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Freseros vs Dorados Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-92
16-30 20-19 15-23 15-20
Position#14
Record4-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Dorados 🏆
Mexico
Position#6
Record14-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game81.3
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2025-26
Meetings · Freseros v Dorados
07 Oct 2026
FRES77
DORA105
06 Oct 2026
FRES85
DORA105
14 Sep 2025
FRES66
DORA92
13 Sep 2025
FRES74
DORA105
22 Sep 2024
FRES68
DORA76
21 Sep 2024
FRES98
DORA76
04 Nov 2023
FRES90
DORA87
03 Nov 2023
FRES106
DORA105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dorados winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
H09/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A15/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A16/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
85-101
85
101
-16
H22/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H23/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A04/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
64-104
64
104
-40
A05/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H09/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H10/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
74-105
74
105
-31
H14/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
25-31
22-29
18-23
17-24
18-25
20-30
11-15
16-22
21-26
21-19
31-26
16-20
23-28
14-28
32-25
20-20
21-33
29-19
16-15
20-22
20-22
26-27
17-20
15-29
19-20
17-35
13-20
24-27
23-19
15-20
14-24
30-18
29-25
14-27
21-14
14-24
17-24
18-27
25-30
175.0Avg total
79.9Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.792.5167.3-17.817%
Season at home (13)77.088.3165.3-11.323%
Season away (10)71.898.0169.8-26.210%
Last 10 (10)79.995.1175.0-15.210%
Last 5 (5)78.294.8173.0-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)76.993.5170.4-16.619%
vs Similar (2)100.077.5177.5+22.550%
vs Weaker (1)88.089.0177.0-1.00%
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H10/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
68-103
68
103
-35
A16/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H23/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H24/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A04/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A05/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H09/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H10/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
105-74
105
74
+31
A14/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
25-17
19-17
20-16
15-31
16-33
22-14
15-25
14-26
26-15
23-20
13-20
18-17
18-15
22-21
28-14
34-25
24-11
14-25
20-17
9-22
28-21
19-23
21-21
23-14
25-23
27-18
21-30
21-14
23-20
22-31
24-27
29-17
23-29
11-13
20-18
24-14
24-17
27-18
30-25
167.8Avg total
85.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.781.3166.1+3.461%
Season at home (12)87.382.0169.3+5.367%
Season away (11)81.980.6162.5+1.355%
Last 10 (10)85.882.0167.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)90.283.0173.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.885.0162.8-7.233%
vs Similar (8)88.889.5178.2-0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.878.0165.8+9.875%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
FreserosDorados
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H09/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A15/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A16/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H22/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H23/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A04/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A05/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H10/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H14/09
LNBP
88.3Avg total
40.5Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.247.187.4-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.145.286.4-4.131%-
Last 30 away (14)39.249.388.5-10.114%-
Last 10 (10)40.547.888.3-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.088.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.847.787.6-7.922%-
vs Similar (2)51.043.094.0+8.050%-
vs Weaker (1)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A16/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/08
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H24/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A05/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H10/09
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A14/09
LNBP
84.7Avg total
44.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.541.986.4+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.141.286.4+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.686.5+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.784.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.284.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.848.588.3-8.733%-
vs Similar (8)41.946.988.8-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.636.984.6+10.788%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Freseros wins
4
Dorados wins
DateGameScore
14/09/25Freseros v Dorados74-105
23/09/24Freseros v Dorados68-76
22/09/24Freseros v Dorados98-76
05/11/23Freseros v Dorados90-87
04/11/23Freseros v Dorados106-105 OT
20/08/23Dorados v Freseros80-66
20/08/23Dorados v Freseros77-75
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/25HDorados74-105
10/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa94-84
09/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa76-90
05/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun64-104
04/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun83-91
23/08/25HCorrecaminos86-87
22/08/25HCorrecaminos85-101
16/08/25APanteras89-93
15/08/25APanteras66-94
09/08/25HAstros82-102
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/25AFreseros105-74
10/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun83-77
09/09/25HEl Calor de Cancun90-92
05/09/25ACorrecaminos96-85
04/09/25ACorrecaminos77-87
24/08/25HPanteras92-78
23/08/25HPanteras86-67
17/08/25AAstros76-81
16/08/25AAstros68-103
10/08/25HSoles85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLLWL23%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %17%23%10%
Points / game74.777.071.8
Allowed / game92.588.398.0
Point differential-17.8-11.3-26.2
Avg total167.3165.3169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dorados
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%67%55%
Points / game84.787.381.9
Allowed / game81.382.080.6
Point differential+3.4+5.3+1.3
Avg total166.1169.3162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2421388%89.577.1+12.5
2 Soles2421388%88.777.4+11.3
3 Fuerza Regia2416867%92.682.5+10.1
4 Mineros2416867%85.681.7+3.9
5 Diablos Rojos2315865%91.981.0+11.0
6 Dorados2314961%84.781.3+3.4
7 Panteras23111248%88.687.9+0.7
8 Halcones de Xalapa23111248%82.182.4-0.3
9 Correcaminos23101343%84.389.9-5.7
10 El Calor de Cancun24101442%82.183.9-1.8
11 Gambusinos2371630%83.489.3-5.8
12 Abejas2341917%76.788.7-12.1
13 Freseros2341917%74.792.5-17.8
14 Santos2442017%79.389.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros1620151566
Dorados3019232092
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