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Hamburg vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 77-70
23-12 17-23 20-26 17-9
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game80.7
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.0
GermanyBBLRound 4
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Hamburg v Bayreuth
11 Feb 2023
HAM86
BAR74
17 Oct 2021
HAM77
BAR70
05 Feb 2021
HAM92
BAR95
30 Nov 2019
HAM81
BAR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
61avg 75
A02/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
93-91
93
91
+2
75avg 75
H04/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 75
A09/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
59-82
59
82
-23
47avg 75
A20/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 75
A22/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
57avg 75
H24/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
87avg 75
A25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 75
H29/09
BBL
Bayreuth
#8
L
84-93
84
93
-9
no box
A05/10
German Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
63avg 75
A10/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
25-24
20-16
17-22
21-21
28-19
24-23
20-28
15-20
24-26
23-27
27-23
18-30
13-18
8-22
20-12
22-27
19-21
24-20
18-27
16-30
19-18
19-14
19-23
27-24
20-24
22-20
18-20
19-21
22-17
22-24
19-28
24-21
23-26
12-30
25-16
22-12
21-19
22-19
9-14
167.2Avg total
80.3Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.080.7161.7+0.333%
Season at home (1)82.090.0172.0-8.00%
Season away (2)80.576.0156.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.386.9167.2-6.620%
Last 5 (5)80.084.0164.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.881.1157.9-4.333%
vs Similar (8)82.685.4168.0-2.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.680.2168.8+8.475%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
94avg 80
H29/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
96avg 80
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 80
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
99-95
99
95
+4
92avg 80
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 80
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
H05/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 80
A09/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
100-70
100
70
+30
no box
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
31-14
23-28
20-21
20-18
22-16
27-13
30-23
27-13
16-17
21-12
17-16
26-41
22-15
29-16
22-23
22-21
25-14
19-26
8-25
25-7
16-23
16-23
27-24
21-18
22-17
19-16
18-24
21-24
26-23
30-12
16-25
23-18
15-16
30-24
18-14
24-18
25-19
24-15
27-18
165.6Avg total
88.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)88.677.0165.6+11.690%
Last 5 (5)88.675.6164.2+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.287.7165.9-9.411%
vs Similar (10)84.082.3166.3+1.760%
vs Weaker (10)90.475.9166.3+14.580%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
HamburgBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A20/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H24/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/09
BBL
Bayreuth
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A05/10
German Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A10/10
BBL
85.6Avg total
41.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.883.6-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.440.884.2+2.654%-
Last 30 away (17)40.642.683.2-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.185.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.944.082.9-5.122%-
vs Similar (8)40.642.883.4-2.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.339.283.5+5.267%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/05
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/09
BBL
Szedeak
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Hapoel Haifa
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/10
German Cup
Chemnitz
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/10
BBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#42
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.7Avg total
44.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.283.0+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.940.184.0+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.382.1+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)44.537.281.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.680.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.443.985.3-2.444%-
vs Similar (10)43.838.482.2+5.480%-
vs Weaker (10)42.638.180.7+4.550%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.8
50.2%
54.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.6
29.5%
35.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
73.1%12.7
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.6
54.6%
54.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.2
38.0%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.817.0
81.7%
73.1%17.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WLLLLLLLWL
Bayreuth
WWWWWLWWWW
#7
League position
#16
-9.7
Net rating
+1.3
105.5
Offensive rating
110.8
115.2
Defensive rating
109.5
48.0%
Effective FG%
55.5%
63.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.5%
3-point %
38.0%
63.6%
Assist %
63.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 110.8Defence115.2 · 109.5Shooting48.0% · 55.5%3-point %29.5% · 38.0%Ball care14.4% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.5% · 25.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Hamburg   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
4
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
05/10/21Bayreuth v Hamburg93-84
29/04/21Bayreuth v Hamburg90-83
05/02/21Hamburg v Bayreuth92-95 OT
30/11/19Hamburg v Bayreuth81-95
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/21AFrankfurt74-64
05/10/21ABayreuth84-93
29/09/21HChemnitz82-90
25/09/21ALudwigsburg87-88
24/05/21HAlba Berlin73-85
22/05/21AAlba Berlin83-95
20/05/21AAlba Berlin59-82
09/05/21AFrankfurt89-96
04/05/21HGottingen93-91
02/05/21ACrailsheim Merlins79-85
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/21AKapfenberg Bulls100-70
09/10/21AChemnitz86-72
05/10/21HHamburg93-84
01/10/21HHapoel Haifa80-75
29/09/21HSzedeak84-77
26/09/21AGiessen74-86
09/05/21AGottingen99-95
04/05/21HFrankfurt81-58
02/05/21ASyntainics MBC99-70
29/04/21HHamburg90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game81.082.080.5
Allowed / game80.790.076.0
Point differential+0.3-8.0+4.5
Avg total161.7172.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+1.0-+1.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Heidelberg330100%77.769.7+8.0
2 Bamberg330100%88.382.0+6.3
3 Syntainics MBC43175%97.892.5+5.2
4 Bonn43175%82.881.2+1.5
5 Chemnitz43175%83.582.5+1.0
6 Gottingen32167%81.377.3+4.0
7 Bayern21150%89.583.0+6.5
8 Ulm42250%83.881.0+2.8
9 Bayreuth21150%80.079.0+1.0
10 Ludwigsburg42250%74.575.0-0.5
11 Alba Berlin31233%83.075.0+8.0
12 Giessen31233%80.379.3+1.0
13 Hamburg31233%81.080.7+0.3
14 Oldenburg31233%82.782.7+0.0
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg31233%82.398.0-15.7
16 Crailsheim Merlins41325%93.093.8-0.8
17 Basketball Braunschweig41325%88.592.8-4.2
18 Frankfurt4040%69.887.5-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2317201777
Bayreuth122326970
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