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Uconn vs Xavier Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-68
50-30 43-38
Position#11
Record27-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game65.3
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Xavier
USA
Position#248
Record15-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game80.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Uconn v Xavier
16 Jan 2027
UCON v XAVI
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
UCON93
XAVI68
03 Feb 2026
UCON92
XAVI60
18 Dec 2024
UCON94
XAVI89
14 Mar 2024
UCON87
XAVI60
28 Jan 2024
UCON99
XAVI56
25 Jan 2023
UCON79
XAVI82
19 Feb 2022
UCON72
XAVI61
20 Jan 2021
UCON v XAVI
upcoming
22 Nov 2019
UCON74
XAVI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#238
W
85-58
85
58
+27
A01/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
92-60
92
60
+32
H04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A12/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A21/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
72-40
72
40
+32
H26/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
44-28
50-22
42-38
39-39
33-42
41-38
39-32
41-33
38-42
45-45
39-46
34-32
39-31
41-26
31-14
32-33
39-34
35-33
27-35
144.3Avg total
77.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.265.3143.4+12.987%
Season at home (18)79.663.2142.7+16.489%
Season away (13)76.268.2144.4+8.185%
Last 10 (10)77.067.3144.3+9.770%
Last 5 (5)72.465.8138.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.072.0144.0+0.050%
vs Similar (4)76.066.5142.5+9.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)79.064.9143.9+14.192%
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#11
L
60-92
60
92
-32
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-50
38-42
42-42
36-36
51-35
45-53
42-43
39-38
28-47
47-33
34-47
50-47
38-39
53-45
32-33
36-44
32-44
46-47
38-38
51-49
168.4Avg total
81.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.780.2158.9-1.647%
Season at home (20)80.277.3157.6+2.965%
Season away (12)76.185.1161.2-9.017%
Last 10 (10)81.287.2168.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)82.086.6168.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.782.1157.8-6.425%
vs Similar (13)82.480.8163.2+1.662%
vs Weaker (1)96.074.0170.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.7+0.7
UconnXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#238
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A07/03
NCAA
73.0Avg total
39.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.330.870.1+8.577%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.829.570.3+11.476%-
Last 30 away (13)37.332.669.9+4.777%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.173.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.871.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.033.569.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (4)41.532.273.8+9.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.230.469.6+8.879%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#11
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H14/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Marquette
#290
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/03
NCAA
77.7Avg total
35.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.975.1-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.936.974.9+1.050%-
Last 30 away (12)33.741.875.5-8.28%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.877.7-5.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.275.0-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.440.075.4-4.631%-
vs Similar (13)36.738.074.7-1.331%-
vs Weaker (1)44.033.077.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Uconn wins
3
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
04/02/26Uconn v Xavier92-60
31/12/25Xavier v Uconn67-90
26/01/25Xavier v Uconn76-72
19/12/24Uconn v Xavier94-89 OT
14/03/24Uconn v Xavier87-60
28/01/24Uconn v Xavier99-56
11/01/24Xavier v Uconn75-80
25/01/23Uconn v Xavier79-82
31/12/22Xavier v Uconn83-73
19/02/22Uconn v Xavier72-61
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AMarquette62-68
28/02/26HSeton Hall71-67
26/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)72-40
21/02/26AVillanova73-63
19/02/26HCreighton84-91
15/02/26HGeorgetown79-75
12/02/26AButler80-70
07/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)72-81
04/02/26HXavier92-60
01/02/26ACreighton85-58
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AMarquette89-87
07/03/26AVillanova78-91
04/03/26HSeton Hall68-77
28/02/26HGeorgetown91-84
26/02/26AProvidence84-94
21/02/26AButler75-80
17/02/26HVillanova89-92 OT
14/02/26HMarquette96-88
09/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)82-87 OT
04/02/26AUconn60-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL87%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLWWL85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %87%89%85%
Points / game78.279.676.2
Allowed / game65.363.268.2
Point differential+12.9+16.4+8.1
Avg total143.4142.7144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%56%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)75% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %6%6%8%
Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWLWL65%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %47%65%17%
Points / game78.780.276.1
Allowed / game80.277.385.1
Point differential-1.6+2.9-9.0
Avg total158.9157.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)57% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3127487%78.265.3+12.9
2 Villanova3124777%77.670.5+7.0
3 St. John's (N.Y.)3426876%80.371.6+8.7
4 Seton Hall32211166%70.464.9+5.5
5 Butler32161650%79.477.5+1.8
6 DePaul32161650%70.269.6+0.7
7 Georgetown32151747%74.273.4+0.8
8 Creighton32151747%75.175.0+0.1
9 Xavier32151747%78.780.2-1.6
10 Providence33151845%85.384.0+1.3
11 Marquette32122038%75.275.8-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn504393
Xavier303868
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