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Dorados vs Gambusinos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 98-83
27-14 19-18 26-26 26-25
Position#6
Record17-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.6
Dorados 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#11
Record11-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game83.1
MexicoLNBP· Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dorados v Gambusinos
12 Oct 2026
DORA88
GAMB87
11 Oct 2026
DORA98
GAMB83
11 Aug 2026
DORA91
GAMB77
10 Aug 2026
DORA89
GAMB81
03 Oct 2025
DORA94
GAMB91
02 Oct 2025
DORA131
GAMB75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dorados winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gambusinos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDorados
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 77
H16/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
83avg 77
H17/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
61avg 77
A20/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
79-77
79
77
+2
71avg 77
A20/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
72avg 77
H26/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
64-97
64
97
-33
48avg 77
H27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
71avg 77
A02/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
71avg 77
A03/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 77
A07/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
105-77
105
77
+28
105avg 77
A08/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
21-25
21-30
20-17
22-28
29-26
22-19
24-13
3-23
20-22
19-14
27-10
19-18
20-10
20-20
20-29
17-33
30-23
13-19
21-23
21-19
13-29
8-24
22-25
19-22
19-30
19-23
28-16
28-18
15-23
21-27
21-13
29-18
25-19
27-22
24-26
28-19
26-27
25-15
26-16
174.0Avg total
87.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.084.6170.6+1.561%
Season at home (14)85.785.3171.0+0.464%
Season away (14)86.483.9170.2+2.557%
Last 10 (10)87.286.8174.0+0.460%
Last 5 (5)88.886.2175.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.089.8165.8-13.825%
vs Similar (10)83.183.6166.7-0.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.983.9172.8+4.975%
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGambusinos
Date
Competition
Santos
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
78avg 70
H16/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
78-109
78
109
-31
65avg 70
H17/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
93avg 70
A21/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 70
A22/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
103-90
103
90
+13
96avg 70
H26/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
102-83
102
83
+19
98avg 70
H27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
52avg 70
A02/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
67-74
67
74
-7
50avg 70
A03/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 70
A07/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
71-86
71
86
-15
65avg 70
A08/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
26-22
14-15
26-20
21-32
19-31
24-23
14-23
18-20
22-25
27-19
29-25
24-21
15-20
25-17
21-29
27-25
26-20
29-22
21-23
28-28
23-18
23-16
28-21
12-29
20-23
19-15
20-15
12-14
15-25
22-17
18-18
20-19
23-25
19-31
27-21
18-18
21-22
11-23
21-23
172.4Avg total
85.1Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.883.1162.9-3.439%
Season at home (14)81.482.6164.0-1.150%
Season away (14)78.183.6161.7-5.629%
Last 10 (10)85.187.3172.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)80.084.2164.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.287.1165.3-8.922%
vs Similar (8)78.481.2159.6-2.950%
vs Weaker (4)91.283.5174.8+7.875%
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
DoradosGambusinos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H17/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A20/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A20/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H26/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A02/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A07/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A08/10
LNBP
88.2Avg total
43.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.787.3-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.144.387.5-1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)44.143.187.1+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.988.2-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.644.889.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.844.280.0-8.525%-
vs Similar (10)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.543.990.4+2.669%-
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
40-63
40
63
-23
H17/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A22/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H26/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A02/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A03/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/10
LNBP
87.0Avg total
41.3Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.184.5-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.345.187.4-2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)36.845.181.9-8.412%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.787.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.282.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.046.484.4-8.417%-
vs Similar (8)37.843.481.1-5.638%-
vs Weaker (4)48.542.891.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Doradostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dorados: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.0
52.4%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.1
34.2%
34.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.113.8
68.7%
71.7%13.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gambusinostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gambusinos: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.7
51.2%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.4
34.6%
34.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
71.7%14.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dorados
WWWLLLWLWW
Gambusinos
LLLLWWLWLW
#6
League position
#11
-0.3
Net rating
-2.5
97.5
Offensive rating
95.6
97.9
Defensive rating
98.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
34.6%
62.1%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 95.6Defence97.9 · 98.0Shooting51.9% · 51.5%3-point %34.2% · 34.6%Ball care12.6% · 12.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Dorados   ■ Gambusinos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dorados wins
1
Gambusinos wins
DateGameScore
12/08/26Dorados v Gambusinos91-77
11/08/26Dorados v Gambusinos89-81
04/10/25Dorados v Gambusinos94-91
03/10/25Dorados v Gambusinos131-75
13/07/25Gambusinos v Dorados64-83
12/07/25Gambusinos v Dorados88-80
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26AFreseros105-77
07/10/26AFreseros105-85
03/10/26APanteras85-81
02/10/26APanteras85-91
27/09/26HSoles64-97
26/09/26HSoles81-98
20/09/26AAstros79-77
20/09/26AAstros80-87 OT
17/09/26HEl Calor de Cancun97-86
16/09/26HEl Calor de Cancun91-89
Gambusinoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26AAstros71-86
07/10/26AAstros89-96
03/10/26AEl Calor de Cancun67-74
02/10/26AEl Calor de Cancun71-82
27/09/26HCorrecaminos102-83
26/09/26HCorrecaminos103-90
22/09/26AMineros85-87
21/09/26AMineros96-89
17/09/26HSantos78-109
16/09/26HSantos89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dorados
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeLWWLL64%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game86.085.786.4
Allowed / game84.685.383.9
Point differential+1.5+0.4+2.5
Avg total170.6171.0170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Gambusinos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%50%29%
Points / game79.881.478.1
Allowed / game83.182.683.6
Point differential-3.4-1.1-5.6
Avg total162.9164.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2821775%85.174.6+10.4
2 Astros2820871%88.380.2+8.1
3 Fuerza Regia2819968%89.785.0+4.7
4 Panteras2819968%88.585.0+3.5
5 Lobos Plateados28181064%84.580.4+4.1
6 Dorados28171161%86.084.6+1.5
7 Mineros28151354%86.184.7+1.4
8 Abejas28121643%85.385.4-0.1
9 Diablos Rojos28111739%81.984.6-2.8
10 Gambusinos28111739%79.883.1-3.4
11 Santos28111739%84.589.2-4.6
12 El Calor de Cancun2891932%81.385.1-3.9
13 Freseros2891932%85.092.4-7.4
14 Correcaminos2842414%82.594.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dorados2719262698
Gambusinos1418262583
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