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Duke vs Uconn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:05
Final 72-73
44-29 28-44
Position#8
Record35-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game63.4
Duke
USA
vs
Uconn 🏆
USA
Position#11
Record32-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAANCAA - Quarter-finals
Other2025-26
Meetings · Duke v Uconn
25 Nov 2026
DUKE v UCON
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
DUKE72
UCON73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
100-56
100
56
+44
A25/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
77-51
77
51
+26
H28/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
93-64
93
64
+29
A03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H07/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H15/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H27/03
NCAA
1H
2H
54-22
46-34
41-26
36-25
47-30
46-34
39-34
37-27
43-44
37-35
41-22
32-39
38-36
36-34
32-43
39-22
38-34
43-24
39-40
41-35
144.5Avg total
80.5Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)81.963.4145.3+18.595%
Season at home (25)81.663.4145.1+18.296%
Season away (12)82.463.2145.7+19.292%
Last 10 (10)80.564.0144.5+16.5100%
Last 5 (5)75.865.8141.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)67.564.5132.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)80.064.9144.9+15.193%
This opponent (Uconn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A21/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
72-40
72
40
+32
H26/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H12/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A14/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H28/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
39-31
41-26
31-14
32-33
39-34
35-33
27-35
50-30
43-38
32-21
35-30
27-40
25-32
40-36
42-35
38-33
35-24
35-27
32-36
133.2Avg total
71.2Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)77.265.0142.2+12.286%
Season at home (23)78.962.9141.8+16.091%
Season away (14)74.568.4142.9+6.179%
Last 10 (10)71.262.0133.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)68.262.8131.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)77.073.0150.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (4)65.864.0129.8+1.850%
vs Weaker (25)77.665.9143.5+11.792%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +3.9+3.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +3.9+3.9
DukeUconn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A25/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H28/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H19/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/03
NCAA
74.3Avg total
41.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.732.672.3+7.077%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.433.272.6+6.279%-
Last 30 away (11)40.131.671.7+8.573%-
Last 10 (10)41.233.174.3+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.072.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.528.564.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.032.972.9+7.075%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/03
NCAA
67.5Avg total
36.4Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.731.669.3+6.177%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.230.469.6+8.783%-
Last 30 away (12)35.533.368.8+2.267%-
Last 10 (10)36.431.167.5+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.465.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.068.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (25)38.031.469.4+6.680%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Uconn wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-75
21/03/26HTCU81-58
19/03/26HSiena71-65
15/03/26HVirginia74-70
14/03/26HClemson73-61
12/03/26HFlorida State80-79
07/03/26HNorth Carolina76-61
03/03/26ANC State93-64
28/02/26HVirginia77-51
25/02/26ANotre Dame100-56
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HMichigan State67-63
23/03/26HUCLA73-57
21/03/26HFurman82-71
14/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)52-72
14/03/26HGeorgetown67-51
12/03/26HXavier93-68
07/03/26AMarquette62-68
28/02/26HSeton Hall71-67
26/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)72-40
21/02/26AVillanova73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW96%
AwayWLWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372512
Win %95%96%92%
Points / game81.981.682.4
Allowed / game63.463.463.2
Point differential+18.5+18.2+19.2
Avg total145.3145.1145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%64%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Uconn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372314
Win %86%91%79%
Points / game77.278.974.5
Allowed / game65.062.968.4
Point differential+12.2+16.0+6.1
Avg total142.2141.8142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%61%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)80% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %5%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3735295%81.963.4+18.5
2 Virginia3730781%79.769.8+9.9
3 Miami (FL)3526974%81.571.3+10.3
4 North Carolina3324973%79.771.6+8.1
5 Louisville35241169%84.372.5+11.7
6 Clemson35241169%73.866.7+7.0
7 California32211166%77.973.2+4.6
8 Stanford32201262%76.072.7+3.3
9 Virginia Tech32191359%78.874.9+3.9
10 NC State34201459%83.276.3+6.9
11 SMU Mustangs34201459%84.177.9+6.1
12 Florida State33181555%80.477.9+2.4
13 Wake Forest33171652%78.877.1+1.8
14 Syracuse32151747%75.074.2+0.8
15 Notre Dame31131842%74.575.3-0.9
16 Pittsburgh33132039%70.571.8-1.3
17 Boston College31112035%67.470.7-3.3
18 Georgia Tech31112035%73.877.4-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3732586%77.265.0+12.2
2 St. John's (N.Y.)3930977%79.570.5+8.9
3 Villanova3324973%77.171.2+5.9
4 Seton Hall33211264%70.365.3+5.0
5 Butler32161650%79.477.5+1.8
6 DePaul32161650%70.269.6+0.7
7 Georgetown34161847%73.672.9+0.7
8 Creighton32151747%75.175.0+0.1
9 Providence33151845%85.384.0+1.3
10 Xavier33151845%78.480.6-2.3
11 Marquette32122038%75.275.8-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke442872
Uconn294473
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