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Houston vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:39
Final 51-54
22-23 29-31
Position#9
Record32-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game57.7
Houston
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#32
Record26-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A03/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A07/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H09/03
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H14/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H15/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
41-69
41
69
-28
H16/03
NCAA
Longwood
#129
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H23/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
H25/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-25
28-44
26-17
41-42
48-45
39-40
28-31
39-28
40-21
36-25
31-15
29-30
32-29
50-30
23-30
18-39
43-16
43-30
43-38
43-48
138.7Avg total
74.8Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)74.157.7131.9+16.489%
Season at home (24)76.053.2129.2+22.796%
Season away (12)70.566.7137.2+3.875%
Last 10 (10)74.863.9138.7+10.990%
Last 5 (5)73.862.8136.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)55.763.7119.3-8.033%
vs Weaker (27)75.858.8134.6+17.093%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-55
84
55
+29
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A24/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H29/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H02/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A05/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H14/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H22/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
93-55
93
55
+38
H24/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-34
32-33
40-23
44-32
38-36
41-47
36-23
48-36
40-18
33-30
33-30
46-34
31-40
48-44
32-35
37-39
34-29
30-18
47-25
46-30
141.6Avg total
78.0Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.866.5146.2+13.376%
Season at home (22)81.465.1146.5+16.382%
Season away (12)76.868.9145.7+7.867%
Last 10 (10)78.063.6141.6+14.470%
Last 5 (5)76.864.8141.6+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.669.8149.4+9.860%
vs Weaker (25)79.466.2145.6+13.280%
This opponent (Houston) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +6.2+6.2
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +6.2+6.2
HoustonDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A24/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
26-17
26
17
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A03/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H09/03
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
31-15
31
15
+16
H14/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H16/03
NCAA
Longwood
#129
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H23/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H25/03
NCAA
62.2Avg total
35.5Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.225.660.8+9.683%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.022.158.1+13.995%-
Last 30 away (10)33.632.666.2+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)35.526.762.2+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)34.425.660.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)24.028.052.0-4.033%-
vs Weaker (27)36.425.361.7+11.189%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H02/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A05/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H22/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H24/03
NCAA
66.8Avg total
37.5Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.168.0+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.730.867.5+5.974%-
Last 30 away (11)37.331.769.0+5.573%-
Last 10 (10)37.529.366.8+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.867.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.234.270.4+2.060%-
vs Weaker (25)37.030.567.6+6.576%-
This opponent (Houston) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Houston wins
0
Duke wins
No previous meetings.
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HTexas A&M100-95 OT
23/03/24HLongwood86-46
16/03/24HIowa State41-69
15/03/24HTexas Tech82-59
14/03/24HTCU60-45
09/03/24HKansas76-46
07/03/24AUCF Knights67-59
03/03/24AOklahoma87-85
28/02/24HCincinnati67-59
24/02/24ABaylor82-76 OT
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HJames Madison93-55
22/03/24HVermont64-47
14/03/24HNC State69-74
09/03/24HNorth Carolina79-84
05/03/24ANC State79-64
02/03/24HVirginia73-48
29/02/24HLouisville84-59
24/02/24AWake Forest79-83
22/02/24AMiami (FL)84-55
17/02/24AFlorida State76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWLWW96%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362412
Win %89%96%75%
Points / game74.176.070.5
Allowed / game57.753.266.7
Point differential+16.4+22.7+3.8
Avg total131.9129.2137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%79%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %8%4%17%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW76%
HomeWLLWW82%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342212
Win %76%82%67%
Points / game79.881.476.8
Allowed / game66.565.168.9
Point differential+13.3+16.3+7.8
Avg total146.2146.5145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3632489%74.157.7+16.4
2 Iowa State3729878%75.361.5+13.8
3 Arizona3627975%87.172.1+15.1
4 Colorado37261170%79.371.7+7.6
5 Baylor35241169%80.471.1+9.3
6 Brigham Young34231168%81.469.9+11.5
7 Kansas34231168%75.669.9+5.7
8 Texas Tech34231168%75.369.6+5.7
9 TCU34211362%79.071.7+7.3
10 Cincinnati34201459%74.667.9+6.7
11 Utah Utes33191458%78.172.6+5.4
12 Kansas State33191458%71.970.5+1.4
13 UCF Knights32171553%71.567.5+4.1
14 Arizona State32141844%69.074.0-5.0
15 Oklahoma State32122038%71.072.7-1.7
16 West Virginia3292328%69.876.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3729878%81.970.5+11.5
2 Duke3426876%79.866.5+13.3
3 Clemson35241169%77.270.7+6.5
4 Virginia34231168%62.959.8+3.1
5 Pittsburgh33221167%75.667.6+8.0
6 NC State39251464%76.372.2+4.1
7 SMU Mustangs32201262%76.367.8+8.5
8 Syracuse32201262%76.375.6+0.7
9 Wake Forest33201361%78.270.5+7.7
10 Virginia Tech32181456%75.071.1+3.9
11 Boston College34191556%74.672.1+2.5
12 Florida State33171652%76.576.3+0.2
13 Miami (FL)33151845%75.473.6+1.8
14 Stanford32141844%76.376.5-0.1
15 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
16 California32131941%74.077.0-3.1
17 Notre Dame33132039%64.067.2-3.1
18 Louisville3282425%72.079.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston222951
Duke233154
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