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Kastela vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-101
23-39 29-18 13-31 17-13
Position#13
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#10
Record11-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game87.9
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Final· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kastela v Dinamo Zagreb
20 May 2026
KAST82
DINA101
09 Apr 2022
KAST66
DINA72
11 Dec 2021
KAST66
DINA69
22 Nov 2020
KAST62
DINA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
119-82
119
82
+37
H18/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H23/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A26/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
61-97
61
97
-36
A16/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-21
16-19
24-19
23-26
20-15
23-15
19-8
23-23
33-14
15-18
19-18
24-16
37-21
26-14
39-21
17-26
20-16
14-16
13-17
17-9
23-11
11-12
15-14
14-22
20-17
16-25
13-18
16-15
31-21
19-20
22-18
15-22
19-17
22-24
8-26
19-24
15-29
18-16
7-21
21-31
152.8Avg total
77.3Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.097.0158.0-36.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)61.097.0158.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)77.375.5152.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)68.880.6149.4-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)61.097.0158.0-36.00%
vs Similar (5)71.882.0153.8-10.220%
vs Weaker (24)87.964.3152.2+23.688%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H01/04
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H04/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A11/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A25/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A09/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H16/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-18
14-29
24-24
22-26
17-16
11-21
25-22
27-26
22-20
13-29
21-20
11-27
22-12
15-23
15-31
20-21
20-19
10-22
21-21
23-22
17-15
7-24
26-22
22-16
25-20
14-30
27-20
23-26
19-21
19-21
19-27
25-28
25-26
21-25
23-31
22-28
29-15
16-18
21-7
31-21
170.8Avg total
81.8Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.687.9171.4-4.332%
Season at home (17)85.986.4172.3-0.441%
Season away (17)81.289.4170.6-8.124%
Last 10 (10)81.889.0170.8-7.210%
Last 5 (5)86.288.2174.4-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)86.6100.0186.6-13.420%
vs Similar (14)85.687.6173.1-2.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.376.3159.7+7.050%
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -10.2-10.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
KastelaDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H18/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A26/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/05
Premijer liga
76.6Avg total
40.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.834.377.1+8.573%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.133.880.9+13.486%-
Last 30 away (16)39.034.873.8+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.176.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.477.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (5)36.840.677.4-3.820%-
vs Weaker (24)44.532.577.0+11.988%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H01/04
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H04/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A25/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/05
Premijer liga
79.4Avg total
37.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.645.185.7-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.684.8-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)39.946.986.7-7.014%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.479.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.081.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.950.593.4-7.620%-
vs Similar (14)39.443.682.9-4.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.539.779.2-0.233%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.6 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.317.9
57.2%
53.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.3
34.0%
34.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws11.07.6
69.1%
74.3%7.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.1
53.2%
53.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
34.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
74.3%15.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
LLWLWWWWWL
Dinamo Zagreb
WLLLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#10
+2.1
Net rating
-8.0
91.5
Offensive rating
92.3
89.4
Defensive rating
100.3
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.0%
3-point %
34.0%
73.6%
Assist %
66.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 92.3Defence89.4 · 100.3Shooting54.0% · 52.3%3-point %34.0% · 34.0%Ball care18.8% · 17.3%Free throws0.17 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Kastela   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kastela wins
7
Dinamo Zagreb wins
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/26ADinamo Zagreb61-97
09/05/26ASkrljevo68-91
06/05/26HSkrljevo87-81
02/05/26ASkrljevo65-75
26/04/26AMladost63-59
23/04/26HMladost64-58
18/04/26HDakovo119-82
12/04/26ANovi Zagreb91-66
01/04/26HKK Zagreb85-61
28/03/26ASkrljevo70-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/26HKastela97-61
09/05/26ASamobor91-110
03/05/26HDubrovnik82-97
29/04/26HSplit89-96
25/04/26AAlkar72-77
18/04/26AGKK Sibenka74-84
15/04/26HDubrava72-87
11/04/26AKvarner67-96
04/04/26HCedevita Junior80-85
01/04/26HManchester Basketball94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game61.0-61.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-36.0--36.0
Avg total158.0-158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeLLLLW41%
AwayLLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %32%41%24%
Points / game83.685.981.2
Allowed / game87.986.489.4
Point differential-4.3-0.4-8.1
Avg total171.4172.3170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3531489%87.471.1+16.3
2 Split3527877%90.780.7+10.0
3 Cibona3627975%84.175.4+8.7
4 Dubrovnik35191654%79.380.9-1.6
5 Samobor35181751%86.184.9+1.1
6 Dubrava36162044%81.884.1-2.3
7 Zabok35152043%79.881.0-1.2
8 Cedevita Junior33122136%79.582.6-3.1
9 Alkar33122136%70.978.8-7.9
10 Kvarner35122334%78.183.4-5.3
11 Dinamo Zagreb34112332%83.687.9-4.3
12 GKK Sibenka3382524%76.687.6-11.0
13 Kastela1010%61.097.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2329131782
Dinamo Zagreb39183113101
← all games of the day
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