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Northern Iowa vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-76
37-38 44-38
Position#88
Record12-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game59.7
vs
Position#102
Record16-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Murray State
21 Jan 2027
NORT v MURR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NORT81
MURR76
08 Jan 2025
NORT68
MURR71
03 Feb 2024
NORT43
MURR71
10 Jan 2023
NORT75
MURR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A17/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A23/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A04/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-27
37-27
27-28
31-35
22-22
36-26
33-38
42-28
34-18
28-30
32-36
33-42
37-40
32-35
32-29
29-40
18-22
26-32
16-24
38-35
122.0Avg total
60.6Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)67.159.7126.8+7.460%
Season at home (11)72.159.8131.9+12.373%
Season away (9)61.059.6120.6+1.444%
Last 10 (10)60.661.4122.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)58.667.0125.6-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.763.3122.0-4.70%
vs Similar (13)67.166.5133.5+0.654%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)71.056.5127.5+14.585%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
W
115-100
115
100
+15
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
90-101
90
101
-11
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-42
68-58
36-30
45-42
36-39
49-40
47-34
37-47
36-40
45-37
50-32
36-34
42-30
37-39
45-36
47-43
47-37
38-44
41-44
49-57
168.3Avg total
87.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.978.5166.4+9.580%
Season at home (12)89.273.2162.3+16.0100%
Season away (8)86.086.4172.4-0.450%
Last 10 (10)87.880.5168.3+7.390%
Last 5 (5)86.479.2165.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.879.7156.5-2.833%
vs Similar (16)80.975.2156.2+5.769%
vs Weaker (8)84.667.2151.9+17.4100%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +1.0+1.0
Northern IowaMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A17/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
34-18
34
18
+16
A04/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
18-22
18
22
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A22/01
NCAA
55.8Avg total
27.4Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.130.863.9+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.730.865.5+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)31.330.762.0+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)27.428.455.8-1.020%-
Last 5 (5)27.030.257.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.030.757.7-3.70%-
vs Similar (13)32.532.765.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)35.228.763.9+6.569%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/01
NCAA
79.1Avg total
42.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.272.0+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.631.871.3+7.883%-
Last 30 away (12)35.237.873.1-2.642%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.479.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.880.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.336.769.0-4.367%-
vs Similar (16)37.435.472.9+2.050%-
vs Weaker (8)42.829.972.6+12.9100%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Northern Iowa wins
2
Murray State wins
Northern Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26AIllinois State54-59
17/01/26AValparaiso44-54
14/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)61-69
10/01/26ABradley69-75
08/01/26HBelmont65-78
04/01/26AEvansville62-48
02/01/26HIndiana State75-66
30/12/25HValparaiso58-48
23/12/25ASt. Marys (CA)58-63
17/12/25AIllinois (Chi.)60-54
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26ADrake90-101
17/01/26HIndiana State85-81
10/01/26HValparaiso92-79
08/01/26AEvansville79-69
04/01/26HBradley86-66
02/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)81-77
30/12/25HSouthern Illinois84-81
21/12/25AValparaiso85-79
19/12/25HDrake81-72
13/12/25AAkron115-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL60%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%73%44%
Points / game67.172.161.0
Allowed / game59.759.859.6
Point differential+7.4+12.3+1.4
Avg total126.8131.9120.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%55%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %10%9%11%
Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game87.989.286.0
Allowed / game78.573.286.4
Point differential+9.4+16.0-0.4
Avg total166.3162.3172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%58%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2218482%81.071.1+9.9
2 Murray State2016480%87.978.5+9.4
3 Illinois State2114767%77.867.0+10.8
4 Bradley2114767%78.072.7+5.3
5 Northern Iowa2012860%67.159.7+7.4
6 Drake21111052%77.172.1+5.0
7 Illinois (Chi.)20101050%75.069.9+5.0
8 Valparaiso20101050%70.869.7+1.1
9 Indiana State2191243%75.575.1+0.4
10 Southern Illinois2081240%75.573.2+2.2
11 Evansville2051525%67.273.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Iowa374481
Murray State383876
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