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Dorados vs Diablos Rojos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 65-81
13-17 14-27 11-20 27-17
Position#6
Record20-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#4
Record21-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game81.9
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Quarter-finals· Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dorados v Diablos Rojos
01 Aug 2026
DORA67
DIAB87
31 Jul 2026
DORA86
DIAB70
14 Oct 2025
DORA65
DIAB81
13 Oct 2025
DORA96
DIAB84
19 Jul 2025
DORA90
DIAB110
18 Jul 2025
DORA88
DIAB72
31 Oct 2024
DORA90
DIAB94
30 Oct 2024
DORA76
DIAB77
23 Aug 2024
DORA99
DIAB84
22 Aug 2024
DORA85
DIAB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dorados winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diablos Rojos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDorados
Date
Competition
Freseros
#14
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
A15/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H21/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
89-57
89
57
+32
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
131-75
131
75
+56
136avg 93
H03/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
94-91
94
91
+3
86avg 93
H04/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
72avg 93
A10/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
72avg 93
A11/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 93
H14/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
19-20
23-15
20-15
17-27
19-19
20-21
17-23
24-19
21-21
21-18
10-26
23-34
21-24
22-16
17-19
28-12
27-14
18-18
16-13
33-18
37-18
28-21
33-18
33-19
18-22
22-22
21-28
32-28
20-21
16-21
17-24
18-15
23-26
22-17
23-20
27-20
31-16
10-23
28-25
171.7Avg total
90.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.581.3167.8+5.261%
Season at home (17)89.382.8172.1+6.565%
Season away (16)83.579.7163.2+3.856%
Last 10 (10)90.581.2171.7+9.360%
Last 5 (5)98.484.4182.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.885.0162.8-7.233%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.486.9175.3+1.657%
vs Weaker (17)88.977.8166.7+11.171%
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diablos RojosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRojos
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A15/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
no box
H20/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
114-84
114
84
+30
no box
H21/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
84avg 76
H10/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 76
H11/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
84-96
84
96
-12
72avg 76
A14/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
18-20
19-21
21-25
19-28
29-22
26-18
16-19
23-22
28-26
23-21
23-22
27-27
26-11
33-24
19-18
21-23
37-14
26-20
30-27
15-17
19-22
20-19
19-13
21-19
22-27
26-18
15-19
28-32
21-20
21-16
24-17
15-18
26-23
17-22
20-23
20-27
16-31
23-10
25-28
174.2Avg total
89.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)91.781.9173.6+9.868%
Season at home (16)101.281.5182.8+19.881%
Season away (15)81.582.3163.8-0.753%
Last 10 (10)89.884.4174.2+5.470%
Last 5 (5)82.684.2166.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.585.0164.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.986.3171.2-1.444%
vs Weaker (19)95.579.4174.9+16.184%
This opponent (Dorados) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
DoradosDiablos Rojos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Freseros
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A15/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
55-26
55
26
+29
A28/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
70-36
70
36
+34
H03/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A10/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H14/10
LNBP
91.0Avg total
50.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.487.2+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.641.087.6+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)45.141.786.8+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)50.140.991.0+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)54.440.695.0+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.848.588.3-8.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.943.188.0+1.743%-
vs Weaker (17)48.438.186.5+10.282%-
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diablos RojosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H21/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A14/10
LNBP
89.6Avg total
45.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.141.587.6+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.840.592.3+11.380%-
Last 30 away (15)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.489.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.647.287.8-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.537.076.5+2.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.644.085.6-2.433%-
vs Weaker (19)48.940.889.8+8.168%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Doradostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dorados: 98.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.4
55.2%
50.3%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.8
43.0%
36.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
74.6%13.4
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diablos Rojostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diablos Rojos: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.0
48.4%
50.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.012.0
40.0%
36.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws14.38.7
60.5%
74.6%8.7
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dorados
WWLWWWLLLW
Diablos Rojos
LLWWWWWWWL
#6
League position
#4
+20.1
Net rating
-5.8
128.7
Offensive rating
113.6
108.6
Defensive rating
119.4
59.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
41.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
43.0%
3-point %
40.0%
58.6%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence128.7 · 113.6Defence108.6 · 119.4Shooting59.0% · 53.3%3-point %43.0% · 40.0%Ball care14.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds37.8% · 41.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Dorados   ■ Diablos Rojos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dorados wins
5
Diablos Rojos wins
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25HDiablos Rojos96-84
11/10/25ADiablos Rojos86-78
10/10/25ADiablos Rojos85-94
04/10/25HGambusinos94-91
03/10/25HGambusinos131-75
28/09/25ASantos89-57
27/09/25ASantos83-93
21/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa76-84
20/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa73-90
15/09/25AFreseros92-66
Diablos Rojoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25ADorados84-96
11/10/25HDorados78-86
10/10/25HDorados94-85
28/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun84-83
27/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun73-71
21/09/25HCorrecaminos114-84
20/09/25HCorrecaminos105-80
15/09/25APanteras97-91
14/09/25APanteras90-87
10/09/25HAstros79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dorados
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeLLWWW65%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %61%65%56%
Points / game86.589.383.5
Allowed / game81.382.879.7
Point differential+5.2+6.5+3.8
Avg total167.8172.1163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%41%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Diablos Rojos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeLWWWL81%
AwayWWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%81%53%
Points / game91.7101.281.5
Allowed / game81.981.582.3
Point differential+9.8+19.8-0.7
Avg total173.6182.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros3128390%90.476.6+13.8
2 Soles3126584%88.878.5+10.4
3 Fuerza Regia3122971%92.782.4+10.4
4 Diablos Rojos31211068%91.781.9+9.8
5 Dorados33201361%86.581.3+5.2
6 Mineros33201361%85.082.3+2.7
7 Panteras33161748%88.387.3+1.0
8 Halcones de Xalapa34151944%79.680.8-1.1
9 El Calor de Cancun31121939%79.782.7-2.9
10 Correcaminos30111937%84.392.8-8.5
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos3072323%79.488.8-9.4
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dorados1314112765
Diablos Rojos1727201781
← all games of the day
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