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Djurgarden vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 94-64
14-17 34-13 26-18 20-16
Position#3
Record15-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#13
Record7-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game85.6
SwedenSuperettan· Brannkyrkahallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Djurgarden v Aros Basket
29 Mar 2026
DJUR94
AROS64
11 Dec 2024
DJUR82
AROS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Djurgarden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Djurgarden
6.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.0
96.2▲ 12.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.6
86.2▲ 5.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
53%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.4
18.8▲ 1.4
🔥 Form · Aros Basket
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.4
79.2▼ 0.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.3
88.0▲ 3.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
54%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.4
20.4▲ 2.0
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A14/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A25/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A07/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A14/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A21/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
104-93 OT
104
93
+11
H01/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H08/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H15/03
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
116-113 OT
116
113
+3
A25/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
22-17
22-22
24-23
30-24
16-25
23-21
17-24
24-23
13-23
25-14
14-31
24-21
20-23
17-19
24-14
27-9
21-23
31-15
18-25
18-19
24-10
32-20
21-12
23-26
14-23
25-19
27-21
18-13
21-26
23-20
24-21
14-12
22-28
18-29
26-15
17-32
32-27
25-13
19-21
176.9Avg total
92.0Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.479.8165.1+5.662%
Season at home (11)83.579.7163.2+3.764%
Season away (13)87.079.8166.8+7.262%
Last 10 (10)92.084.9176.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)96.286.2182.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.089.7164.7-14.70%
vs Similar (5)85.888.4174.2-2.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.977.6162.5+7.368%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
108-87
108
87
+21
H21/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
A28/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H07/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A14/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
75-96
75
96
-21
A18/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H21/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H28/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
16-18
19-21
18-19
21-24
23-20
19-17
14-24
16-18
29-11
14-21
25-18
26-28
29-25
25-14
28-20
16-23
13-14
20-16
18-14
25-34
12-22
22-15
17-22
23-22
17-23
18-24
17-17
13-25
25-30
16-25
21-16
19-24
21-19
15-17
25-25
14-18
26-19
22-21
28-22
165.4Avg total
81.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.585.6166.0-5.128%
Season at home (13)84.184.9169.0-0.831%
Season away (12)76.686.2162.8-9.725%
Last 10 (10)81.783.7165.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)79.288.0167.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.086.7165.8-7.723%
vs Similar (5)75.672.8148.4+2.840%
vs Weaker (3)94.785.3180.0+9.367%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
DjurgardenAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A14/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A25/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A07/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A14/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A21/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H01/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/03
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A25/03
Superettan
85.3Avg total
42.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.039.879.8+0.345%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.339.879.2-0.554%-
Last 30 away (16)40.639.780.3+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.685.3+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.283.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.340.375.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (5)39.244.683.8-5.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.938.579.4+2.452%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H21/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A28/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H07/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A18/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/03
Superettan
85.6Avg total
40.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.682.3-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.943.583.5-3.633%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.681.1-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.785.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.286.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.544.783.2-6.118%-
vs Similar (5)34.436.671.0-2.260%-
vs Weaker (3)47.047.094.0+0.067%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.1
48.1%
50.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.8
34.8%
30.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.7
78.2%
67.0%14.7
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.3
49.5%
50.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
30.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.114.5
68.7%
67.0%14.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Djurgarden
WLWWWWWLLW
Aros Basket
WLLLLWWWLL
#3
League position
#13
+6.3
Net rating
-6.1
91.3
Offensive rating
84.1
84.9
Defensive rating
90.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.8%
3-point %
30.4%
59.9%
Assist %
70.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 84.1Defence84.9 · 90.2Shooting49.8% · 48.0%3-point %34.8% · 30.4%Ball care15.1% · 18.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Djurgarden   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Djurgarden wins
2
Aros Basket wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Aros Basket v Djurgarden77-85
08/02/25Aros Basket v Djurgarden79-78
11/12/24Djurgarden v Aros Basket82-88
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26AFryshuset Basket116-113 OT
15/03/26HAlvik80-84
08/03/26HBlackeberg86-80
01/03/26HEskilstuna104-93 OT
21/02/26AEskilstuna95-61
14/02/26AWetterbygden Stars97-72
07/02/26AAros Basket85-77
25/01/26AMalbas76-91
24/01/26AIK Eos86-94
14/01/26AHuddinge95-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HSollentuna90-80
21/03/26HEskilstuna80-85
18/03/26AAlvik75-96
14/03/26AAIK Basket75-86
07/03/26HIK Eos76-93
28/02/26ATrelleborg74-69 OT
21/02/26HBlackeberg108-87
15/02/26HTrelleborg84-68
07/02/26HDjurgarden77-85
01/02/26HMalbas78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Djurgarden
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%64%62%
Points / game85.483.587.0
Allowed / game79.879.779.8
Point differential+5.6+3.7+7.2
Avg total165.1163.2166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%27%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeWWLLW31%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%31%25%
Points / game80.584.176.6
Allowed / game85.684.986.2
Point differential-5.1-0.8-9.7
Avg total166.0169.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malbas2418675%87.877.1+10.6
2 Fryshuset Basket2619773%90.784.9+5.8
3 Djurgarden2415962%85.479.8+5.6
4 Alvik24141058%81.180.7+0.4
5 Huddinge25141156%88.387.0+1.3
6 Wetterbygden Stars25141156%79.281.8-2.5
7 IK Eos24131154%85.982.3+3.6
8 Eskilstuna25121348%86.487.1-0.8
9 AIK Basket23111248%80.478.3+2.0
10 Sollentuna24111346%80.880.5+0.4
11 Trelleborg24111346%84.684.9-0.2
12 Ockelbo2481633%75.180.2-5.1
13 Aros Basket2571828%80.585.6-5.1
14 Blackeberg2542116%76.992.4-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Djurgarden1434262094
Aros Basket1713181664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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