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Geelong vs Casey Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 88-77
20-18 21-23 30-22 17-14
Position#11
Record8-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.6
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#19
Record3-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game89.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Geelong v Casey Cavaliers
12 Jul 2025
GEEL71
CASE77
28 Jun 2024
GEEL88
CASE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H11/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A12/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H18/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
83-115
83
115
-32
A19/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H25/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A31/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A02/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H22/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A23/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
18-21
16-23
21-17
20-22
15-23
21-13
28-23
17-20
16-19
23-25
31-22
20-26
20-28
17-31
26-30
22-26
24-19
15-18
20-26
20-19
19-25
20-12
25-21
11-19
22-23
15-36
22-14
19-20
18-21
18-19
17-6
23-25
24-21
17-26
23-13
18-21
18-23
19-20
20-10
164.7Avg total
79.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.284.6163.8-5.447%
Season at home (8)78.882.0160.8-3.250%
Season away (9)79.786.9166.6-7.244%
Last 10 (10)79.785.0164.7-5.360%
Last 5 (5)77.678.8156.4-1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.388.0169.3-6.750%
vs Similar (10)86.985.3172.2+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.086.1172.1-0.130%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
83-107
83
107
-24
A04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H11/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A18/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H19/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
H25/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A06/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H07/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
71-100
71
100
-29
H15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
68-110
68
110
-42
H16/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A22/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
20-23
20-24
22-36
20-26
12-24
12-18
25-19
20-29
22-17
13-13
9-22
14-26
16-23
26-13
14-20
25-17
25-24
17-28
23-21
28-21
16-20
22-19
13-24
22-29
15-18
26-26
14-19
22-25
14-20
24-25
11-30
18-32
24-22
13-23
13-33
19-29
24-15
30-17
22-26
170.3Avg total
77.4Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.189.4168.5-10.318%
Season at home (8)74.693.1167.8-18.50%
Season away (9)83.186.1169.2-3.033%
Last 10 (10)77.492.9170.3-15.510%
Last 5 (5)78.094.6172.6-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.989.9166.8-13.017%
vs Similar (6)77.780.7158.3-3.017%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -8.4-8.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -8.4-8.4
GeelongCasey Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H11/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A19/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/06
NBL1 South
82.8Avg total
38.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.485.6-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.844.786.5-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.184.7-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.344.582.8-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.481.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.244.282.4-6.020%-
vs Similar (10)42.244.786.9-2.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.244.287.4-1.050%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H11/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H19/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H25/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A06/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/06
NBL1 South
86.1Avg total
39.7Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.582.8-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.945.383.2-7.527%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.782.5-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.746.486.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.286.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.844.682.3-6.829%-
vs Similar (6)40.544.384.8-3.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Geelong wins
2
Casey Cavaliers wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Casey Cavaliers v Geelong90-63
14/08/22Casey Cavaliers v Geelong100-95
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24ANunawading75-74
22/06/24HHobart Chargers87-85
15/06/24HMelbourne Tigers72-66
02/06/24AEltham70-92
31/05/24AMt Gambier84-77
25/05/24HNW Tasmania81-89
19/05/24AFrankston83-115
18/05/24HNunawading87-86
12/05/24ARingwood84-81
11/05/24HSandringham Sabres74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/24AWaverley95-87
16/06/24HKnox68-110
15/06/24HEltham71-100
07/06/24HNunawading77-92
06/06/24AMelbourne Tigers79-84
25/05/24HHobart Chargers98-99 OT
19/05/24HMt Gambier70-82
18/05/24ABendigo Braves64-81
11/05/24HKilsyth69-87
04/05/24AKnox83-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW47%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game79.278.879.7
Allowed / game84.682.086.9
Point differential-5.4-3.2-7.2
Avg total163.8160.8166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%0%33%
Points / game79.174.683.1
Allowed / game89.493.186.1
Point differential-10.3-18.5-3.0
Avg total168.5167.8169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sandringham Sabres1713476%94.679.9+14.6
2 Mt Gambier1713476%88.980.4+8.6
3 Ballarat1712571%92.685.8+6.8
4 Dandenong1711665%86.584.2+2.4
5 Keilor Thunder1711665%89.290.5-1.3
6 Waverley1710759%93.288.3+4.9
7 Frankston169756%91.885.8+6.1
8 Knox1810856%94.284.2+10.0
9 Nunawading179853%86.984.2+2.7
10 Hobart Chargers179853%80.681.7-1.1
11 Eltham168850%89.483.1+6.2
12 Geelong178947%79.284.6-5.4
13 NW Tasmania1881044%82.890.3-7.5
14 Melbourne Tigers1771041%75.281.7-6.5
15 Bendigo Braves1761135%79.487.7-8.4
16 Ringwood1961332%84.989.5-4.6
17 Diamond Valley1751229%85.394.3-9.0
18 Kilsyth1641225%78.786.5-7.8
19 Casey Cavaliers1731418%79.189.4-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong2021301788
Casey Cavaliers1823221477
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