PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Duquesne faces Howard in the NCAA on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring Duquesne and predicting a 74% chance of a home win and 26% for Howard; the projected score is 78-71 and the total 149.7 points. Duquesne has gone 3-0 this season, scoring 72.7 points per game and allowing 66.7, while Howard is 2-2, averaging 74.0 points and conceding 73.8. Duquesne's home record is also 3-0, with a 72.7 points per game average and 66.7 allowed, and their last five games show four wins and one loss; they beat Washington State 72-71 at home on 10 November, beat Central State (OH) 68-58 on 7 November, and beat IPFW 78-71 on 3 November. Howard's road record is 1-2, with 73.7 points scored and 77.7 allowed, and their last five games include two wins and three losses; they beat Stetson 75-62 at home on 12 November, lost to Penn 65-78 away on 9 November, and beat Alcorn State 94-83 away on 5 November. The model projects Duquesne to cover the spread and Howard to hit the over, with a 4% chance of overtime, and the next game will be played at Duquesne's home court.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 72.7 | 66.7 | 139.3 | +6.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 72.7 | 66.7 | 139.3 | +6.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 68.0 | 70.9 | 138.9 | -2.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.2 | 66.4 | 136.6 | +3.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 77.4 | 84.4 | 161.8 | -7.0 | 20% |
| vs Similar (18) | 73.4 | 74.4 | 147.9 | -1.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 82.3 | 62.4 | 144.7 | +19.9 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 74.0 | 73.8 | 147.8 | +0.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 75.0 | 62.0 | 137.0 | +13.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 73.7 | 77.7 | 151.3 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.4 | 74.9 | 153.3 | +3.5 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.2 | 79.2 | 154.4 | -4.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 80.0 | 101.0 | 181.0 | -21.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 78.0 | 78.7 | 156.7 | -0.7 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (24) | 76.8 | 65.7 | 142.5 | +11.1 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.0 | 34.9 | 69.9 | +0.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 35.9 | 35.2 | 71.1 | +0.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 33.7 | 34.5 | 68.2 | -0.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.4 | 35.7 | 67.1 | -4.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.2 | 34.6 | 66.8 | -2.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 36.4 | 40.8 | 77.2 | -4.4 | 20% | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 33.3 | 34.9 | 68.2 | -1.6 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 38.3 | 30.9 | 69.1 | +7.4 | 86% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.1 | 30.9 | 68.0 | +6.2 | 77% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 38.9 | 30.7 | 69.6 | +8.2 | 94% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 35.0 | 31.2 | 66.2 | +3.8 | 57% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.0 | 34.0 | 73.0 | +5.0 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 36.8 | 75.2 | +1.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 46.0 | 50.0 | 96.0 | -4.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 39.7 | 35.3 | 75.0 | +4.3 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker (24) | 36.2 | 29.1 | 65.3 | +7.1 | 79% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Washington State | 72-71 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Central State (OH) | 68-58 |
| 04/11/26 | H | IPFW | 78-71 |
| 13/03/26 | A | VCU Rams | 66-71 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Rhode Island | 67-61 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Richmond Spiders | 79-77 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Rhode Island | 52-64 |
| 01/03/26 | A | St. Louis Billikens | 76-91 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Davidson | 56-67 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Dayton | 66-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Stetson | 75-62 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Penn | 65-78 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Alcorn State | 94-83 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Yale | 62-72 |
| 19/03/26 | A | Michigan | 80-101 |
| 17/03/26 | H | UMBC Retrievers | 86-83 |
| 14/03/26 | H | N. Carolina Central | 70-63 |
| 13/03/26 | H | South Carolina St | 78-61 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Norfolk State | 84-76 |
| 03/03/26 | H | Coppin State | 90-70 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 72.7 | 72.7 | - |
| Allowed / game | 66.7 | 66.7 | - |
| Point differential | +6.0 | +6.0 | - |
| Avg total | 139.3 | 139.3 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 33% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLW | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 74.0 | 75.0 | 73.7 |
| Allowed / game | 73.8 | 62.0 | 77.7 |
| Point differential | +0.2 | +13.0 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 147.8 | 137.0 | 151.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Louis Billikens | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 51.8 | +28.2 |
| 3 |  Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.2 | 59.2 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  George Mason | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 57.7 | +17.7 |
| 5 |  Davidson | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 60.7 | +14.7 |
| 6 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 77.3 | 70.0 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Duquesne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 66.7 | +6.0 |
| 8 |  Richmond Spiders | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 64.0 | +25.0 |
| 9 |  Fordham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.5 | 72.0 | +4.5 |
| 10 |  St. Bonaventure | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 64.0 | +18.3 |
| 11 |  VCU Rams | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 70.0 | +15.7 |
| 12 |  Loyola Chicago | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.0 | 70.7 | +11.3 |
| 13 |  Dayton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 79.3 | +5.3 |
| 14 |  La Salle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morgan State | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.2 | 65.5 | +19.8 |
| 2 |  South Carolina St | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.2 | 72.8 | +5.5 |
| 3 | Howard | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.0 | 73.8 | +0.2 |
| 4 |  Norfolk State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.8 | 72.8 | -3.0 |
| 5 |  Delaware State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 67.0 | +7.7 |
| 6 |  Coppin State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 62.2 | 66.2 | -4.0 |
| 7 |  Md.-East. Shore | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 58.6 | 70.0 | -11.4 |
| 8 |  N. Carolina Central | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 63.5 | 74.2 | -10.8 |
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