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Ulm vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 112-78
26-23 32-14 26-24 28-17
Position#4
Record14-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game84.9
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#15
Record10-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game84.4
GermanyBBLRound 27
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ulm v Hamburg
06 Feb 2027
ULM v HAM
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ULM81
HAM72
02 Nov 2024
ULM82
HAM72
13 Feb 2024
ULM83
HAM70
09 Apr 2023
ULM112
HAM78
12 Dec 2021
ULM78
HAM74
03 Mar 2021
ULM89
HAM76
24 Nov 2019
ULM102
HAM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
81avg 76
A03/03
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 76
H08/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
90avg 76
H11/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
97-85
97
85
+12
92avg 76
H15/03
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 76
A18/03
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
79avg 76
A22/03
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H25/03
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
91-71
91
71
+20
88avg 76
H29/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#7
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
A01/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
59-77
59
77
-18
47avg 76
H04/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
27-11
20-12
23-19
21-20
18-20
17-24
22-19
24-28
22-25
25-16
23-10
30-26
23-15
19-20
25-24
14-22
23-10
22-15
9-29
27-24
27-11
11-24
20-19
22-15
30-24
15-18
26-19
23-15
22-17
17-21
29-18
23-22
28-18
25-13
13-36
18-26
11-11
19-24
11-16
164.3Avg total
85.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.084.9171.8+2.154%
Season at home (13)88.887.5176.3+1.454%
Season away (13)85.182.3167.4+2.854%
Last 10 (10)85.578.8164.3+6.770%
Last 5 (5)87.280.6167.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.294.0176.2-11.80%
vs Similar (9)83.981.3165.2+2.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.282.6170.8+5.576%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
H03/03
BBL
Paris
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
84avg 76
H08/03
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 76
H11/03
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
A14/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
58-94
58
94
-36
46avg 76
A19/03
BBL
Trento
#18
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 76
H21/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-70
84
70
+14
88avg 76
H25/03
BBL
Gran Canaria
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 76
A29/03
Eurocup
Bonn
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
54avg 76
A01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
98-71
98
71
+27
101avg 76
A04/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
24-15
19-23
16-20
23-19
23-22
33-16
12-17
13-20
21-24
22-30
21-9
29-26
25-26
15-17
16-22
15-23
14-31
21-16
8-24
22-26
22-19
28-19
17-23
25-13
16-27
19-16
24-14
13-22
20-19
20-28
20-17
16-20
21-25
14-13
15-18
26-22
29-13
20-19
23-17
162.4Avg total
80.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.784.4166.1-2.737%
Season at home (14)82.685.4168.0-2.736%
Season away (13)80.683.4164.0-2.838%
Last 10 (10)80.482.0162.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)82.078.0160.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.587.4162.8-11.98%
vs Similar (14)84.484.0168.4+0.443%
vs Weaker (3)89.778.7168.3+11.067%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
UlmHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/03
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H11/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/03
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A18/03
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A22/03
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/03
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H04/04
BBL
82.5Avg total
44.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.385.1+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.244.488.6-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)41.140.081.1+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.082.5+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.682.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.244.582.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (9)43.942.186.0+1.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.241.985.2+1.347%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H03/03
BBL
Paris
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/03
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/03
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A14/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A19/03
BBL
Trento
#18
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/03
BBL
Gran Canaria
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/03
Eurocup
Bonn
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A04/04
BBL
86.3Avg total
42.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.285.9-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.843.686.4-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)42.542.885.3-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.286.3-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.283.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.846.287.0-5.531%-
vs Similar (14)43.841.184.9+2.664%-
vs Weaker (3)45.340.085.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.115.5
51.5%
54.4%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.6
36.0%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.715.8
72.8%
75.8%15.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.9
53.5%
54.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.610.9
65.7%
75.8%10.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWWWLWWLW
Hamburg
WLLWWLLLWL
#4
League position
#15
+5.8
Net rating
-2.4
108.2
Offensive rating
106.5
102.3
Defensive rating
108.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
20.5%
Turnover %
20.5%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
32.3%
62.0%
Assist %
61.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 106.5Defence102.3 · 108.9Shooting52.8% · 51.6%3-point %36.0% · 32.3%Ball care20.5% · 20.5%Off. rebounds31.9% · 37.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ulm wins
0
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Hamburg v Ulm65-80
29/01/22Hamburg v Ulm90-91
12/12/21Ulm v Hamburg78-74
03/03/21Ulm v Hamburg89-76
13/12/20Hamburg v Ulm69-73
24/11/19Ulm v Hamburg102-69
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23HBayern59-77
01/04/23AGottingen108-101 OT
29/03/23HCluj-Napoca91-71
25/03/23HLudwigsburg93-76
22/03/23AJL Bourg85-78
18/03/23ACrailsheim Merlins68-76
15/03/23HCedevita Olimpija97-85
11/03/23HFrankfurt94-79
08/03/23HPrometey78-83
03/03/23AWurzburg82-62
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23AGottingen98-71
01/04/23ABonn66-76
29/03/23AGran Canaria73-86
25/03/23HFrankfurt84-70
21/03/23HTrento89-87
19/03/23AOldenburg58-94
14/03/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv85-91
11/03/23HLudwigsburg77-83
08/03/23HParis91-74
03/03/23HBamberg83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL54%
HomeWWWWL54%
AwayWLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%54%54%
Points / game87.088.885.1
Allowed / game84.987.582.3
Point differential+2.1+1.4+2.8
Avg total171.8176.3167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Hamburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW37%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %37%36%38%
Points / game81.782.680.6
Allowed / game84.485.483.4
Point differential-2.7-2.7-2.8
Avg total166.1168.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2725293%89.373.6+15.6
2 Alba Berlin2624292%88.977.4+11.5
3 Bayern2620677%82.074.9+7.1
4 Oldenburg26161062%84.581.9+2.6
5 Ludwigsburg27161159%87.685.4+2.3
6 Gottingen24141058%86.786.6+0.1
7 Ulm26141254%87.084.9+2.1
8 Wurzburg27141352%82.984.0-1.2
9 Rostock26131350%83.887.5-3.7
10 Bamberg27131448%87.487.1+0.3
11 Chemnitz26111542%83.283.3-0.2
12 Heidelberg26101638%86.790.2-3.4
13 Hamburg27101737%81.784.4-2.7
14 Crailsheim Merlins28101836%85.989.6-3.8
15 Syntainics MBC2791833%82.588.1-5.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig2781930%79.884.7-4.9
17 Frankfurt2662023%78.287.0-8.8
18 Bayreuth2752219%82.289.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm26322628112
Hamburg2314241778
← all games of the day
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