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Duke vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-76
36-36 44-40
Position#12
Record27-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game66.4
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Miami (FL)
USA
Position#58
Record23-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Duke v Miami (FL)
14 Jan 2025
DUKE89
MIAM54
21 Jan 2023
DUKE68
MIAM66
11 Mar 2022
DUKE80
MIAM76
08 Jan 2022
DUKE74
MIAM76
21 Jan 2020
DUKE89
MIAM59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H19/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A02/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
39-35
38-27
44-37
37-28
35-33
42-33
34-41
52-41
36-29
30-25
35-36
51-34
46-38
36-19
50-37
41-39
40-55
36-40
52-39
150.3Avg total
80.3Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.666.4147.0+14.284%
Season at home (20)82.867.0149.8+15.785%
Season away (12)77.065.3142.3+11.783%
Last 10 (10)80.370.0150.3+10.380%
Last 5 (5)83.472.4155.8+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (2)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)80.865.9146.7+14.981%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
85-64
85
64
+21
A23/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
32-36
34-36
45-34
33-40
43-32
35-25
35-38
38-30
33-44
47-27
38-37
35-33
35-38
40-25
41-45
26-37
49-35
34-32
31-33
143.2Avg total
73.6Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.870.8145.5+4.072%
Season at home (17)77.772.2149.9+5.565%
Season away (15)71.569.1140.6+2.380%
Last 10 (10)73.669.6143.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)76.469.2145.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.473.6148.0+0.971%
vs Similar (10)71.672.4144.0-0.860%
vs Weaker (13)76.266.4142.5+9.885%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +1.0+1.0
DukeMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A02/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/03
NCAA
71.2Avg total
39.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.931.070.9+8.883%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.932.673.6+8.372%-
Last 30 away (12)38.228.766.9+9.6100%-
Last 10 (10)39.232.071.2+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.470.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (2)38.531.069.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.830.670.4+9.181%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A23/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A03/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.066.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.033.268.2+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)33.130.763.8+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)34.832.066.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.867.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.135.768.9-2.643%-
vs Similar (10)32.431.463.8+1.040%-
vs Weaker (13)35.830.466.2+5.469%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Duke wins
2
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
09/01/22Duke v Miami (FL)74-76
02/02/21Miami (FL) v Duke77-75
22/01/20Duke v Miami (FL)89-59
05/01/20Miami (FL) v Duke62-95
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22HSyracuse88-79
05/03/22HNorth Carolina81-94
02/03/22APittsburgh86-56
26/02/22ASyracuse97-72
24/02/22AVirginia65-61
19/02/22HFlorida State88-70
16/02/22HWake Forest76-74
12/02/22ABoston College72-61
11/02/22AClemson82-64
08/02/22HVirginia68-69
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22HBoston College71-69 OT
05/03/22ASyracuse75-72
03/03/22ABoston College81-70
26/02/22HVirginia Tech70-71
23/02/22APittsburgh85-64
19/02/22HVirginia71-74
17/02/22ALouisville70-63
12/02/22AWake Forest76-72
10/02/22HGeorgia Tech79-70
05/02/22AVirginia58-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW84%
HomeLWWLW85%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %84%85%83%
Points / game80.682.877.0
Allowed / game66.467.065.3
Point differential+14.2+15.7+11.7
Avg total147.0149.8142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%65%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeLWLLW65%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %72%65%80%
Points / game74.877.771.5
Allowed / game70.872.269.1
Point differential+4.0+5.5+2.3
Avg total145.5149.9140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)43% (7)86% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3227584%80.666.4+14.2
2 SMU Mustangs2922776%74.467.4+7.1
3 North Carolina3224875%78.171.7+6.4
4 Wake Forest3223972%79.570.2+9.2
5 Miami (FL)3223972%74.870.8+4.0
6 Notre Dame32221069%72.566.8+5.7
7 Virginia Tech33211264%70.462.2+8.1
8 Virginia32191359%62.660.2+2.4
9 Florida State31171455%71.071.9-0.9
10 Clemson33171652%71.768.5+3.3
11 Stanford32161650%66.468.7-2.3
12 Syracuse33161748%77.475.1+2.3
13 Louisville32131941%67.370.1-2.8
14 Boston College33132039%66.968.1-1.2
15 California32122038%63.066.1-3.1
16 NC State32112134%73.075.6-2.6
17 Georgia Tech32112134%68.371.1-2.8
18 Pittsburgh32112134%61.568.1-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke364480
Miami (FL)364076
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