Rotterdam vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 13:00

Projected 79-85

Projected total 164.8

Final 70-83

24-24 8-21 22-22 16-16

Position#14

Record2-4

FormLLWWL

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game80.2

Rotterdam

30%

70%

■ ROTT 30%■ DGR 70%

Pythia win probability

Donar Groningen 🏆

Position#9

Record3-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game89.5

BNXT League· Topsportcentrum Rotterdam

Other2026-27

Meetings · Rotterdam v Donar Groningen

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Rotterdam will host Donar Groningen on 15 November 2026 in the BNXT League, with the model favouring Donar and predicting a 70% chance of a win for the road side while Rotterdam has a 30% chance; the projected score is 79-85 and the total is 164.8 points. Rotterdam, 12th in the standings, has gone 2-4 overall, scoring 75.8 points and allowing 80.2, but they are 2-1 at home with 83.7 points for and 79.3 against, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 91-85 victory over CB Liege and a 89-77 win over Belfius Mons, before a 74-77 loss to Spirou Charleroi away. Donar, 11th, is 3-3 overall, averaging 81.3 points and conceding 89.5, and on the road they are 2-1 with 90.3 points for and 91.0 against, having won four of their last five games, including an 83-81 win over AEL at home and a 92-80 road win over Alkar. In their ten meetings Donar has won every encounter, most recently defeating Rotterdam 90-76 on 6 May 2026. The spread is 2.0 in favour of Rotterdam, with a 34% chance that they cover, and there is a 5% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rotterdam winLost

29.7%fair 3.37

Best odds2.50

Implied39.1%

Edge-9.4pp

Donar Groningen winWon

70.3%fair 1.42

Best odds1.60

Implied60.9%

Edge+9.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RotterdamLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRotterdam

Date

Competition

Brussels Basketball

66-83

-17

64avg 67

H26/04

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

92-102

102

-10

86avg 67

A02/05

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

76-90

-14

67avg 67

H06/05

BNXT League

Mechelen

73-97

-24

61avg 67

A09/05

BNXT League

Leiden

#10

71-76

-5

56avg 67

H02/10

BNXT League

Den Bosch

50-79

-29

36avg 67

A09/10

BNXT League

Limburg

80-87

-7

82avg 67

A16/10

BNXT League

Belfius Mons

#16

89-77

+12

82avg 67

H25/10

BNXT League

CB Liege

#15

91-85

88avg 67

H30/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

74-77

-3

no box

A05/11

BNXT League

21-29

10-10

10-24

25-20

29-23

12-25

27-22

24-32

19-17

22-30

12-26

23-17

7-23

16-29

32-23

18-22

23-14

15-18

21-18

12-26

9-19

12-14

16-18

13-28

17-25

20-22

28-21

15-19

20-19

15-17

30-22

24-19

29-17

23-16

24-25

15-27

17-20

13-11

17-24

27-22

161.5Avg total

76.2Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	75.8	80.2	156.0	-4.3	33%
Season at home (3)	83.7	79.3	163.0	+4.3	67%
Season away (3)	68.0	81.0	149.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	85.3	161.5	-9.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	81.0	157.8	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	71.5	88.2	159.7	-16.7	8%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	73.5	76.5	150.0	-3.0	50%
vs Weaker (2)	90.0	81.0	171.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGroningen

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

#11

70-83

-13

54avg 79

A30/09

ENBL

Kortrijk

#13

85-76

80avg 79

A02/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#12

81-78

70avg 79

H06/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

63-90

-27

42avg 79

H14/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

90-114

114

-24

72avg 79

A25/10

BNXT League

Voluntari

90-71

+19

87avg 79

H27/10

ENBL

Leiden

#10

96-83

+13

94avg 79

A31/10

BNXT League

Alkar

#13

92-80

+12

no box

A03/11

ENBL

Limburg

73-96

-23

no box

H08/11

BNXT League

AEL

83-81

no box

H11/11

ENBL

19-20

21-20

14-23

16-20

29-17

25-14

13-23

18-22

11-13

29-17

22-23

19-25

19-27

11-28

13-20

20-15

24-31

29-28

12-30

25-25

23-22

20-13

24-18

23-18

24-17

19-22

25-26

28-18

22-25

28-15

25-24

17-16

10-31

26-23

20-19

17-23

22-16

28-27

14-21

19-17

167.5Avg total

82.3Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	81.3	89.5	170.8	-8.2	50%
Season at home (3)	72.3	88.0	160.3	-15.7	33%
Season away (3)	90.3	91.0	181.3	-0.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	85.2	167.5	-2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	82.2	169.0	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	77.8	90.8	168.6	-13.1	25%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	85.5	79.5	165.0	+5.9	69%
vs Weaker (5)	90.8	82.4	173.2	+8.4	80%

This opponent (Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 161Actual: Under 161

Over 161

58.5%

@ 1.68+3.9pp

Under 161

41.5%

@ 2.05-3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.68

Bet365

1.68

Marathon Be

1.55

Under

Bet365

2.05

Pinnacle

2.02

Over/Under 166 · main lineActual: Under 166

Over 166

46.2%

@ 2.15-3.6pp

Under 166

53.8%

@ 1.86+3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.15

Marathon Be

1.90

Pinnacle

1.88

1xBet

1.81

Under

Pinnacle

1.86

1xBet

1.84

Marathon Be

1.76

Bet365

1.62

Over/Under 171Actual: Under 171

Over 171

34.3%

Under 171

65.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Rotterdam total 76.5Actual: Rotterdam under 76.5

Over 76.5

60.4%

@ 1.40-4.4pp

Under 76.5

39.6%

@ 2.67+4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.43

Rotterdam total 80.5 · main lineActual: Rotterdam under 80.5

Over 80.5

45.1%

@ 1.83-5.5pp

Under 80.5

54.9%

@ 1.88+5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.70

Under

Betano

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Rotterdam total 84.5Actual: Rotterdam under 84.5

Over 84.5

30.6%

@ 2.32-8.5pp

Under 84.5

69.4%

@ 1.55+8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.32

Betano

2.27

Under

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.40

Donar Groningen total 80.5Actual: Donar Groningen over 80.5

Over 80.5

68.5%

@ 1.67+9.9pp

Under 80.5

31.5%

@ 2.32-9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.40

Under

1xBet

2.32

Betano

2.02

Donar Groningen total 84.5 · main lineActual: Donar Groningen under 84.5

Over 84.5

53.5%

@ 1.85+3.6pp

Under 84.5

46.5%

@ 1.85-3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.76

Under

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.69

Donar Groningen total 88.5Actual: Donar Groningen under 88.5

Over 88.5

37.9%

@ 2.44+2.0pp

Under 88.5

62.1%

@ 1.37-2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.44

Under

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rotterdam +1Actual: Donar Groningen -1

ROTT +1

30.5%

@ 2.35-9.0pp

DGR -1

69.5%

@ 1.87+9.0pp

Best 5 market prices

ROTT

Pinnacle

2.35

Bet365

2.10

Marathon Be

2.06

SBO

1.79

DGR

SBO

1.87

Bet365

1.66

Marathon Be

1.54

Pinnacle

1.53

Spread Rotterdam +4 · main lineActual: Donar Groningen -4

ROTT +4

41.2%

@ 1.87-8.7pp

DGR -4

58.8%

@ 2.00+8.7pp

Best 5 market prices

ROTT

Pinnacle

1.87

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.81

SBO

1.79

Bet365

1.71

DGR

Bet365

2.00

SBO

1.87

Pinnacle

1.86

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

Spread Rotterdam +7Actual: Donar Groningen -7

ROTT +7

53.1%

@ 1.50-7.4pp

DGR -7

46.9%

@ 2.55+7.4pp

Best 5 market prices

ROTT

Pinnacle

1.50

Bet365

1.47

DGR

Bet365

2.55

Pinnacle

2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RotterdamDonar Groningen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (29)	19.2	22.3	41.6	-3.1	34%	55%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	21.1	41.4	-0.9	50%	57%
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.4	41.7	-5.1	20%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	28%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	18.0	42.5	+6.5	100%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	43%	37%
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	53%	24%
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	22.9	44.0	-1.8	31%	54%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.9	42.2	-1.6	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.0	24.7	42.7	-6.7	17%	42%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.6	16.9	39.5	+5.7	77%	31%
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	20%	40%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (29)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.0	31%	34%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.9	43%	21%
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	22.3	39.8	-4.7	20%	47%
Last 10 (10)	15.8	19.2	35.0	-3.4	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	24%	36%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	100%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	50%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	63%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.2	59%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.8	69%	38%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.7	44.3	+2.9	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.8	21.5	45.2	+2.2	67%	58%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.1	46%	31%
vs Weaker (5)	29.0	19.8	48.8	+9.2	100%	100%

RotterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brussels Basketball

31-39

-8

H26/04

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

41-48

-7

A02/05

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

41-47

-6

H06/05

BNXT League

Mechelen

23-52

-29

A09/05

BNXT League

Leiden

#10

38-32

H02/10

BNXT League

Den Bosch

21-33

-12

A09/10

BNXT League

Limburg

37-47

-10

A16/10

BNXT League

Belfius Mons

#16

35-36

-1

H25/10

BNXT League

CB Liege

#15

52-33

+19

H30/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

30-31

-1

A05/11

BNXT League

74.7Avg total

34.9Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (29)	37.6	42.7	80.3	-5.1	21%	52%
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	39.5	78.9	-0.1	36%	43%
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	45.7	81.5	-9.8	7%	60%
Last 10 (10)	34.9	39.8	74.7	-4.9	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	35.0	36.0	71.0	-1.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	36.8	43.8	80.6	-7.0	12%	52%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	41.5	36.5	78.0	+5.0	100%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	34.5	78.0	+9.0	50%	50%

This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

#11

40-40

A30/09

ENBL

Kortrijk

#13

54-31

+23

A02/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#12

40-30

+10

H06/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

30-55

-25

H14/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

53-59

-6

A25/10

BNXT League

Voluntari

43-35

H27/10

ENBL

Leiden

#10

43-39

A31/10

BNXT League

Alkar

#13

50-40

+10

A03/11

ENBL

Limburg

36-54

-18

H08/11

BNXT League

AEL

50-43

H11/11

ENBL

86.5Avg total

43.9Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	43.1	41.0	84.2	+2.1	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	42.5	39.5	82.0	+2.9	65%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	38%	69%
Last 10 (10)	43.9	42.6	86.5	+1.3	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	44.4	42.2	86.6	+2.2	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	41.8	46.2	87.9	-4.4	25%	83%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.2	36.4	78.5	+5.8	69%	31%
vs Weaker (5)	49.0	40.8	89.8	+8.2	80%	100%

This opponent (Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Donar Groningen win

ROTT win

no forecast

@ 2.25

DGR win

no forecast

@ 1.68

1st half Spread Rotterdam +1.5 · main lineActual: Donar Groningen -1.5

ROTT +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

DGR -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 2.05

Rotterdam 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Rotterdam under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Donar Groningen 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Donar Groningen over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.02

1st half: ROTT + total 81.5

ROTT & over

no forecast

@ 4.10

ROTT & under

no forecast

@ 4.00

1st half: Draw + total 81.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: DGR + total 81.5

DGR & over

no forecast

@ 3.40

DGR & under

no forecast

@ 3.35

1st half Over/Under 80.25Actual: Under 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 82.75Actual: Under 82.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Rotterdam +0.5Actual: Donar Groningen -0.5

ROTT +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

DGR -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread Rotterdam +2.5Actual: Donar Groningen -2.5

ROTT +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.86

DGR -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.55

Under

no forecast

@ 2.30

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.40

Under

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Rotterdam -0.5Actual: Donar Groningen +0.5

ROTT -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

DGR +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Donar Groningen (regulation)

ROTT

no forecast

@ 2.44

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.00

DGR

no forecast

@ 1.74

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (29)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.9	34%	55%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.3	29%	57%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.5	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.3	44.0	-0.6	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	19.6	22.7	42.3	-3.2	36%	52%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	0%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	23.5	50.5	+3.5	50%	100%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.3	42.5	-2.0	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.5	41%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.3	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.7	40.9	-4.5	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.0	24.1	41.1	-7.1	17%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	62%	69%
vs Weaker (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	60%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (29)	17.6	22.7	40.3	-5.1	31%	45%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	57%	43%
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	24.9	41.2	-8.7	7%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	17.8	23.2	40.9	-5.4	28%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	14.0	16.5	30.5	-2.5	50%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	50%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.3	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.8	53%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-1.9	23%	46%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	33%	42%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	46%	54%
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	40%	40%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (29)	37.6	45.5	83.1	-7.9	24%	52%
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	43.4	82.2	-4.5	29%	50%
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	47.5	83.9	-11.1	20%	53%
Last 10 (10)	41.3	45.5	86.8	-4.2	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	41.8	45.0	86.8	-3.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	37.3	45.9	83.2	-8.6	24%	52%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	32.0	40.0	72.0	-8.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	46.5	46.5	93.0	+0.0	50%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	39.8	43.1	82.9	-3.3	33%	60%
Last 30 at home (17)	39.2	42.5	81.6	-3.3	29%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	40.7	43.9	84.6	-3.2	38%	69%
Last 10 (10)	38.4	42.6	81.0	-4.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.0	44.7	80.7	-8.7	8%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.6	42.2	84.8	+0.4	46%	69%
vs Weaker (5)	41.8	41.6	83.4	+0.2	60%	60%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ROTT win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

DGR win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ROTT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: DGR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ROTT:DGR): ROTT wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Donar Groningen +2	75.2%	1.59	Pinnacle 1.72	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.46	-	-	+22.1pp	Won
Donar Groningen +3	77.9%	1.61	Pinnacle 1.61	-	-	-	-	+21.3pp	Won
Donar Groningen +1.5	72.6%	1.60	Pinnacle 1.78	Betano 1.72	Bet365 1.64	Marathon Bet 1.50	1xBet 1.36	+21.3pp	Won
Donar Groningen +2.5	76.0%	1.51	Pinnacle 1.66	Betano 1.62	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.30	-	+21.1pp	Won
Donar Groningen +3.5	78.4%	1.48	Pinnacle 1.56	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.30	-	+20.2pp	Won
Donar Groningen +4.5	81.0%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+18.5pp	Won
Donar Groningen +5.5	83.4%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+17.9pp	Won
Donar Groningen +6.5	85.5%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+17.1pp	Won
Donar Groningen +8.5	89.1%	1.25	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+14.9pp	Won
Donar Groningen +1	72.0%	1.60	SBO 1.76	Pinnacle 1.61	Bet365 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.46	-	+14.5pp	Won
Donar Groningen +7.5	87.4%	1.26	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 77.5	78.1%	1.34	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.24	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Donar Groningen +13.5	94.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 79.5	71.9%	1.48	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 75.5	83.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 73.5	87.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 78.5	75.1%	1.38	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Donar Groningen +12.5	94.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Donar Groningen win	70.3%	1.54	WilliamHill 1.60	Betfair 1.57	1xBet 1.55	Betano 1.55	Pinnacle 1.53	+9.4pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 72.5	89.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 71.5	91.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Donar Groningen +18.5	97.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Donar Groningen +17.5	97.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 69.5	94.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Donar Groningen +23.5	99.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Donar Groningen +22.5	98.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 67.5	96.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 65.5	97.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Rotterdam under 86.5	75.6%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Rotterdam under 85.5	72.6%	1.39	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Rotterdam under 87.5	78.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Rotterdam under 90.5	85.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Rotterdam under 89.5	83.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Rotterdam under 91.5	87.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Rotterdam under 97.5	95.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Rotterdam under 93.5	90.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Rotterdam under 95.5	93.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Over 155.5	70.8%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Over 137.5	95.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Over 147.5	85.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Over 152.5	76.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.3%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Over 142.5	91.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Rotterdam +22.5	92.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Under 187.5	91.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Rotterdam +21.5	90.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Rotterdam over 69.5	83.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Rotterdam over 70.5	80.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Lost
Rotterdam +17.5	84.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Rotterdam over 71.5	77.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Lost
Under 182.5	85.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Under 177.5	78.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Rotterdam over 73.5	71.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Lost
Donar Groningen under 93.5	78.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Rotterdam +16.5	82.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 92.5	75.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 91.5	72.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-3.5pp	Won
Rotterdam +12.5	71.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rotterdamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rotterdam: 76.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	16.2	44.8%	53.2%	32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.6	38.4%	32.1%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.4	73.0%	71.0%	15.4

They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.9	53.7%	53.2%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	10.6	35.5%	32.1%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.1	64.7%	71.0%	12.1

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	23.3	57.7%	53.2%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.6	35.2%	32.1%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.1	75.7%	71.0%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.1	54.8%	53.2%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.6	33.8%	32.1%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.1	71.6%	71.0%	14.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.3	48.9%	53.2%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.2	34.2%	32.1%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.1	72.3%	71.0%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	20.0	56.8%	53.2%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	10.2	34.5%	32.1%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	18.5	12.9	69.7%	71.0%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	22.9	57.1%	53.2%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.8	35.1%	32.1%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	24.0	17.6	73.2%	71.0%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	20.4	54.0%	53.2%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.0	33.7%	32.1%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.7	70.6%	71.0%	13.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Rotterdam

LWWLLLLLLL

Donar Groningen

WLWWWLLWWL

#14

League position

-14.7

Net rating

-1.6

87.0

Offensive rating

94.9

101.7

Defensive rating

96.5

50.0%

Effective FG%

53.5%

55.9%

Opp. effective FG%

53.0%

20.1%

Turnover %

14.2%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.29

38.4%

3-point %

35.5%

61.2%

Assist %

55.6%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Rotterdam ■ Donar Groningen

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rotterdam wins

Donar Groningen wins

Date	Game	Score
06/05/26	Rotterdam v Donar Groningen	76-90
28/10/25	Donar Groningen v Rotterdam	86-59
18/04/19	Rotterdam v Donar Groningen	66-82
16/02/19	Donar Groningen v Rotterdam	111-72
15/12/18	Rotterdam v Donar Groningen	77-79
28/10/18	Donar Groningen v Rotterdam	90-59
15/05/18	Rotterdam v Donar Groningen	51-107
12/05/18	Donar Groningen v Rotterdam	98-74
10/05/18	Rotterdam v Donar Groningen	85-114
08/05/18	Donar Groningen v Rotterdam	96-77

Rotterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	A	Spirou Charleroi	74-77
30/10/26	H	CB Liege	91-85
25/10/26	H	Belfius Mons	89-77
16/10/26	A	Limburg	80-87
09/10/26	A	Den Bosch	50-79
02/10/26	H	Leiden	71-76
09/05/26	A	Mechelen	73-97
06/05/26	H	Donar Groningen	76-90
02/05/26	A	Okapi Aalst	92-102
26/04/26	H	Brussels Basketball	66-83

Donar Groningenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	AEL	83-81
08/11/26	H	Limburg	73-96
03/11/26	A	Alkar	92-80
31/10/26	A	Leiden	96-83
27/10/26	H	Voluntari	90-71
25/10/26	A	Okapi Aalst	90-114
14/10/26	H	Spirou Charleroi	63-90
06/10/26	H	Leuven Bears	81-78
02/10/26	A	Kortrijk	85-76
30/09/26	A	Tal Tech	70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rotterdam

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	33%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	75.8	83.7	68.0
Allowed / game	80.2	79.3	81.0
Point differential	-4.3	+4.3	-13.0
Avg total	156.0	163.0	149.0
Over 166	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Donar Groningen

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	33%	67%
Points / game	81.3	72.3	90.3
Allowed / game	89.5	88.0	91.0
Point differential	-8.2	-15.7	-0.7
Avg total	170.8	160.3	181.3
Over 166	50%	33%	67%
Win by 10+	17%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Antwerp Giants	7	7	0	100%	99.3	78.0	+21.3
2	Spirou Charleroi	7	5	2	71%	79.0	68.0	+11.0
3	Brussels Basketball	7	5	2	71%	80.4	70.9	+9.6
4	Okapi Aalst	7	5	2	71%	91.7	86.9	+4.9
5	Limburg	6	4	2	67%	92.0	84.3	+7.7
6	Oostende	7	4	3	57%	76.9	73.1	+3.7
7	Den Bosch	7	4	3	57%	83.6	83.6	+0.0
8	Zwolle	6	3	3	50%	72.7	77.0	-4.3
9	Donar Groningen	6	3	3	50%	81.3	89.5	-8.2
10	Leiden	7	3	4	43%	77.1	78.4	-1.3
11	Mechelen	7	3	4	43%	88.4	91.0	-2.6
12	Leuven Bears	7	3	4	43%	69.9	74.6	-4.7
13	Rotterdam	6	2	4	33%	75.8	80.2	-4.3
14	Kortrijk	7	2	5	29%	83.0	82.4	+0.6
15	CB Liege	7	1	6	14%	77.0	89.0	-12.0
16	Belfius Mons	7	0	7	0%	66.9	89.4	-22.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rotterdam	24	8	22	16	70
Donar Groningen	24	21	22	16	83

← all games of the day

Rotterdam vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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