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Drake vs Northern Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 53-75
0-0 24-39 0-0 29-36
Position#271
Record12-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#88
Record18-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game61.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Drake v Northern Iowa
30 Jan 2027
DRAK v NORT
upcoming
01 Mar 2026
DRAK53
NORT75
29 Jan 2025
DRAK66
NORT52
27 Jan 2024
DRAK77
NORT63
01 Feb 2023
DRAK88
NORT81
05 Feb 2022
DRAK69
NORT74
10 Feb 2021
DRAK80
NORT59
29 Feb 2020
DRAK43
NORT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-24
0-0
50-38
0-0
30-36
0-0
52-42
0-0
35-41
0-0
38-46
0-0
43-51
0-0
47-52
0-0
32-47
0-0
44-39
0-0
40-38
0-0
36-43
0-0
38-40
0-0
32-40
0-0
29-38
0-0
33-48
0-0
36-31
0-0
25-35
0-0
37-36
0-0
34-38
154.0Avg total
73.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.075.2151.2+0.940%
Season at home (18)78.073.4151.4+4.639%
Season away (12)73.177.8150.8-4.742%
Last 10 (10)73.780.3154.0-6.620%
Last 5 (5)68.077.4145.4-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.581.4153.9-8.80%
vs Similar (13)74.175.8149.9-1.846%
vs Weaker (5)84.464.4148.8+20.0100%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
89-60
89
60
+29
A10/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A13/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A19/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-38
0-0
44-38
0-0
19-27
0-0
31-38
0-0
41-21
0-0
30-34
0-0
30-23
0-0
31-26
0-0
39-31
0-0
50-29
0-0
45-45
0-0
41-46
0-0
38-29
0-0
48-33
0-0
36-34
0-0
45-26
0-0
30-33
0-0
27-26
0-0
23-28
0-0
46-43
137.9Avg total
73.1Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.161.4130.5+7.760%
Season at home (17)71.660.6132.2+11.171%
Season away (13)65.862.5128.2+3.346%
Last 10 (10)73.164.8137.9+8.360%
Last 5 (5)75.868.6144.4+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.063.0122.0-4.00%
vs Similar (11)66.767.5134.3-0.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)71.857.2129.1+14.682%
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +5.4+5.4
DrakeNorthern Iowa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A07/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
NCAA
72.8Avg total
34.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.669.9-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.935.172.1+1.839%-
Last 30 away (12)30.336.266.6-5.942%-
Last 10 (10)34.638.272.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.672.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.939.173.0-5.29%-
vs Similar (13)32.435.868.2-3.554%-
vs Weaker (5)38.828.867.6+10.060%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A10/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H26/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.8Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.061.5+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.628.862.5+4.859%-
Last 30 away (13)30.829.360.2+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.964.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.868.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.031.058.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)30.630.561.2+0.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)34.227.862.1+6.465%-
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Drake wins
3
Northern Iowa wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Northern Iowa v Drake86-62
23/02/25Northern Iowa v Drake58-64 OT
30/01/25Drake v Northern Iowa66-52
24/02/24Northern Iowa v Drake91-77
27/01/24Drake v Northern Iowa77-63
16/02/23Northern Iowa v Drake74-82
02/02/23Drake v Northern Iowa88-81 OT
05/02/22Drake v Northern Iowa69-74 OT
22/01/22Northern Iowa v Drake74-82 OT
18/02/21Northern Iowa v Drake69-77
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AValparaiso71-74
19/02/26HSouthern Illinois61-66
15/02/26ANorthern Iowa62-86
13/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)70-80
10/02/26HValparaiso76-81
07/02/26AIllinois State76-86
04/02/26ABelmont90-103
31/01/26HBradley73-87
29/01/26HEvansville82-78
24/01/26AIndiana State76-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HIllinois State69-71
21/02/26HSouthern Illinois57-59
19/02/26AIndiana State81-60
15/02/26HDrake86-62
13/02/26ABelmont86-91
10/02/26AMurray State89-60
07/02/26HBradley61-49
31/01/26HEvansville71-55
29/01/26ASouthern Illinois50-65
24/01/26HMurray State81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWLLLL39%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %40%39%42%
Points / game76.078.073.1
Allowed / game75.273.477.8
Point differential+0.9+4.6-4.7
Avg total151.2151.4150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)22% (9)67% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Northern Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLLWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %60%71%46%
Points / game69.171.665.8
Allowed / game61.460.662.5
Point differential+7.7+11.1+3.3
Avg total130.5132.2128.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)25% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont3126584%83.373.1+10.2
2 Bradley31201165%77.573.1+4.4
3 Murray State31201165%83.579.5+3.9
4 Illinois State30191163%75.768.1+7.6
5 Northern Iowa30181260%69.161.4+7.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)31171455%75.369.8+5.5
7 Valparaiso31171455%71.971.2+0.7
8 Southern Illinois30151550%73.169.7+3.3
9 Drake30121840%76.075.2+0.9
10 Indiana State31112035%73.974.8-0.9
11 Evansville3072323%67.276.6-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Drake02402953
Northern Iowa03903675
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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