PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dinamo Zagreb vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-78
18-21 11-18 19-17 19-22
Position#5
Record22-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record34-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game71.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Semi-finals· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar
15 Jan 2027
DINA v ZAD
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
DINA71
ZAD107
13 Apr 2025
DINA78
ZAD100
29 Nov 2024
DINA58
ZAD64
16 May 2024
DINA67
ZAD78
05 Apr 2024
DINA81
ZAD96
26 Nov 2023
DINA65
ZAD78
13 May 2023
DINA77
ZAD76
04 Nov 2022
DINA87
ZAD97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
48avg 83
A02/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
73avg 83
H05/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
94avg 83
A14/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
97avg 83
H17/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
100-79
100
79
+21
101avg 83
A20/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
100-78
100
78
+22
101avg 83
H26/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
74avg 83
A02/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
102-71
102
71
+31
105avg 83
H06/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
100-89
100
89
+11
103avg 83
A09/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
68-83
68
83
-15
55avg 83
A13/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-19
17-15
9-20
17-20
21-28
29-26
13-20
18-22
26-17
23-21
20-18
26-19
22-17
20-30
18-14
27-26
19-18
28-12
28-28
25-21
37-19
24-12
22-17
17-30
21-16
28-27
17-31
16-21
33-24
20-18
30-13
19-16
29-23
21-22
25-23
25-21
21-18
17-26
10-17
20-22
172.2Avg total
88.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)85.378.7164.1+6.659%
Season at home (18)87.177.0164.1+10.167%
Season away (19)83.780.4164.1+3.353%
Last 10 (10)88.383.9172.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)90.483.2173.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.381.7149.0-14.30%
vs Similar (8)89.491.5180.9-2.125%
vs Weaker (15)90.977.0167.9+13.987%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
74-113
74
113
-39
67avg 81
A08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
88-68
88
68
+20
88avg 81
H11/04
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
51avg 81
A13/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
92-70
92
70
+22
93avg 81
A15/04
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
63avg 81
H19/04
ABA League
Split
#2
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 81
H22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
92-50
92
50
+42
90avg 81
H27/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
78-61
78
61
+17
76avg 81
H02/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 81
A05/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
83-68
83
68
+15
86avg 81
H13/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
30-35
18-24
15-34
26-12
28-16
17-23
17-17
24-23
12-19
15-34
18-24
21-8
16-22
35-15
20-25
15-16
18-23
14-13
26-28
15-20
16-23
31-18
31-13
24-17
19-10
22-9
27-14
20-6
20-21
21-19
17-15
19-20
28-21
21-18
22-19
18-21
26-17
17-10
22-20
159.4Avg total
83.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)88.371.1159.3+17.294%
Season at home (19)90.169.9160.0+20.295%
Season away (17)86.272.4158.6+13.994%
Last 10 (10)83.276.2159.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)87.266.2153.4+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.596.5164.0-29.00%
vs Similar (4)79.065.8144.8+13.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.671.1156.7+14.591%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Dinamo ZagrebZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H05/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H17/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A20/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H26/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A02/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H06/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/05
Premijer liga
87.2Avg total
46.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.185.2+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.943.687.5+0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)44.238.983.1+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)46.440.887.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.241.091.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.742.078.7-5.317%-
vs Similar (8)44.948.593.4-3.638%-
vs Weaker (15)45.736.782.5+9.073%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H11/04
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A15/04
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H19/04
ABA League
Split
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H27/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H02/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A05/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/05
Premijer liga
77.6Avg total
40.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.577.2+4.377%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.933.975.8+8.082%-
Last 30 away (13)39.239.879.1-0.669%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.077.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.276.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.047.280.2-14.20%-
vs Similar (4)39.528.067.5+11.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.436.078.4+6.386%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.2
53.8%
53.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.6
39.2%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.116.0
75.8%
73.4%16.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.8
52.7%
53.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.8
36.6%
34.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.4
71.3%
73.4%14.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dinamo Zagreb
LWWLWWWWLL
Zadar
WWWWWLWLWL
#5
League position
#1
+5.2
Net rating
+9.5
112.3
Offensive rating
108.5
107.1
Defensive rating
99.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.2%
3-point %
36.6%
68.2%
Assist %
69.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 108.5Defence107.1 · 99.0Shooting55.7% · 53.7%3-point %39.2% · 36.6%Ball care18.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 27.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Dinamo Zagreb   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dinamo Zagreb wins
8
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
13/05/24Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb83-68
05/04/24Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar81-96
09/02/24Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb77-73
26/11/23Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar65-78
17/05/23Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb90-65
13/05/23Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar77-76
10/05/23Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb80-62
01/02/23Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb79-70
04/11/22Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar87-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24AZadar68-83
09/05/24ACedevita Junior100-89
06/05/24HCedevita Junior102-71
02/05/24ACedevita Junior82-95
26/04/24HZabok100-78
20/04/24AAlkar100-79
17/04/24HDubrava104-99 OT
14/04/24ASkrljevo95-75
05/04/24HZadar81-96
02/04/24ASplit51-74
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24HDinamo Zagreb83-68
05/05/24ADubrava90-78
02/05/24HDubrava78-61
27/04/24HBosco92-50
22/04/24HSplit93-74
19/04/24HBuducnost73-80
15/04/24ACibona92-70
13/04/24ABuducnost69-100
11/04/24HCedevita Junior88-68
08/04/24APartizan74-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game85.387.183.7
Allowed / game78.777.080.4
Point differential+6.6+10.1+3.3
Avg total164.1164.1164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%50%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWWWW94%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %94%95%94%
Points / game88.390.186.2
Allowed / game71.169.972.4
Point differential+17.2+20.2+13.9
Avg total159.3160.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%84%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3634294%88.371.1+17.2
2 Split3732586%87.172.8+14.4
3 Cibona38241463%80.076.7+3.3
4 Cedevita Junior36221461%86.881.8+5.0
5 Dinamo Zagreb37221559%85.378.7+6.6
6 Osijek21150%94.583.0+11.5
7 Zabok36181850%81.682.5-0.9
8 Dubrovnik35152043%75.377.5-2.1
9 Dubrava35142140%79.783.1-3.5
10 GKK Sibenka33132039%80.382.0-1.7
11 Alkar3392427%77.883.0-5.2
12 Skrljevo3582723%82.393.0-10.7
13 Bosco331323%71.298.3-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dinamo Zagreb1811191967
Zadar2118172278
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.