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Dresden vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-88
20-24 19-29 27-13 19-22
Position#16
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Dresden
Germany
vs
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
Position#12
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup· Margon Arena (Dresden)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dresden v Hamburg
24 Sep 2023
DRES85
HAM88
22 Dec 2016
DRES75
HAM61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDresden
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H25/03
Pro A
Leverkusen
#17
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
no box
A01/04
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
H09/04
Pro A
Paderborn
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H16/04
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
L
69-98
69
98
-29
no box
A19/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H23/04
Pro A
Munster
#14
L
81-106
81
106
-25
no box
A29/04
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
94-96
94
96
-2
no box
A05/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
H07/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
A10/05
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
27-13
18-26
14-20
27-30
14-19
27-24
23-18
17-21
20-25
23-21
17-19
13-15
26-20
23-22
26-23
19-25
15-29
19-18
16-26
16-20
22-17
20-23
23-21
10-24
24-32
25-30
22-20
34-31
23-25
15-21
22-19
20-20
22-26
21-21
9-22
20-27
12-19
21-23
23-20
174.8Avg total
82.8Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.892.0174.8-9.220%
Last 5 (5)83.093.4176.4-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.290.2164.5-16.00%
vs Similar (23)84.784.8169.5-0.157%
vs Weaker (3)94.080.3174.3+13.767%
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
54avg 74
A01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
98-71
98
71
+27
101avg 74
A04/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
78-112
78
112
-34
66avg 74
A09/04
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 74
A11/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 74
H16/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 74
H19/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
80-123
80
123
-43
75avg 74
A22/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 74
H25/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
78-88
78
88
-10
78avg 74
A07/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-25
14-13
15-18
26-22
29-13
20-19
23-17
23-26
14-32
24-26
17-28
20-28
20-20
16-21
23-18
11-20
21-20
15-28
16-15
24-23
26-27
17-13
23-23
18-37
19-31
22-33
21-22
17-18
21-12
15-16
24-20
21-25
29-17
17-18
13-27
21-21
28-16
12-23
17-28
166.8Avg total
78.9Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.987.9166.8-9.030%
Last 5 (5)81.090.0171.0-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.287.8162.0-13.78%
vs Similar (15)83.286.7169.9-3.540%
vs Weaker (2)94.575.5170.0+19.0100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
DresdenHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H25/03
Pro A
Leverkusen
#17
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/04
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/04
Pro A
Paderborn
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/04
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A19/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/04
Pro A
Munster
#14
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A29/04
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A05/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/05
Pro A
85.9Avg total
39.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.284.1-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.279.9+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.288.3-6.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.946.085.9-6.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.648.288.8-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.044.282.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (23)40.543.484.0-2.948%-
vs Weaker (3)47.340.087.3+7.367%-
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A04/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A09/04
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H19/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A22/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/05
BBL
87.8Avg total
42.5Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.085.9-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.242.383.5-1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)42.545.487.9-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)42.545.387.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.490.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.945.785.6-5.831%-
vs Similar (15)42.943.186.0-0.160%-
vs Weaker (2)47.039.586.5+7.550%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.8
49.0%
53.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
32.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.415.9
74.3%
74.1%15.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dresden wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
22/12/16Dresden v Hamburg75-61
03/12/16Hamburg v Dresden86-54
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/23AGiessen76-89
07/05/23HGiessen72-89
05/05/23AGiessen94-96
29/04/23AMunster81-106
23/04/23HDusseldorf92-87 OT
19/04/23ATubingen69-98
16/04/23HPaderborn88-80
09/04/23HVechta77-86
01/04/23ALeverkusen102-108 OT
25/03/23HBremerhaven77-81
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23ABasketball Braunschweig78-88
29/04/23AChemnitz80-87
25/04/23HCrailsheim Merlins77-66
22/04/23ASyntainics MBC80-123
19/04/23HHeidelberg90-86
16/04/23HAlba Berlin63-83
11/04/23APrometey79-87
09/04/23AUlm78-112
04/04/23AGottingen98-71
01/04/23ABonn66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Hamburg
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basketball Braunschweig110100%78.064.0+14.0
2 Wurzburg110100%93.081.0+12.0
3 Vechta110100%84.076.0+8.0
4 Heidelberg110100%89.082.0+7.0
5 Giessen110100%79.073.0+6.0
6 Crailsheim Merlins1010%73.079.0-6.0
7 Bayreuth1010%82.089.0-7.0
8 Rostock1010%76.084.0-8.0
9 PS Karlsruhe1010%81.093.0-12.0
10 Tubingen1010%64.078.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden2019271985
Hamburg2429132288
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