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Donar Groningen vs Brussels Basketball Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game70.9
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2026-27
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Brussels Basketball
06 Mar 2027
DGR v BRUS
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
DGR77
BRUS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brussels Basketball win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 78
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 78
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
42avg 78
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
90-114
90
114
-24
72avg 78
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
87avg 78
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
94avg 78
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A03/11
ENBL
Limburg
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
AEL
#4
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Rotterdam
#14
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
25-14
13-23
18-22
11-13
29-17
22-23
19-25
19-27
11-28
13-20
20-15
24-31
29-28
12-30
25-25
23-22
20-13
24-18
23-18
24-17
19-22
25-26
28-18
22-25
28-15
25-24
17-16
10-31
26-23
20-19
17-23
22-16
28-27
14-21
19-17
24-24
21-8
22-22
16-16
167.5Avg total
83.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.686.7168.3-5.157%
Season at home (3)72.388.0160.3-15.733%
Season away (4)88.585.8174.2+2.875%
Last 10 (10)83.683.9167.5-0.370%
Last 5 (5)85.482.0167.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.890.8168.6-13.125%
vs Similar (14)85.378.9164.1+6.471%
vs Weaker (4)90.581.8172.2+8.875%
This opponent (Brussels Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brussels BasketballLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 74
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
56-57
56
57
-1
43avg 74
H06/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 74
A09/05
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
90avg 74
H06/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
77-61
77
61
+16
77avg 74
A10/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 74
H16/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 74
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
48avg 74
H30/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
25-12
23-29
24-17
16-10
17-17
17-13
6-17
12-25
15-21
13-20
13-18
28-21
14-22
29-12
23-15
23-16
16-20
25-12
13-13
25-16
19-12
18-19
19-17
19-23
20-16
28-14
22-12
18-24
10-21
20-20
18-16
23-10
30-25
23-20
15-22
25-21
15-17
7-24
18-16
147.8Avg total
76.5Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.470.9151.3+9.671%
Season at home (4)83.073.0156.0+10.075%
Season away (3)77.068.0145.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)76.571.3147.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)78.473.0151.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.089.2162.2-16.20%
vs Similar (10)81.082.4163.4-1.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.469.0155.4+17.486%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
Donar GroningenBrussels Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#13
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/11
ENBL
Limburg
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H08/11
BNXT League
AEL
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
ENBL
Rotterdam
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A15/11
BNXT League
86.2Avg total
44.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.881.9+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.286.3+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.886.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.846.287.9-4.425%-
vs Similar (14)42.436.178.4+6.371%-
vs Weaker (4)49.242.091.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Brussels Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brussels BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H06/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A09/05
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H06/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H16/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H30/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/11
BNXT League
75.8Avg total
39.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.280.1+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.078.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.582.1+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.775.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.244.583.7-5.350%-
vs Similar (10)41.440.982.3+0.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.433.677.1+9.879%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
32.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.1
64.7%
71.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brussels Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brussels Basketball: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.2
54.3%
53.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.4
29.1%
32.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.213.5
66.8%
71.0%13.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
WWLWWWLLWW
Brussels Basketball
LWLWWWWLLW
#9
League position
#3
-1.6
Net rating
+6.9
94.9
Offensive rating
91.2
96.5
Defensive rating
84.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.5%
3-point %
29.1%
55.6%
Assist %
50.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 91.2Defence96.5 · 84.3Shooting53.5% · 50.6%3-point %35.5% · 29.1%Ball care14.2% · 15.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Brussels Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Donar Groningen wins
1
Brussels Basketball wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ARotterdam83-70
11/11/26HAEL83-81
08/11/26HLimburg73-96
03/11/26AAlkar92-80
31/10/26ALeiden96-83
27/10/26HVoluntari90-71
25/10/26AOkapi Aalst90-114
14/10/26HSpirou Charleroi63-90
06/10/26HLeuven Bears81-78
02/10/26AKortrijk85-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAntwerp Giants65-78
08/11/26HOkapi Aalst91-77
30/10/26HSpirou Charleroi66-81
25/10/26AZwolle89-65
16/10/26HOostende81-64
10/10/26ALeiden77-61
06/10/26HCB Liege94-70
09/05/26AOostende53-84
06/05/26HMechelen56-57
03/05/26HLWD Basket93-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game81.672.388.5
Allowed / game86.788.085.8
Point differential-5.1-15.7+2.8
Avg total168.3160.3174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brussels Basketball
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game80.483.077.0
Allowed / game70.973.068.0
Point differential+9.6+10.0+9.0
Avg total151.3156.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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