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Duke vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:49
Final 78-69
45-33 33-36
Position#12
Record31-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game67.4
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#39
Record28-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAANCAA - Quarter-finals
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A02/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H13/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H18/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H25/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
35-36
51-34
46-38
36-19
50-37
41-39
40-55
36-40
52-39
36-36
44-40
39-42
28-40
37-27
41-34
39-35
46-41
29-33
49-40
153.5Avg total
80.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)80.267.4147.6+12.884%
Season at home (25)81.768.4150.1+13.484%
Season away (12)77.065.3142.3+11.783%
Last 10 (10)80.573.0153.5+7.580%
Last 5 (5)77.673.6151.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)76.770.3147.0+6.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)79.267.8147.0+11.478%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#29
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H19/02
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H26/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H03/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A05/03
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H18/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A24/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-23
34-25
37-34
45-40
34-28
41-45
35-35
42-41
29-50
45-28
29-26
50-41
24-36
40-46
34-27
41-44
26-17
27-31
32-29
42-39
139.6Avg total
71.1Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.168.0144.2+8.178%
Season at home (25)76.867.5144.2+9.384%
Season away (11)74.769.3144.0+5.564%
Last 10 (10)71.168.5139.6+2.680%
Last 5 (5)69.067.2136.2+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.770.7145.3+4.0100%
vs Similar (15)71.171.9143.1-0.860%
vs Weaker (12)81.363.1144.4+18.283%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +2.7+2.7
DukeArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A02/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H12/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H18/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H25/03
NCAA
70.4Avg total
37.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.831.270.0+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.533.472.9+6.158%-
Last 30 away (11)37.627.565.1+10.2100%-
Last 10 (10)37.433.070.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.670.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.331.767.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.231.270.4+8.074%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#29
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H26/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H03/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A05/03
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H18/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
26-17
26
17
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A24/03
NCAA
60.9Avg total
30.4Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.731.566.2+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.329.864.0+4.570%-
Last 30 away (10)35.635.070.6+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)30.430.560.9-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)29.027.056.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.328.061.3+5.3100%-
vs Similar (15)30.132.162.3-2.040%-
vs Weaker (12)40.831.672.4+9.383%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Arkansas wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/22HTexas Tech78-73
20/03/22HMichigan State85-76
18/03/22HCS Fullerton78-61
13/03/22HVirginia Tech67-82
12/03/22HMiami (FL)80-76
10/03/22HSyracuse88-79
05/03/22HNorth Carolina81-94
02/03/22APittsburgh86-56
26/02/22ASyracuse97-72
24/02/22AVirginia65-61
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/22AGonzaga74-68
20/03/22HNew Mexico State53-48
18/03/22HVermont75-71
12/03/22HTexas A&M64-82
11/03/22HLSU79-67
05/03/22ATennessee74-78
03/03/22HLSU77-76
26/02/22HKentucky75-73
23/02/22AFlorida82-74
19/02/22HTennessee58-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW84%
HomeWLWWW84%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372512
Win %84%84%83%
Points / game80.281.777.0
Allowed / game67.468.465.3
Point differential+12.8+13.4+11.7
Avg total147.6150.1142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%56%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Arkansas
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayLWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362511
Win %78%84%64%
Points / game76.176.874.7
Allowed / game68.067.569.3
Point differential+8.1+9.3+5.5
Avg total144.2144.2144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%48%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)86% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3731684%80.267.4+12.8
2 North Carolina3627975%78.371.7+6.6
3 SMU Mustangs3123874%74.467.2+7.2
4 Miami (FL)36261072%74.670.2+4.4
5 Wake Forest3223972%79.570.2+9.2
6 Notre Dame35241169%72.667.1+5.5
7 Virginia Tech36231364%70.862.8+8.0
8 Virginia32191359%62.660.2+2.4
9 Florida State31171455%71.071.9-0.9
10 Clemson33171652%71.768.5+3.3
11 Stanford32161650%66.468.7-2.3
12 Syracuse33161748%77.475.1+2.3
13 Louisville32131941%67.370.1-2.8
14 Boston College33132039%66.968.1-1.2
15 California32122038%63.066.1-3.1
16 NC State32112134%73.075.6-2.6
17 Georgia Tech32112134%68.371.1-2.8
18 Pittsburgh32112134%61.568.1-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn3428682%78.267.2+11.0
2 Arkansas3628878%76.168.0+8.1
3 Tennessee3527877%73.562.9+10.5
4 Kentucky3426876%79.466.6+12.9
5 Texas A&M35231266%72.866.9+5.9
6 LSU34221265%72.663.4+9.1
7 Texas34221265%68.860.6+8.1
8 Florida32191359%70.866.1+4.7
9 South Carolina31181358%71.070.3+0.7
10 Alabama33191458%79.576.5+3.0
11 Mississippi St.33181555%70.966.4+4.5
12 Oklahoma33181555%68.564.7+3.8
13 Vanderbilt33171652%70.467.5+2.9
14 Ole Miss32131941%68.168.7-0.5
15 Missouri33122136%65.570.5-5.0
16 Georgia3262619%69.878.5-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke453378
Arkansas333669
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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