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Donar Groningen vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 70-89
12-19 25-21 22-23 11-26
Position#12
Record2-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#14
Record1-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game90.8
EuropeENBL· MartiniPlaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Tartu Ulikool
21 Jan 2025
DGR70
TUL89
27 Sep 2016
DGR76
TUL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Spisski Rytieri
#18
W
88-68
88
68
+20
87avg 70
H27/11
ENBL
LWD Basket
#10
L
71-72
71
72
-1
60avg 70
H29/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
80-88
80
88
-8
74avg 70
A01/12
BNXT League
Quick Lions
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
no box
A03/12
DBL Cup
Circus Brussels
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
66avg 70
H08/12
BNXT League
Spartak Pleven
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
76avg 70
H11/12
ENBL
Zwolle
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
86avg 70
A22/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 70
A27/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
78-112
78
112
-34
70avg 70
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
79-124
79
124
-45
63avg 70
A17/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
18-22
25-14
17-12
21-13
20-21
16-17
14-21
23-20
16-23
16-25
25-20
22-13
28-20
27-17
22-28
21-14
14-19
16-23
20-17
26-20
24-24
24-19
13-21
22-13
26-13
22-21
13-18
23-11
13-30
25-19
16-14
22-32
17-27
21-23
18-30
19-30
20-29
19-32
21-33
165.1Avg total
81.3Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.780.7160.3-1.033%
Season at home (3)86.080.3166.3+5.767%
Season away (3)73.381.0154.3-7.70%
Last 10 (10)81.383.8165.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)80.891.8172.6-11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.188.3163.4-13.27%
vs Similar (7)83.684.0167.6-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.572.6151.1+5.975%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
56avg 71
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
57avg 71
H10/12
ENBL
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
102-81
102
81
+21
97avg 71
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 71
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
65-79
65
79
-14
59avg 71
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
81-80
81
80
+1
70avg 71
H03/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#1
L
64-113
64
113
-49
49avg 71
A07/01
ENBL
Tal Tech
#10
L
76-103
76
103
-27
68avg 71
H11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
90-87
90
87
+3
84avg 71
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
84-79
84
79
+5
73avg 71
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
19-12
14-9
14-24
15-20
19-15
17-26
14-18
23-26
21-22
26-20
32-13
21-25
19-13
26-19
15-20
15-26
11-23
19-10
20-20
9-20
23-13
28-25
21-22
22-26
12-31
11-31
19-25
19-29
13-22
17-26
27-26
27-23
25-26
15-24
23-14
15-18
23-24
21-24
25-13
162.0Avg total
77.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.390.8168.2-13.517%
Season at home (3)76.088.7164.7-12.70%
Season away (3)78.793.0171.7-14.333%
Last 10 (10)77.484.6162.0-7.250%
Last 5 (5)79.092.4171.4-13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.883.8156.6-11.115%
vs Similar (8)80.179.0159.1+1.175%
vs Weaker (9)86.380.8167.1+5.678%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
Donar GroningenTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spisski Rytieri
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H27/11
ENBL
LWD Basket
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H29/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A01/12
BNXT League
Quick Lions
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A03/12
DBL Cup
Circus Brussels
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H08/12
BNXT League
Spartak Pleven
#17
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H11/12
ENBL
Zwolle
#15
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A22/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A17/01
BNXT League
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.781.4-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.540.682.2+0.969%-
Last 30 away (17)38.342.580.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.888.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.442.979.4-6.529%-
vs Similar (7)43.344.687.9-1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.038.079.0+3.075%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/12
ENBL
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H03/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#1
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A07/01
ENBL
Tal Tech
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
80.7Avg total
37.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.378.9-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.140.478.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.379.2-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.043.780.7-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.646.484.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.841.275.9-6.423%-
vs Similar (8)39.836.576.2+3.262%-
vs Weaker (9)42.942.685.4+0.367%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.0
56.5%
53.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.7
30.6%
35.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
72.5%12.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.8
47.8%
53.7%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.5
30.5%
35.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
72.5%14.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LLWWWLWLLW
Tartu Ulikool
WWLLWLWWLL
#12
League position
#14
-7.2
Net rating
-10.2
103.6
Offensive rating
102.3
110.8
Defensive rating
112.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
22.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.6%
3-point %
30.5%
55.1%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 102.3Defence110.8 · 112.5Shooting52.2% · 47.0%3-point %30.6% · 30.5%Ball care22.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donar Groningen wins
2
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25AKortrijk79-124
11/01/25HOostende78-112
27/12/24AQSTA Utd77-74
22/12/24AZwolle83-65
11/12/24HSpartak Pleven87-84
08/12/24HCircus Brussels71-73
03/12/24AQuick Lions99-78
01/12/24AFeyenoord80-88
29/11/24HLWD Basket71-72
27/11/24HSpisski Rytieri88-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25ABC Kalev/Cramo84-79
14/01/25AParnu90-87
11/01/25HTal Tech76-103
07/01/25AVoluntari64-113
03/01/25HBK Liepaja81-80
28/12/24ARigas Zelli65-79
22/12/24AViimsi81-77
13/12/24AKeila Coolbet102-81
10/12/24HDziki Warszawa65-79
06/12/24HBK Ogre66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
ENBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game79.786.073.3
Allowed / game80.780.381.0
Point differential-1.0+5.7-7.7
Avg total160.3166.3154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Tartu Ulikool
ENBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game77.376.078.7
Allowed / game90.888.793.0
Point differential-13.5-12.7-14.3
Avg total168.2164.7171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovan Bratislava770100%90.785.0+5.7
2 Bamberg76186%86.173.9+12.3
3 Valmiera Glass Via76186%92.383.3+9.0
4 Newcastle Eagles76186%80.673.4+7.1
5 Voluntari75271%94.377.9+16.4
6 Dziki Warszawa75271%87.177.3+9.9
7 Legia64267%87.282.3+4.8
8 Bakken Bears74357%82.373.9+8.4
9 Opava74357%80.384.0-3.7
10 Bristol Flyers73443%79.379.3+0.0
11 Donar Groningen62433%79.780.7-1.0
12 Brno62433%83.586.2-2.7
13 Dinamo Bucharest72529%79.185.3-6.1
14 Keila Coolbet61517%75.586.5-11.0
15 Tartu Ulikool61517%77.390.8-13.5
16 Fyllingen71614%77.189.9-12.7
17 Spisski Rytieri71614%78.793.9-15.1
18 Spartak Pleven6060%75.788.7-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1225221170
Tartu Ulikool1921232689
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