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Dinamo Zagreb vs Zadar Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record8-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game66.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 16· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar
15 Jan 2027
DINA v ZAD
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
DINA71
ZAD107
13 Apr 2025
DINA78
ZAD100
29 Nov 2024
DINA58
ZAD64
16 May 2024
DINA67
ZAD78
05 Apr 2024
DINA81
ZAD96
26 Nov 2023
DINA65
ZAD78
13 May 2023
DINA77
ZAD76
04 Nov 2022
DINA87
ZAD97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Kastela
#13
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 77
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
104avg 77
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 77
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
86avg 77
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
55-100
55
100
-45
33avg 77
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
85-62
85
62
+23
85avg 77
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
55avg 77
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 77
H30/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
A06/11
Premijer liga
Samobor
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
16-18
21-7
31-21
39-23
18-29
31-13
13-17
24-27
17-18
17-10
22-23
25-23
21-20
23-17
25-25
17-30
8-16
18-21
12-33
23-16
19-18
24-7
19-21
17-26
15-21
17-19
12-21
26-17
20-16
19-20
20-22
16-19
18-24
21-28
20-17
26-21
28-13
17-18
12-23
160.9Avg total
81.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.281.2158.5-4.062%
Season at home (5)85.475.0160.4+10.4100%
Season away (3)63.791.7155.3-28.00%
Last 10 (10)81.679.3160.9+2.370%
Last 5 (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.797.0174.7-19.310%
vs Similar (13)84.387.4171.7-3.146%
vs Weaker (7)86.676.1162.7+10.471%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 80
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 80
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 80
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#17
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 80
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 80
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#12
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
A15/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
30-16
26-18
17-15
22-11
156.8Avg total
84.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)94.466.1160.5+28.2100%
Season at home (3)92.366.7159.0+25.7100%
Season away (5)95.665.8161.4+29.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.572.3156.8+12.270%
Last 5 (5)82.274.0156.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.869.7157.5+18.278%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Dinamo ZagrebZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/11
Premijer liga
Samobor
#11
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H14/11
Premijer liga
83.2Avg total
42.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.544.784.2-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.042.083.0-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)37.947.485.3-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.083.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.279.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.249.586.7-12.30%-
vs Similar (13)40.843.384.1-2.531%-
vs Weaker (7)40.340.480.7-0.157%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#17
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#12
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A15/11
Premijer liga
78.6Avg total
43.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.377.0+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.533.778.2+10.892%-
Last 30 away (17)39.536.676.1+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)43.235.478.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.634.681.2+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.435.278.6+8.278%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
54.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
34.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
71.7%14.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
54.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
71.7%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dinamo Zagreb
WLWLWLWWWW
Zadar
WWWLLWWWWL
#4
League position
#1
-1.0
Net rating
+21.3
96.0
Offensive rating
102.8
97.1
Defensive rating
81.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.5%
3-point %
34.7%
63.9%
Assist %
60.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 102.8Defence97.1 · 81.5Shooting54.5% · 55.5%3-point %34.5% · 34.7%Ball care16.2% · 13.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Dinamo Zagreb   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dinamo Zagreb wins
10
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb87-61
29/03/26Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb99-79
24/01/26Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar71-107
09/11/25Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb82-72
13/04/25Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar78-100
06/02/25Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb98-71
29/11/24Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar58-64
16/05/24Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar67-78
13/05/24Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb83-68
05/04/24Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar81-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSamobor83-75
06/11/26ACibona75-88
30/10/26HAlkar85-75
23/10/26AZadar61-87
17/10/26HDubrava85-62
11/10/26AKvarner55-100
03/10/26HDubrovnik94-85
26/09/26HZabok80-78
20/05/26AKastela101-82
16/05/26HKastela97-61
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ADubrava95-60
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%100%0%
Points / game77.285.463.7
Allowed / game81.275.091.7
Point differential-4.0+10.4-28.0
Avg total158.5160.4155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.492.395.6
Allowed / game66.166.765.8
Point differential+28.2+25.7+29.8
Avg total160.5159.0161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar880100%94.466.1+28.2
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner84450%87.583.5+4.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar83538%80.882.1-1.4
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
12 Dubrava81712%72.886.2-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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