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Chemnitz vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-86
18-23 16-15 24-30 14-18
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#16
Record0-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game86.0
GermanyBBLRound 3
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bayreuth
16 Dec 2022
CHE84
BAR77
09 Oct 2021
CHE72
BAR86
30 Jan 2021
CHE61
BAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
98-97
98
97
+1
H19/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A25/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
71-95
71
95
-24
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H02/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A05/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H09/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A29/09
BBL
Ulm
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
14-23
13-21
19-26
20-29
28-16
31-21
19-31
12-32
16-19
17-20
17-15
15-23
22-39
16-21
18-12
27-17
17-24
21-31
5-13
26-22
21-17
17-16
20-28
25-31
21-23
11-17
24-20
20-19
19-19
16-21
24-19
21-19
17-22
24-22
28-19
27-23
11-14
19-18
30-30
166.2Avg total
79.5Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.580.0164.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.586.7166.2-7.250%
Last 5 (5)84.283.8168.0+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.288.9167.2-10.732%
vs Similar (10)80.880.4161.2+0.470%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
H13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H29/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
99-95
99
95
+4
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H05/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
27-30
15-23
22-24
15-17
9-21
17-25
23-14
16-20
31-14
23-28
20-21
20-18
22-16
27-13
30-23
27-13
16-17
21-12
17-16
26-41
22-15
29-16
22-23
22-21
25-14
19-26
8-25
25-7
16-23
16-23
27-24
21-18
22-17
19-16
18-24
21-24
26-23
30-12
16-25
166.1Avg total
85.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)85.780.4166.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)86.083.4169.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.289.6166.9-12.40%
vs Similar (11)83.080.9163.9+2.164%
vs Weaker (10)90.379.9170.2+10.470%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
ChemnitzBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H19/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A25/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
37-62
37
62
-25
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H02/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A05/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H09/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/09
BBL
Ulm
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/10
German Cup
85.2Avg total
40.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.681.6-3.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.444.185.5-2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.141.077.1-4.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.685.2-4.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.883.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.244.282.4-6.037%-
vs Similar (10)40.540.280.7+0.360%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/10
German Cup
82.9Avg total
43.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.783.6+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.440.684.9+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.240.982.1+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.182.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.685.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.945.187.0-3.238%-
vs Similar (11)43.338.581.7+4.873%-
vs Weaker (10)42.939.182.0+3.850%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.8
55.8%
54.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.5
38.2%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.110.5
69.5%
73.1%10.5
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.8
56.7%
54.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.0
36.5%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.418.3
81.7%
73.1%18.3
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLWLLLWL
Bayreuth
WWWLWWWWLL
#6
League position
#16
-10.4
Net rating
+2.2
103.7
Offensive rating
113.1
114.1
Defensive rating
110.9
56.5%
Effective FG%
56.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
24.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.2%
3-point %
36.5%
69.3%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 113.1Defence114.1 · 110.9Shooting56.5% · 56.0%3-point %38.2% · 36.5%Ball care24.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
2
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
21/03/21Bayreuth v Chemnitz85-72
30/01/21Chemnitz v Bayreuth61-83
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/21HUlm87-85
29/09/21AHamburg90-82
25/09/21HOldenburg79-78
09/05/21HAlba Berlin81-91
05/05/21As.Oliver Wurzburg84-83
02/05/21HUlm70-85
30/04/21HGiessen71-95
25/04/21ABonn62-86
19/04/21HHamburg98-97
14/04/21HCrailsheim Merlins73-85
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/21HHamburg93-84
01/10/21HHapoel Haifa80-75
29/09/21HSzedeak84-77
26/09/21AGiessen74-86
09/05/21AGottingen99-95
04/05/21HFrankfurt81-58
02/05/21ASyntainics MBC99-70
29/04/21HHamburg90-83
24/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig64-77
13/04/21HUlm93-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.579.090.0
Allowed / game80.078.082.0
Point differential+4.5+1.0+8.0
Avg total164.5157.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-12.0--12.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Heidelberg330100%77.769.7+8.0
2 Chemnitz220100%84.580.0+4.5
3 Bamberg220100%85.581.5+4.0
4 Bonn32167%81.783.0-1.3
5 Alba Berlin21150%93.575.5+18.0
6 Crailsheim Merlins21150%95.083.0+12.0
7 Basketball Braunschweig21150%95.091.0+4.0
8 Gottingen21150%83.081.5+1.5
9 Ulm21150%79.579.5+0.0
10 Ludwigsburg21150%77.580.0-2.5
11 Syntainics MBC21150%90.093.0-3.0
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg21150%87.099.5-12.5
13 Giessen31233%80.379.3+1.0
14 Oldenburg31233%82.782.7+0.0
15 Bayern1010%83.086.0-3.0
16 Hamburg2020%84.589.0-4.5
17 Bayreuth1010%74.086.0-12.0
18 Frankfurt2020%69.595.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1816241472
Bayreuth2315301886
← all games of the day
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