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Donar Groningen vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-71
12-22 19-17 18-19 15-13
Position#24
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game71.0
Donar Groningen
vs
Bayreuth 🏆
Position#12
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H18/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
A20/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
A24/09
DBL
Amsterdam
#6
W
96-60
96
60
+36
no box
H26/09
DBL
Swans Gmunden
#19
W
80-53
80
53
+27
no box
A29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hague
#11
W
91-52
91
52
+39
no box
A06/10
DBL
Zwolle
#3
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
no box
H09/10
DBL
London Lions
#18
L
60-79
60
79
-19
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#10
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A16/10
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
26-23
16-9
12-19
10-20
25-24
27-22
12-16
24-23
17-22
23-11
16-25
19-19
24-9
33-17
20-15
22-12
14-17
30-15
14-9
17-22
15-15
20-22
21-22
22-17
22-15
27-14
20-6
17-24
9-6
25-22
9-8
13-13
9-26
22-21
16-19
18-19
20-24
29-20
21-15
149.4Avg total
78.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.071.0142.0+0.033%
Season at home (2)66.580.0146.5-13.50%
Season away (1)80.053.0133.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.870.6149.4+8.250%
Last 5 (5)75.871.8147.6+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.078.6152.6-4.620%
vs Weaker (23)85.972.7158.5+13.270%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
96avg 80
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 80
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
99-95
99
95
+4
92avg 80
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 80
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
H05/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 80
A09/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
100-70
100
70
+30
no box
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
68avg 80
A17/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
22-16
27-13
30-23
27-13
16-17
21-12
17-16
26-41
22-15
29-16
22-23
22-21
25-14
19-26
8-25
25-7
16-23
16-23
27-24
21-18
22-17
19-16
18-24
21-24
26-23
30-12
16-25
23-18
15-16
30-24
18-14
24-18
25-19
24-15
27-18
12-23
23-17
26-20
9-17
163.0Avg total
86.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.074.0162.0+14.0100%
Season at home (2)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)100.070.0170.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.676.4163.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)85.875.6161.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.286.3164.6-8.111%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.082.3166.3+1.760%
vs Weaker (10)90.475.9166.3+14.580%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
Donar GroningenBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H18/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A20/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/09
DBL
Amsterdam
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H26/09
DBL
Swans Gmunden
#19
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hague
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A06/10
DBL
Zwolle
#3
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H09/10
DBL
London Lions
#18
L
22-39
22
39
-17
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/10
DBL
73.8Avg total
36.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.075.9-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.438.472.9-4.036%-
Last 30 away (16)41.037.678.6+3.456%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.073.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.268.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.037.069.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.242.274.4-10.020%-
vs Weaker (23)38.836.775.5+2.152%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/10
BBL
81.1Avg total
43.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.182.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.139.983.9+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.340.381.6+1.056%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.881.1+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.681.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.843.484.2-2.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.838.482.2+5.480%-
vs Weaker (10)42.638.180.7+4.550%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.0
46.2%
52.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.5
31.1%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws8.57.0
82.4%
73.2%7.0
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.7
56.1%
52.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.5
39.0%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.7
80.3%
73.2%16.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
WLLWLWWLLW
Bayreuth
LWWWWWLWWW
#24
League position
#12
+23.2
Net rating
+3.2
103.5
Offensive rating
112.3
80.4
Defensive rating
109.1
46.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
12.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.12
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.1%
3-point %
39.0%
65.5%
Assist %
64.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 112.3Defence80.4 · 109.1Shooting46.4% · 57.0%3-point %31.1% · 39.0%Ball care12.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.7% · 25.1%Free throws0.12 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donar Groningen wins
0
Bayreuth wins
No previous meetings.
Donar Groningenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/21ADen Helder88-78
13/10/21HLondon Lions60-79
09/10/21HZwolle67-69 OT
06/10/21AHague91-52
01/10/21HBenfica73-81
29/09/21ASwans Gmunden80-53
26/09/21HAmsterdam96-60
24/09/21ALWD Basket80-81
20/05/21ADen Bosch74-82
18/05/21HDen Bosch79-71
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21AHamburg70-77
13/10/21AKapfenberg Bulls100-70
09/10/21AChemnitz86-72
05/10/21HHamburg93-84
01/10/21HHapoel Haifa80-75
29/09/21HSzedeak84-77
26/09/21AGiessen74-86
09/05/21AGottingen99-95
04/05/21HFrankfurt81-58
02/05/21ASyntainics MBC99-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game71.066.580.0
Allowed / game71.080.053.0
Point differential+0.0-13.5+27.0
Avg total142.0146.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.082.0100.0
Allowed / game74.076.070.0
Point differential+14.0+6.0+30.0
Avg total162.0158.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Reggiana110100%93.070.0+23.0
2 Parma Perm110100%106.084.0+22.0
3 Saratov110100%100.080.0+20.0
4 London Lions110100%79.060.0+19.0
5 Szolnoki Olaj110100%81.064.0+17.0
6 Bayreuth330100%88.074.0+14.0
7 Crailsheim Merlins110100%91.078.0+13.0
8 Legia110100%76.066.0+10.0
9 Ironi Eilat110100%94.086.0+8.0
10 Leiden110100%71.063.0+8.0
11 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%75.068.0+7.0
12 Antwerp Giants110100%80.075.0+5.0
13 Den Bosch110100%78.073.0+5.0
14 Ionikos110100%78.075.0+3.0
15 Minsk110100%87.085.0+2.0
16 Kyiv Basket110100%69.068.0+1.0
17 Iraklis32167%77.372.7+4.7
18 Benfica32167%79.076.0+3.0
19 FC Porto32167%71.069.7+1.3
20 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
21 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
22 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
23 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
24 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
25 Trefl Sopot31233%76.075.0+1.0
26 Donar Groningen31233%71.071.0+0.0
27 Peristeri1010%85.087.0-2.0
28 Belfius Mons1010%75.078.0-3.0
29 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
30 Sporting CP1010%75.080.0-5.0
31 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
32 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
33 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
34 Mornar Bar1010%68.075.0-7.0
35 Rilski Sportist1010%86.094.0-8.0
36 CSM Oradea1010%66.076.0-10.0
37 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
38 Bakken Bears1010%78.091.0-13.0
39 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
40 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
41 Basket Zaragoza1010%80.0100.0-20.0
42 Opava1010%84.0106.0-22.0
43 Gilboa Galil1010%70.093.0-23.0
44 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
45 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%70.0100.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1219181564
Bayreuth2217191371
← all games of the day
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