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Diamond Valley vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 85-77
26-15 18-19 24-23 17-20
Position#19
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game94.9
vs
Position#18
Record5-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game88.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Diamond Valley v NW Tasmania
29 Jun 2025
DIAM85
NW T77
02 Jul 2023
DIAM97
NW T85
14 Jul 2019
DIAM104
NW T90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
H03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
88-104
88
104
-16
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
98-68
98
68
+30
A24/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A09/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
67-102
67
102
-35
H14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
94-110
94
110
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A27/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
26-25
25-11
23-23
25-30
18-25
21-16
23-16
29-20
31-20
17-34
17-30
22-26
19-27
23-22
24-29
22-26
23-10
23-14
30-18
26-24
18-22
15-19
22-27
15-38
32-7
19-25
14-26
14-24
25-25
12-27
16-26
19-35
27-24
29-27
19-24
20-24
21-23
16-26
19-23
184.5Avg total
87.5Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.494.9179.3-10.425%
Season at home (7)78.794.9173.6-16.114%
Season away (9)88.994.9183.8-6.033%
Last 10 (10)87.597.0184.5-9.520%
Last 5 (5)79.699.2178.8-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)84.095.1179.1-11.222%
vs Similar (7)88.987.7176.6+1.143%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A04/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H10/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H17/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
87-107
87
107
-20
H24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A30/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
97-85
97
85
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H21/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A28/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
19-15
21-24
21-26
18-25
12-22
21-14
27-20
13-29
20-19
17-11
21-25
29-26
19-21
21-24
20-19
13-31
23-21
23-28
28-27
25-27
27-23
10-23
23-23
16-26
24-27
18-26
24-23
30-16
19-21
22-22
26-26
20-20
28-12
23-24
26-30
20-25
20-20
16-21
27-32
177.9Avg total
85.9Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.988.9175.8-2.031%
Season at home (8)87.185.5172.6+1.638%
Season away (8)86.692.2178.9-5.625%
Last 10 (10)85.992.0177.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)88.893.4182.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.491.4173.8-9.021%
vs Similar (10)87.381.8169.1+5.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
Diamond ValleyNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A26/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A09/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A21/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A27/06
NBL1 South
92.4Avg total
44.3Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.846.388.1-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.444.984.3-5.621%-
Last 30 away (16)44.047.491.4-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.348.192.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.449.292.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)41.447.188.5-5.726%-
vs Similar (7)43.143.686.7-0.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H10/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H17/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/06
NBL1 South
87.6Avg total
42.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.845.186.9-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.743.487.1+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)40.446.486.8-6.118%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.287.6-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.489.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.546.688.1-5.132%-
vs Similar (10)42.142.484.5-0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Diamond Valley wins
3
NW Tasmania wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25AMt Gambier76-96
21/06/25AGeelong94-110
14/06/25HSandringham Sabres67-102
09/06/25AWaverley80-96
31/05/25AEltham81-92
24/05/25ABendigo Braves98-68
17/05/25HKilsyth88-104
11/05/25ABallarat94-104
03/05/25HEltham100-104 OT
26/04/25ACasey Cavaliers97-94 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25AMelbourne Tigers83-98
21/06/25HKnox97-86
15/06/25AGeelong97-85
14/06/25ACasey Cavaliers82-102
30/05/25AHobart Chargers85-96
24/05/25HRingwood87-107
17/05/25HEltham89-90
10/05/25HNunawading71-84
04/05/25ABallarat78-81
03/05/25AFrankston90-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %25%14%33%
Points / game84.478.788.9
Allowed / game94.994.994.9
Point differential-10.4-16.1-6.0
Avg total179.3173.6183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %12%14%11%
NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL31%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game86.987.186.6
Allowed / game88.985.592.2
Point differential-2.0+1.6-5.6
Avg total175.8172.6178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1814478%91.382.9+8.3
2 Mt Gambier1711665%96.685.7+10.9
3 Melbourne Tigers1610662%87.880.4+7.4
4 Casey Cavaliers1610662%89.484.5+4.9
5 Hobart Chargers169756%87.283.9+3.2
6 Sandringham Sabres169756%92.591.2+1.3
7 Ballarat169756%87.793.9-6.2
8 Kilsyth1810856%87.285.4+1.8
9 Ringwood179853%95.990.2+5.6
10 Waverley179853%93.094.4-1.4
11 Frankston168850%91.687.6+4.1
12 Eltham168850%86.686.5+0.1
13 Nunawading168850%85.986.6-0.8
14 Bendigo Braves1881044%85.493.7-8.3
15 Geelong1771041%83.788.6-4.9
16 Keilor Thunder1661038%82.689.2-6.6
17 NW Tasmania1651131%86.988.9-2.0
18 Diamond Valley1641225%84.494.9-10.4
19 Dandenong1631319%88.296.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Diamond Valley2618241785
NW Tasmania1519232077
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