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Geelong vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 72-66
19-20 18-21 18-19 17-6
Position#11
Record5-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game86.6
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#13
Record7-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Geelong v Melbourne Tigers
31 May 2025
GEEL89
MELB86
15 Jun 2024
GEEL72
MELB66
30 Jun 2023
GEEL71
MELB72
15 May 2021
GEEL90
MELB66
15 Jul 2017
GEEL100
MELB72
13 Aug 2016
GEEL115
MELB93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A27/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A05/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H11/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A12/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H18/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
83-115
83
115
-32
A19/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H25/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A31/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A02/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
19-21
23-20
21-21
10-18
28-19
23-36
20-20
14-28
17-17
23-20
15-18
19-24
18-21
16-23
21-17
20-22
15-23
21-13
28-23
17-20
16-19
23-25
31-22
20-26
20-28
17-31
26-30
22-26
24-19
15-18
20-26
20-19
19-25
20-12
25-21
11-19
22-23
15-36
22-14
166.6Avg total
78.7Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.586.6166.1-7.136%
Season at home (6)78.584.2162.7-5.733%
Season away (8)80.288.5168.8-8.238%
Last 10 (10)78.787.9166.6-9.230%
Last 5 (5)81.091.8172.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.388.0169.3-6.750%
vs Similar ◀ (8)89.286.5175.8+2.850%
vs Weaker (12)87.684.6172.2+3.042%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A20/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A21/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H27/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A04/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A10/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A11/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H18/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A25/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H01/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H06/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
17-21
25-29
23-16
30-17
18-20
26-17
15-25
24-22
24-13
17-24
24-22
22-20
19-15
15-25
15-25
15-17
18-20
22-25
8-19
28-19
21-17
16-10
19-28
14-24
22-20
20-23
24-11
14-20
25-18
26-15
19-25
24-15
12-22
14-25
19-20
21-28
20-16
19-22
24-13
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.082.4160.4-4.450%
Season at home (8)75.983.0158.9-7.138%
Season away (6)80.881.7162.5-0.867%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.370%
Last 5 (5)80.278.2158.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.186.6165.7-7.541%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.183.3167.4+0.844%
vs Weaker (4)85.277.2162.5+8.0100%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
GeelongMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H11/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A19/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/06
NBL1 South
79.5Avg total
36.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.485.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.844.886.6-3.138%-
Last 30 away (17)41.642.283.8-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.379.5-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.883.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.244.282.4-6.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.243.585.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker (12)44.242.686.8+1.658%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H27/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A10/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A11/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H18/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H06/06
NBL1 South
80.8Avg total
41.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.183.1-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.643.484.0-2.729%-
Last 30 away (13)41.440.581.9+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.180.8+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.880.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.544.083.5-4.535%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.441.786.1+2.856%-
vs Weaker (4)39.235.274.5+4.050%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Geelong wins
2
Melbourne Tigers wins
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/24AEltham70-92
31/05/24AMt Gambier84-77
25/05/24HNW Tasmania81-89
19/05/24AFrankston83-115
18/05/24HNunawading87-86
12/05/24ARingwood84-81
11/05/24HSandringham Sabres74-85
05/05/24AKilsyth69-83
04/05/24HMt Gambier81-93
27/04/24ADandenong74-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/24HCasey Cavaliers84-79
01/06/24HKeilor Thunder69-82
25/05/24ANunawading84-78
18/05/24HBallarat80-78
11/05/24ANW Tasmania84-74
10/05/24AHobart Chargers63-81
04/05/24ASandringham Sabres71-85
27/04/24HEltham89-81
21/04/24ADiamond Valley89-79
20/04/24AWaverley94-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game79.578.580.2
Allowed / game86.684.288.5
Point differential-7.1-5.7-8.2
Avg total166.1162.7168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLWWLW38%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%38%67%
Points / game78.075.980.8
Allowed / game82.483.081.7
Point differential-4.4-7.1-0.8
Avg total160.4158.9162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat1310377%92.883.8+9.0
2 Sandringham Sabres1511473%93.779.9+13.7
3 Mt Gambier1410471%87.981.0+6.9
4 Dandenong1510567%87.082.5+4.5
5 Waverley149564%93.286.5+6.7
6 Hobart Chargers159660%81.180.4+0.7
7 Keilor Thunder159660%88.692.3-3.7
8 Frankston137654%91.585.0+6.5
9 Knox147750%93.286.1+7.1
10 Eltham147750%88.483.1+5.3
11 Nunawading147750%86.284.6+1.6
12 Melbourne Tigers147750%78.082.4-4.4
13 NW Tasmania146843%82.390.4-8.1
14 Bendigo Braves156940%79.585.5-6.1
15 Ringwood1661038%85.689.6-3.9
16 Geelong145936%79.586.6-7.1
17 Diamond Valley134931%85.595.2-9.7
18 Kilsyth1431121%78.689.3-10.6
19 Casey Cavaliers1421214%79.487.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1918181772
Melbourne Tigers202119666
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