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Illinois State vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-76
47-32 39-44
Position#96
Record15-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#271
Record12-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois State v Drake
18 Jan 2027
ILLI v DRAK
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
ILLI86
DRAK76
12 Feb 2025
ILLI77
DRAK84
17 Jan 2024
ILLI56
DRAK77
26 Jan 2022
ILLI88
DRAK89
22 Feb 2020
ILLI57
DRAK53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#271
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
59-63 OT
59
63
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-27
42-29
46-28
27-19
23-35
48-42
25-28
26-23
42-51
47-43
44-29
44-33
24-16
35-38
36-44
33-36
35-29
35-36
24-22
26-32
135.3Avg total
70.1Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.366.4142.7+9.965%
Season at home (13)77.858.8136.7+19.085%
Season away (10)74.276.2150.4-2.040%
Last 10 (10)70.165.2135.3+4.950%
Last 5 (5)67.263.0130.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
vs Similar (11)68.867.0135.8+1.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.967.7145.6+10.269%
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
41-33
19-40
47-53
44-25
32-53
26-37
41-30
22-34
45-40
44-41
57-49
26-24
50-38
30-36
52-42
35-41
38-46
43-51
47-52
159.1Avg total
78.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.774.2152.0+3.550%
Season at home (15)79.873.0152.8+6.847%
Season away (9)74.276.3150.6-2.156%
Last 10 (10)78.181.0159.1-2.950%
Last 5 (5)84.484.0168.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.880.4154.1-6.60%
vs Similar (13)73.072.8145.8+0.262%
vs Weaker (8)77.160.6137.8+16.5100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +1.4+1.4
Illinois StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
24-16
24
16
+8
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H04/02
NCAA
63.9Avg total
33.0Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.367.0+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.726.164.8+12.688%-
Last 30 away (14)32.137.369.4-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)33.030.963.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.628.060.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (11)30.532.062.5-1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.631.269.8+7.369%-
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
32.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.666.7-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.233.368.5+1.842%-
Last 30 away (11)29.634.063.6-4.445%-
Last 10 (10)32.236.869.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.674.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.238.172.4-3.912%-
vs Similar (13)30.734.565.2-3.846%-
vs Weaker (8)35.028.463.4+6.662%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois State wins
9
Drake wins
DateGameScore
30/12/25Drake v Illinois State56-73
13/02/25Illinois State v Drake77-84
16/01/25Drake v Illinois State66-62
18/01/24Illinois State v Drake56-77
03/01/24Drake v Illinois State88-71
23/02/23Drake v Illinois State82-51
27/01/22Illinois State v Drake88-89 OT
13/01/22Drake v Illinois State86-75
02/02/21Drake v Illinois State95-60
31/01/21Drake v Illinois State78-76 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HSouthern Illinois50-54
29/01/26AMurray State70-65
24/01/26ABelmont69-80
22/01/26HNorthern Iowa59-54
17/01/26HBradley88-62
15/01/26AIndiana State89-94
10/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)59-63 OT
08/01/26AValparaiso71-77
01/01/26HEvansville73-47
30/12/25ADrake73-56
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26ABelmont90-103
31/01/26HBradley73-87
29/01/26HEvansville82-78
24/01/26AIndiana State76-62
22/01/26HMurray State101-90
17/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)67-74
15/01/26ASouthern Illinois76-73 OT
10/01/26HBelmont76-78
08/01/26ABradley66-93
04/01/26HIndiana State74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL65%
HomeWLWWL85%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %65%85%40%
Points / game76.377.874.2
Allowed / game66.458.876.2
Point differential+9.9+19.0-2.0
Avg total142.7136.7150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%69%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWLWWL47%
AwayLWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %50%47%56%
Points / game77.779.874.2
Allowed / game74.273.076.3
Point differential+3.5+6.8-2.1
Avg total152.0152.8150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)29% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %8%7%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2521484%82.772.7+10.0
2 Murray State2417771%86.179.0+7.0
3 Bradley2416867%77.872.9+4.9
4 Illinois State2315865%76.366.4+9.9
5 Northern Iowa2314961%67.160.4+6.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)24131154%75.170.4+4.7
7 Drake24121250%77.774.2+3.5
8 Valparaiso23111248%71.170.3+0.8
9 Southern Illinois23101343%73.771.0+2.7
10 Indiana State24101442%75.774.7+1.0
11 Evansville2351822%67.074.5-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State473986
Drake324476
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