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Dorados vs Gambusinos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 91-77
32-14 18-27 12-20 29-16
Position#6
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game78.6
Dorados 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game78.6
MexicoLNBPRound 8· Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dorados v Gambusinos
12 Oct 2026
DORA88
GAMB87
11 Oct 2026
DORA98
GAMB83
11 Aug 2026
DORA91
GAMB77
10 Aug 2026
DORA89
GAMB81
03 Oct 2025
DORA94
GAMB91
02 Oct 2025
DORA131
GAMB75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dorados winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gambusinos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDorados
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 82
H14/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
65-81
65
81
-16
51avg 82
H15/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 82
A18/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H25/07
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
H26/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
83avg 82
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
67-87
67
87
-20
57avg 82
H02/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
96-67
96
67
+29
100avg 82
A06/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
81avg 82
A07/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 82
H11/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
31-16
10-23
28-25
13-17
14-27
11-20
27-17
20-29
30-18
22-23
11-19
22-13
24-24
16-18
22-25
21-16
27-23
19-23
22-17
22-9
25-29
24-14
15-18
17-14
16-32
10-20
24-21
28-15
26-13
27-19
15-20
25-22
25-23
21-19
21-22
25-34
21-9
15-11
28-27
165.1Avg total
84.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.178.6164.7+7.686%
Season at home (5)83.079.4162.4+3.680%
Season away (2)94.076.5170.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.780.4165.1+4.370%
Last 5 (5)86.078.2164.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.087.0165.0-9.025%
vs Similar (7)86.182.7168.9+3.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.579.6168.2+8.968%
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGambusinos
Date
Competition
Freseros
#14
W
104-85
104
85
+19
no box
H28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
75-131
75
131
-56
68avg 66
A03/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 66
A04/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H25/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H26/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
62-69
62
69
-7
47avg 66
A31/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
57-71
57
71
-14
49avg 66
A01/08
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 66
H06/08
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
69-88
69
88
-19
58avg 66
H07/08
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
72avg 66
A11/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
25-29
20-12
31-15
18-33
18-37
21-28
18-33
19-33
22-18
22-22
28-21
24-23
15-22
32-14
15-12
18-23
18-25
16-21
28-19
11-17
12-19
21-17
18-16
8-19
19-14
15-23
15-15
22-25
21-16
18-10
23-23
16-21
16-33
22-20
15-14
34-25
9-21
11-15
27-28
164.9Avg total
78.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.178.6152.7-4.429%
Season at home (4)79.880.2160.0-0.550%
Season away (3)66.776.3143.0-9.70%
Last 10 (10)78.986.0164.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)70.678.2148.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)80.589.9170.4-9.418%
vs Similar (4)86.288.0174.2-1.825%
vs Weaker (4)90.080.8170.8+9.2100%
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
DoradosGambusinos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H14/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A18/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H25/07
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H02/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A06/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A07/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/08
LNBP
86.2Avg total
45.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.141.187.1+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.140.486.4+5.776%-
Last 30 away (13)46.142.088.1+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)45.940.386.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.086.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.249.288.5-10.025%-
vs Similar (7)47.441.488.9+6.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.039.286.2+7.879%-
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Freseros
#14
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
36-70
36
70
-34
A03/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H26/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A31/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A01/08
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/08
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H07/08
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/08
LNBP
85.5Avg total
37.3Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.947.487.3-7.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.946.588.4-4.631%-
Last 30 away (14)37.648.486.1-10.814%-
Last 10 (10)37.348.285.5-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.075.6-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.247.385.5-9.114%-
vs Similar (4)42.550.893.2-8.225%-
vs Weaker (4)47.044.591.5+2.575%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Doradostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dorados: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.9
52.5%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
34.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.2
70.4%
71.7%15.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gambusinostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gambusinos: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.413.7
46.6%
54.1%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.3
30.5%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.318.3
75.3%
71.7%18.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 12 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dorados
WWWLWWWLLW
Gambusinos
LLWLLLWLLW
#6
League position
#11
+3.8
Net rating
-16.6
103.3
Offensive rating
87.4
99.5
Defensive rating
104.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
46.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.4%
3-point %
30.5%
63.4%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 87.4Defence99.5 · 104.0Shooting52.1% · 46.2%3-point %34.4% · 30.5%Ball care15.0% · 18.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Dorados   ■ Gambusinos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dorados wins
1
Gambusinos wins
DateGameScore
11/08/26Dorados v Gambusinos89-81
04/10/25Dorados v Gambusinos94-91
03/10/25Dorados v Gambusinos131-75
13/07/25Gambusinos v Dorados64-83
12/07/25Gambusinos v Dorados88-80
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/08/26HGambusinos89-81
07/08/26AFuerza Regia92-86
06/08/26AFuerza Regia96-67
02/08/26HDiablos Rojos67-87
01/08/26HDiablos Rojos86-70
26/07/26HFreseros89-79
25/07/26HFreseros84-80
18/10/25ADiablos Rojos83-89
15/10/25HDiablos Rojos65-81
14/10/25HDiablos Rojos96-84
Gambusinoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/08/26ADorados81-89
07/08/26HPanteras69-88
06/08/26HPanteras84-74
01/08/26ASoles57-71
31/07/26ASoles62-69
26/07/26HAstros80-88
25/07/26HAstros86-71
04/10/25ADorados91-94
03/10/25ADorados75-131
28/09/25HFreseros104-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dorados
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game86.183.094.0
Allowed / game78.679.476.5
Point differential+7.6+3.6+17.5
Avg total164.7162.4170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gambusinos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game74.179.866.7
Allowed / game78.680.276.3
Point differential-4.4-0.5-9.7
Avg total152.7160.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dorados76186%86.178.6+7.6
2 Astros86275%86.080.2+5.8
3 Soles64267%81.074.2+6.8
4 Santos64267%82.883.5-0.7
5 Mineros85362%88.481.9+6.5
6 Fuerza Regia85362%85.086.4-1.4
7 Panteras63350%84.381.8+2.5
8 Abejas63350%90.090.0+0.0
9 Lobos Plateados63350%76.077.7-1.7
10 Freseros73443%86.092.0-6.0
11 Diablos Rojos83538%83.482.8+0.6
12 Gambusinos72529%74.178.6-4.4
13 El Calor de Cancun82625%77.683.4-5.8
14 Correcaminos91811%84.091.6-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dorados3218122991
Gambusinos1427201677
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