PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hamburg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 63-83
11-20 21-20 15-28 16-15
Position#15
Record10-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#2
Record26-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game77.1
GermanyBBLRound 28
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Hamburg v Alba Berlin
27 Dec 2026
HAM v ABE
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
HAM99
ABE80
22 Sep 2024
HAM97
ABE80
17 Apr 2024
HAM76
ABE84
16 Apr 2023
HAM63
ABE83
02 Jan 2022
HAM80
ABE88
24 May 2021
HAM73
ABE85
23 Mar 2021
HAM90
ABE75
22 Dec 2019
HAM75
ABE100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 76
H11/03
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
A14/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
58-94
58
94
-36
46avg 76
A19/03
BBL
Trento
#18
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 76
H21/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-70
84
70
+14
88avg 76
H25/03
BBL
Gran Canaria
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 76
A29/03
Eurocup
Bonn
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
54avg 76
A01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
98-71
98
71
+27
101avg 76
A04/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
78-112
78
112
-34
66avg 76
A09/04
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 76
A11/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
21-24
22-30
21-9
29-26
25-26
15-17
16-22
15-23
14-31
21-16
8-24
22-26
22-19
28-19
17-23
25-13
16-27
19-16
24-14
13-22
20-19
20-28
20-17
16-20
21-25
14-13
15-18
26-22
29-13
20-19
23-17
23-26
14-32
24-26
17-28
20-28
20-20
16-21
23-18
164.4Avg total
78.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.585.4166.9-3.936%
Season at home (14)82.685.4168.0-2.736%
Season away (14)80.485.4165.9-5.036%
Last 10 (10)78.785.7164.4-7.030%
Last 5 (5)78.886.4165.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.587.9163.4-12.47%
vs Similar (14)84.484.0168.4+0.443%
vs Weaker (2)94.575.5170.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
97avg 83
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 83
H26/03
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 83
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
56-72
56
72
-16
53avg 83
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 83
A02/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
76-47
76
47
+29
84avg 83
H05/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 83
A07/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 83
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 83
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 83
H13/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
25-19
19-27
27-26
13-16
15-18
31-11
25-22
24-25
24-19
19-24
20-25
21-19
14-15
7-16
14-22
17-9
25-24
23-12
14-16
19-9
22-9
15-14
20-15
25-17
24-25
17-26
22-16
29-23
18-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
27-19
23-12
6-16
20-16
18-20
27-18
23-17
155.6Avg total
82.0Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.577.1165.7+11.493%
Season at home (14)87.674.9162.6+12.793%
Season away (14)89.479.4168.8+10.193%
Last 10 (10)82.073.6155.6+8.480%
Last 5 (5)83.870.0153.8+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.090.2167.2-13.211%
vs Similar (8)79.479.2158.6+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.974.8161.8+12.1100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
HamburgAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/03
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A14/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A19/03
BBL
Trento
#18
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/03
BBL
Gran Canaria
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/03
Eurocup
Bonn
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A04/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A09/04
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/04
Eurocup
86.6Avg total
40.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.685.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.742.985.6-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.286.6-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.485.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.246.686.9-6.429%-
vs Similar (14)43.841.184.9+2.664%-
vs Weaker (2)47.039.586.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/03
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H05/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A07/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/04
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
42.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.781.7+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.140.982.0+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)41.040.481.4+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.979.3+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.881.2+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.043.483.4-3.444%-
vs Similar (8)39.241.881.0-2.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.838.180.9+4.877%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.4
51.0%
54.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
75.8%11.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.7
52.8%
54.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.3
39.2%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.712.8
81.5%
75.8%12.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLWLLWWLLL
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWLLWW
#15
League position
#2
-10.5
Net rating
+11.6
103.9
Offensive rating
113.8
114.4
Defensive rating
102.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.3%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.2%
3-point %
39.2%
61.8%
Assist %
71.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 113.8Defence114.4 · 102.2Shooting50.5% · 55.3%3-point %33.2% · 39.2%Ball care20.9% · 19.4%Off. rebounds36.2% · 32.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Hamburg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
7
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
28/09/22Alba Berlin v Hamburg81-78
27/04/22Alba Berlin v Hamburg96-81
02/01/22Hamburg v Alba Berlin80-88
24/05/21Hamburg v Alba Berlin73-85
22/05/21Alba Berlin v Hamburg95-83
20/05/21Alba Berlin v Hamburg82-59
10/04/21Alba Berlin v Hamburg68-75
23/03/21Hamburg v Alba Berlin90-75
22/12/19Hamburg v Alba Berlin75-100
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/23APrometey79-87
09/04/23AUlm78-112
04/04/23AGottingen98-71
01/04/23ABonn66-76
29/03/23AGran Canaria73-86
25/03/23HFrankfurt84-70
21/03/23HTrento89-87
19/03/23AOldenburg58-94
14/03/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv85-91
11/03/23HLudwigsburg77-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
11/04/23AChemnitz76-70
09/04/23HGottingen91-78
07/04/23APanathinaikos88-84
05/04/23HWurzburg76-47
02/04/23AFrankfurt79-61
30/03/23ABarcelona56-72
28/03/23ABaskonia87-93
26/03/23HBamberg84-67
23/03/23HAnadolu Efes95-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%36%36%
Points / game81.582.680.4
Allowed / game85.485.485.4
Point differential-3.9-2.7-5.0
Avg total166.9168.0165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %93%93%93%
Points / game88.587.689.4
Allowed / game77.174.979.4
Point differential+11.4+12.7+10.1
Avg total165.7162.6168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2826293%89.172.5+16.6
2 Alba Berlin2826293%88.577.1+11.4
3 Bayern2721678%81.474.0+7.5
4 Oldenburg28171161%85.283.0+2.2
5 Gottingen27161159%87.186.9+0.2
6 Ulm27151256%87.984.6+3.3
7 Ludwigsburg29161355%86.985.3+1.6
8 Wurzburg29151452%81.883.5-1.7
9 Bamberg29141548%87.787.4+0.2
10 Rostock28131546%83.287.5-4.3
11 Heidelberg28121643%87.290.0-2.8
12 Chemnitz28111739%82.983.3-0.4
13 Hamburg28101836%81.585.4-3.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins29101934%85.989.5-3.7
15 Syntainics MBC2791833%82.588.1-5.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig2781930%79.884.7-4.9
17 Frankfurt2772026%78.986.6-7.7
18 Bayreuth2852318%80.889.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1121151663
Alba Berlin2020281583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.