2.3
Avg total165.8168.2163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2724389%90.077.4+12.6
2 Soles2724389%89.477.7+11.8
3 Fuerza Regia2820871%93.682.2+11.4
4 Diablos Rojos2719870%92.781.0+11.7
5 Mineros27171063%84.881.8+3.0
6 Dorados27151256%84.281.6+2.6
7 Halcones de Xalapa27131448%82.281.9+0.3
8 Panteras27111641%87.388.5-1.3
9 El Calor de Cancun27111641%81.683.6-2.0
10 Correcaminos28111739%84.592.4-7.9
11 Gambusinos2791833%83.688.4-4.8
12 Santos2772026%80.088.0-7.9
13 Abejas2752219%78.290.4-12.2
14 Freseros2742315%74.291.4-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Santos1214181357
Dorados2827181689
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