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Duke vs Auburn Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 84-78
43-36 41-42
Position#7
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game58.6
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#12
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
W
93-55
93
55
+38
H24/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A30/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H31/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Army
#187
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H08/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
86-35
86
35
+51
H16/11
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A23/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-25
46-30
23-22
31-29
27-21
37-55
44-33
52-29
43-20
57-38
46-37
26-40
51-14
35-21
34-27
35-28
39-41
33-34
37-25
33-23
136.8Avg total
77.6Scored
59.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.758.6139.3+22.171%
Season at home (6)82.759.2141.8+23.567%
Season away (1)69.055.0124.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.659.2136.8+18.470%
Last 5 (5)73.858.0131.8+15.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.866.0140.8+8.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)77.464.0141.4+13.476%
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H16/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H17/03
NCAA
Yale
#51
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
94-43
94
43
+51
H07/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H14/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
102-69
102
69
+33
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A27/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
42-35
38-30
48-37
41-34
35-44
46-21
48-22
28-33
46-36
36-22
43-34
50-37
52-32
33-49
50-32
40-32
45-40
47-31
43-45
151.9Avg total
84.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.766.6153.3+20.1100%
Season at home (5)89.665.0154.6+24.6100%
Season away (2)79.570.5150.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.267.7151.9+16.590%
Last 5 (5)87.870.8158.6+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)80.380.7161.0-0.367%
vs Weaker (27)83.767.3151.0+16.481%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.6+12.61st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +9.5+9.5
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.6+12.61st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +9.5+9.5
DukeAuburn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H24/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A30/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H31/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/11
NCAA
Army
#187
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H08/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
51-14
51
14
+37
H16/11
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H30/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
39.1Scored
26.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.129.366.4+7.980%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.428.866.2+8.574%-
Last 30 away (11)36.730.066.7+6.791%-
Last 10 (10)39.126.565.6+12.690%-
Last 5 (5)41.428.870.2+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)34.032.266.2+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)37.828.766.4+9.184%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H16/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H17/03
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H07/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A10/11
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A27/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/11
NCAA
71.0Avg total
39.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.632.472.0+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.230.772.9+11.484%-
Last 30 away (11)35.235.270.4+0.045%-
Last 10 (10)39.032.071.0+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.275.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)33.742.075.7-8.30%-
vs Weaker (27)40.331.371.6+9.078%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Auburn wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HSeattle70-48
27/11/24HKansas72-75
23/11/24AArizona69-55
16/11/24HWofford86-35
13/11/24HKentucky72-77
08/11/24HArmy100-58
05/11/24HMaine Black Bears96-62
31/03/24HNC State64-76
30/03/24AHouston54-51
24/03/24HJames Madison93-55
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HMemphis90-76
27/11/24ANorth Carolina85-72
26/11/24HIowa State83-81
19/11/24HNorth Alabama102-69
14/11/24HKent State79-56
10/11/24AHouston74-69
07/11/24HVermont94-43
22/03/24HYale76-78
17/03/24HFlorida86-67
16/03/24HMississippi St.73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%67%100%
Points / game80.782.769.0
Allowed / game58.659.255.0
Point differential+22.1+23.5+14.0
Avg total139.3141.8124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Auburn
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.789.679.5
Allowed / game66.665.070.5
Point differential+20.1+24.6+9.0
Avg total153.3154.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson98189%78.363.2+15.1
2 Pittsburgh87188%85.166.5+18.6
3 SMU Mustangs97278%88.371.8+16.6
4 Florida State97278%78.766.3+12.3
5 Stanford97278%79.268.2+11.0
6 California86275%81.574.5+7.0
7 Duke75271%80.758.6+22.1
8 NC State75271%76.465.4+11.0
9 Wake Forest107370%66.964.7+2.2
10 Boston College96367%70.368.7+1.7
11 Louisville85362%77.467.1+10.2
12 Virginia85362%63.062.2+0.8
13 Syracuse74357%79.480.9-1.4
14 North Carolina84450%88.481.9+6.5
15 Georgia Tech84450%78.174.8+3.4
16 Notre Dame94544%74.871.2+3.6
17 Virginia Tech73443%69.370.1-0.9
18 Miami (FL)83538%82.474.4+8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee880100%83.456.6+26.8
2 Florida990100%86.665.0+21.6
3 Auburn770100%86.766.6+20.1
4 Oklahoma880100%80.164.5+15.6
5 Georgia98189%82.364.4+17.9
6 Kentucky87188%92.968.4+24.5
7 Missouri87188%91.166.8+24.4
8 Ole Miss87188%83.067.9+15.1
9 Vanderbilt87188%84.069.6+14.4
10 LSU87188%82.069.8+12.2
11 Texas76186%83.361.7+21.6
12 Mississippi St.76186%85.068.9+16.1
13 Alabama97278%89.278.1+11.1
14 Texas A&M97278%75.464.7+10.8
15 Arkansas86275%80.064.8+15.2
16 South Carolina85362%75.167.1+8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke434184
Auburn364278
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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