PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aros Basket vs Eskilstuna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-85
19-24 21-19 15-17 25-25
Position#13
Record6-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#8
Record10-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game87.4
SwedenSuperettan· Kristiansborgshallen
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eskilstuna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 70
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 70
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 70
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 70
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
108-87
108
87
+21
no box
H21/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
66avg 70
A28/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
73avg 70
H07/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
75-86
75
86
-11
61avg 70
A14/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
75-96
75
96
-21
66avg 70
A18/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-27
12-20
18-22
18-18
18-27
22-24
18-22
25-30
16-18
19-21
18-19
21-24
23-20
19-17
14-24
16-18
29-11
14-21
25-18
26-28
29-25
25-14
28-20
16-23
13-14
20-16
18-14
25-34
12-22
22-15
17-22
23-22
17-23
18-24
17-17
13-25
25-30
16-25
21-16
164.5Avg total
79.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.185.8165.9-5.726%
Season at home (11)83.985.4169.3-1.527%
Season away (12)76.686.2162.8-9.725%
Last 10 (10)79.884.7164.5-4.930%
Last 5 (5)81.686.2167.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.587.2165.6-8.720%
vs Similar (7)73.772.1145.9+1.643%
vs Weaker (3)94.785.3180.0+9.367%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A17/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 77
H24/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
67avg 77
A31/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
101-102
101
102
-1
96avg 77
A07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 77
H14/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
61-95
61
95
-34
52avg 77
H21/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
54avg 77
A01/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
88-99
88
99
-11
74avg 77
A04/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
90-103
90
103
-13
88avg 77
H08/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
97-75
97
75
+22
94avg 77
H14/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
23-16
10-24
35-19
20-19
13-16
28-29
22-33
22-24
17-21
22-13
15-25
31-35
20-19
29-32
21-16
31-19
24-17
20-25
15-15
19-18
10-24
20-32
12-21
26-23
23-14
19-25
21-27
24-31
16-21
18-28
30-19
22-22
24-33
20-31
24-17
26-19
22-17
26-23
23-16
177.1Avg total
86.4Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.087.4173.4-1.443%
Season at home (12)83.985.8169.7-1.850%
Season away (11)88.389.3177.5-1.036%
Last 10 (10)86.490.7177.1-4.330%
Last 5 (5)85.895.2181.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.390.3174.7-6.025%
vs Similar (14)86.685.7172.3+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.079.2168.2+9.875%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Aros BasketEskilstuna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H21/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A28/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H07/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A18/03
Superettan
86.4Avg total
41.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.581.8-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.943.082.9-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)37.043.980.9-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)41.045.486.4-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.849.289.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.445.183.5-6.815%-
vs Similar (7)34.437.371.7-2.957%-
vs Weaker (3)47.047.094.0+0.067%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A17/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H14/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H21/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A01/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A04/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H08/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H14/03
Superettan
85.2Avg total
43.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.685.2-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.283.3+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.187.1-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.285.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.486.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.144.685.7-3.533%-
vs Similar (14)42.941.584.4+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.040.886.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.3
51.7%
50.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.0
26.9%
30.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.613.7
69.9%
67.0%13.7
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.8
51.5%
50.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.210.1
30.4%
30.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
67.0%14.2
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aros Basket
LLLWWWLLLL
Eskilstuna
WLLLLWLLLW
#13
League position
#8
-9.5
Net rating
-3.5
85.7
Offensive rating
90.6
95.2
Defensive rating
94.1
47.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
26.9%
3-point %
30.4%
66.2%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence85.7 · 90.6Defence95.2 · 94.1Shooting47.5% · 48.8%3-point %26.9% · 30.4%Ball care18.2% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.2% · 34.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Aros Basket   ■ Eskilstuna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aros Basket wins
1
Eskilstuna wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Eskilstuna v Aros Basket85-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26AAlvik75-96
14/03/26AAIK Basket75-86
07/03/26HIK Eos76-93
28/02/26ATrelleborg74-69 OT
21/02/26HBlackeberg108-87
15/02/26HTrelleborg84-68
07/02/26HDjurgarden77-85
01/02/26HMalbas78-88
24/01/26HAIK Basket76-91
17/01/26AOckelbo75-84
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HOckelbo97-75
08/03/26HIK Eos90-103
04/03/26AAlvik88-99
01/03/26ADjurgarden93-104 OT
21/02/26HDjurgarden61-95
14/02/26HTrelleborg90-76
07/02/26ATrelleborg101-102
31/01/26AOckelbo76-83
24/01/26HHuddinge83-97
17/01/26AWetterbygden Stars85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL26%
HomeLLWWL27%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%27%25%
Points / game80.183.976.6
Allowed / game85.885.486.2
Point differential-5.7-1.5-9.7
Avg total165.9169.3162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Eskilstuna
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game86.083.988.3
Allowed / game87.485.889.3
Point differential-1.4-1.8-1.0
Avg total173.4169.7177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket2418675%88.982.8+6.1
2 Malbas2317674%88.377.7+10.6
3 Djurgarden2314961%84.078.3+5.7
4 Wetterbygden Stars24141058%80.081.1-1.1
5 Huddinge23131057%87.586.2+1.3
6 Alvik23131057%80.381.5-1.1
7 IK Eos24131154%85.982.3+3.6
8 AIK Basket23111248%80.478.3+2.0
9 Sollentuna23111248%80.980.0+0.8
10 Trelleborg23111248%84.784.6+0.1
11 Eskilstuna23101343%86.087.4-1.4
12 Ockelbo2381535%75.780.4-4.8
13 Aros Basket2361726%80.185.8-5.7
14 Blackeberg2442017%76.592.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aros Basket1921152580
Eskilstuna2419172585
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.