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Duquesne vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-71
24-33 41-38
Position#166
Record9-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#65
Record12-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Duquesne v Dayton
26 Jan 2027
DUQU v DAYT
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
DUQU65
DAYT71
21 Jan 2025
DUQU62
DAYT82
12 Jan 2024
DUQU62
DAYT72
15 Jan 2022
DUQU52
DAYT72
02 Feb 2021
DUQU69
DAYT64
29 Jan 2020
DUQU69
DAYT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duquesne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DuquesneUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central State (OH)
#486
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H26/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H06/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A11/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
103-59
103
59
+44
H23/12
NCAA
Cleary University
#563
W
99-49
99
49
+50
H27/12
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
A31/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H03/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
57-44
40-48
39-35
40-28
44-47
30-45
34-41
35-42
40-36
46-30
57-29
51-25
48-24
30-33
39-36
34-46
46-47
34-40
49-43
164.7Avg total
86.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.379.1165.4+7.256%
Season at home (11)89.675.8165.5+13.873%
Season away (5)79.086.2165.2-7.220%
Last 10 (10)86.478.3164.7+8.150%
Last 5 (5)92.276.2168.4+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.877.0151.8-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.378.1152.4-3.727%
vs Weaker (11)84.369.6153.9+14.673%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A06/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
29-38
36-30
43-53
46-38
42-33
33-37
40-49
46-23
38-38
42-31
55-38
33-29
28-35
30-24
33-32
31-39
39-29
30-35
49-37
148.7Avg total
77.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.969.4147.3+8.675%
Season at home (12)80.467.6148.0+12.883%
Season away (4)70.574.8145.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)77.870.9148.7+6.970%
Last 5 (5)74.065.8139.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.878.6152.4-4.840%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.971.1145.1+2.862%
vs Weaker (8)81.465.6147.0+15.8100%
This opponent (Duquesne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +1.4+1.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +1.4+1.4
DuquesneDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DuquesneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central State (OH)
#486
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H26/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H23/12
NCAA
Cleary University
#563
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H27/12
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A31/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H03/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A08/01
NCAA
75.7Avg total
38.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.670.2+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.934.172.1+3.859%-
Last 30 away (13)32.535.267.8-2.746%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.375.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.873.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.034.865.8-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.436.771.1-2.340%-
vs Weaker (11)38.931.670.5+7.373%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.068.8+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.831.768.6+5.168%-
Last 30 away (11)33.835.369.1-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.768.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)33.231.664.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.834.867.6-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.532.766.2+0.856%-
vs Weaker (8)41.032.073.0+9.062%-
This opponent (Duquesne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Duquesne wins
8
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Dayton v Duquesne77-76
22/01/25Duquesne v Dayton62-82
14/03/24Dayton v Duquesne57-65
14/02/24Dayton v Duquesne75-59
13/01/24Duquesne v Dayton62-72
29/12/22Dayton v Duquesne69-57
10/02/22Dayton v Duquesne75-54
15/01/22Duquesne v Dayton52-72
03/02/21Duquesne v Dayton69-64
14/01/21Dayton v Duquesne72-63
Duquesnelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ASaint Josephs Hawks90-97 OT
03/01/26HVCU Rams80-93
31/12/25ADavidson89-83 OT
27/12/25HCleary University99-49
23/12/25HCanisius103-59
14/12/25ANevada75-78
11/12/25ABoise State64-86
06/12/25HStony Brook84-75
03/12/25HWilliam & Mary79-83
26/11/25HCentral State (OH)101-80
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HGeorge Washington79-72
03/01/26ALoyola Chicago70-68
31/12/25HFordham63-56
20/12/25HLiberty61-64
17/12/25HFlorida State97-69
14/12/25HNorth Florida84-61
06/12/25AVirginia73-86
03/12/25HEast Tennessee St88-71
29/11/25HBrigham Young79-83
28/11/25HGeorgetown84-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duquesne
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %56%73%20%
Points / game86.389.679.0
Allowed / game79.175.886.2
Point differential+7.2+13.8-7.2
Avg total165.4165.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %19%9%40%
Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game77.980.470.5
Allowed / game69.467.674.8
Point differential+8.6+12.8-4.2
Avg total147.3148.0145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %12%8%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason1716194%78.666.8+11.9
2 St. Louis Billikens1615194%92.867.4+25.4
3 Dayton1612475%77.969.4+8.6
4 George Washington1712571%87.572.5+15.1
5 Richmond Spiders1712571%82.472.8+9.5
6 St. Bonaventure1611569%78.672.8+5.8
7 VCU Rams1711665%85.374.0+11.3
8 Davidson1610662%72.369.2+3.1
9 Fordham1710759%73.663.9+9.6
10 Rhode Island1710759%72.165.9+6.2
11 Saint Josephs Hawks1710759%74.973.2+1.8
12 Duquesne169756%86.379.1+7.2
13 La Salle1751229%67.273.1-5.9
14 Loyola Chicago1751229%68.376.8-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duquesne244165
Dayton333871
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