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Ballarat vs Diamond Valley Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 May 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 99-96
24-24 19-25 21-25 35-22
Position#5
Record8-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#18
Record2-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game97.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Ballarat v Diamond Valley
11 May 2025
BALL104
DIAM94
26 May 2024
BALL99
DIAM96
09 Jul 2023
BALL105
DIAM87
06 Aug 2022
BALL79
DIAM101
29 Jun 2019
BALL79
DIAM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
112-81
112
81
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A12/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
H25/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
25-18
19-23
17-22
30-28
23-26
26-20
26-20
32-14
28-23
24-31
28-13
26-29
27-31
23-17
19-21
19-14
21-23
23-25
25-17
33-21
22-15
28-20
30-27
20-24
32-19
17-23
26-16
22-16
20-19
17-19
21-14
24-14
20-22
23-20
11-24
13-20
16-17
27-21
20-18
176.6Avg total
93.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)93.783.5177.2+10.373%
Season at home (5)94.483.2177.6+11.280%
Season away (6)93.283.7176.8+9.567%
Last 10 (10)93.483.2176.6+10.270%
Last 5 (5)91.079.8170.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)88.793.7182.3-5.044%
vs Similar (9)95.495.9191.3-0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.585.0179.5+9.567%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
L
73-109
73
109
-36
A06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
106-110
106
110
-4
H09/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A11/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
80-104
80
104
-24
H20/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H21/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
72-101
72
101
-29
H27/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A04/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
99-91
99
91
+8
A11/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H18/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A25/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-44
16-23
17-19
20-23
20-26
25-23
28-36
33-25
23-24
19-25
18-24
14-19
19-25
30-24
13-32
18-23
17-30
20-18
17-26
25-15
18-22
15-23
22-31
17-25
18-21
26-25
17-23
30-19
25-25
26-26
27-18
21-22
29-18
12-23
18-21
18-26
25-18
19-25
19-41
22-14
180.6Avg total
83.6Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.697.0180.6-13.420%
Season at home (5)82.898.4181.2-15.60%
Season away (5)84.495.6180.0-11.240%
Last 10 (10)83.697.0180.6-13.420%
Last 5 (5)84.893.2178.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)81.696.4177.9-14.819%
vs Similar (9)88.786.2174.9+2.467%
vs Weaker (5)95.288.2183.4+7.080%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
BallaratDiamond Valley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/05
NBL1 South
88.2Avg total
47.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.492.4+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.344.793.0+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)46.045.991.9+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)47.141.188.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.481.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)47.347.394.7+0.033%-
vs Similar (9)47.045.692.6+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.943.890.7+3.258%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
L
36-67
36
67
-31
A06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H09/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A04/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A11/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H18/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/05
NBL1 South
91.0Avg total
42.2Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.948.090.9-5.123%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.144.388.4-0.129%-
Last 30 away (16)41.851.293.0-9.419%-
Last 10 (10)42.248.891.0-6.610%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.287.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.449.689.1-10.212%-
vs Similar (9)44.149.093.1-4.911%-
vs Weaker (5)51.840.892.6+11.080%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ballarat wins
2
Diamond Valley wins
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24HKnox89-86 OT
18/05/24AMelbourne Tigers78-80
12/05/24AKilsyth80-68
11/05/24HEltham95-82
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder113-83
27/04/24AHobart Chargers88-79
26/04/24ANW Tasmania95-98
20/04/24HRingwood112-81
14/04/24AMt Gambier105-94
07/04/24HGeelong79-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24ABendigo Braves85-98
18/05/24HDandenong77-88
11/05/24ARingwood99-91
04/05/24ANunawading91-88
27/04/24HKnox72-101
21/04/24HMelbourne Tigers79-89
20/04/24HSandringham Sabres80-104
11/04/24AFrankston74-92
09/04/24HKeilor Thunder106-110
06/04/24AEltham73-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game93.794.493.2
Allowed / game83.583.283.7
Point differential+10.3+11.2+9.5
Avg total177.2177.6176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL20%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%0%40%
Points / game83.682.884.4
Allowed / game97.098.495.6
Point differential-13.4-15.6-11.2
Avg total180.6181.2180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier129375%89.482.2+7.2
2 Ballarat118373%93.783.5+10.3
3 Dandenong149564%86.382.1+4.2
4 Sandringham Sabres117464%92.581.9+10.5
5 Waverley117464%90.984.8+6.1
6 Keilor Thunder138562%91.095.0-4.0
7 Hobart Chargers127558%81.781.1+0.6
8 Frankston116555%92.185.3+6.8
9 Eltham116555%90.183.7+6.4
10 Knox126650%93.185.7+7.4
11 Nunawading126650%85.383.6+1.8
12 Melbourne Tigers126650%78.282.8-4.5
13 NW Tasmania126650%83.588.4-4.9
14 Bendigo Braves136746%80.986.0-5.1
15 Ringwood146843%86.788.7-2.0
16 Geelong124833%79.987.0-7.1
17 Kilsyth1331023%78.288.5-10.3
18 Diamond Valley102820%83.697.0-13.4
19 Casey Cavaliers1221017%79.687.2-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat2419213599
Diamond Valley2425252296
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