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East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#123
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#139
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · East Carolina v Florida Atlantic
28 Jan 2027
EAST v FLOR
upcoming
05 Jan 2025
EAST76
FLOR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Atlantic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A21/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H01/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H06/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A08/03
NCAA
USC Upstate
#331
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H03/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#15
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#197
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#305
W
72-48
72
48
+24
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
36-32
25-36
31-32
34-43
48-38
44-30
40-38
28-53
38-40
44-41
39-49
44-32
39-38
33-31
42-47
35-28
37-39
33-21
39-27
151.7Avg total
76.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.565.8141.2+9.875%
Season at home (4)75.565.8141.2+9.875%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.275.5151.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)77.070.6147.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)70.677.5148.1-6.926%
vs Similar (3)70.067.3137.3+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.267.8149.0+13.5100%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#138
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H12/03
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A13/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#365
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Wright State
#81
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A07/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#237
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#367
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
38-41
38-44
39-29
35-45
34-24
41-43
29-45
29-27
34-32
30-34
40-40
37-29
37-31
28-47
43-50
39-42
56-48
46-34
32-29
150.0Avg total
74.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.577.5157.0+2.075%
Season at home (3)82.371.0153.3+11.3100%
Season away (1)71.097.0168.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)74.775.3150.0-0.660%
Last 5 (5)77.676.8154.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.884.5161.2-7.80%
vs Similar (13)75.776.6152.3-0.954%
vs Weaker (11)79.473.4152.7+6.064%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
East CarolinaFlorida Atlantic
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
28-53
28
53
-25
H06/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A08/03
NCAA
USC Upstate
#331
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H03/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#197
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#305
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H14/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.836.168.9-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.434.968.2-1.550%-
Last 30 away (10)31.738.670.3-6.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.270.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.668.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)31.337.669.0-6.335%-
vs Similar (3)35.330.365.7+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.231.871.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#138
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H12/03
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#365
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Wright State
#81
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A07/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#237
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H12/11
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#367
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/11
NCAA
73.4Avg total
35.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.771.3+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.733.473.1+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)33.236.169.3-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.773.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.033.067.0+1.075%-
vs Similar (13)34.835.870.5-1.038%-
vs Weaker (11)38.033.871.8+4.255%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
East Carolina wins
3
Florida Atlantic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDelaware State72-48
11/11/26HN. Carolina A&T72-67
07/11/26HNC Wilmington75-78
03/11/26HUSC Upstate83-70
08/03/26AUAB83-90
06/03/26HTulsa66-93
01/03/26HMemphis84-68
26/02/26AUTSA Roadrunners82-81
21/02/26ACharlotte56-68
19/02/26HWichita State89-92 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCoastal Georgia78-63
12/11/26HWilliam & Mary95-90
07/11/26AWright State71-97
03/11/26HLIU Sharks74-60
13/03/26ANorth Texas70-74
12/03/26HTemple63-59
07/03/26AWichita State70-88
01/03/26HCharlotte77-76 OT
27/02/26HTemple77-73
22/02/26ANorth Texas72-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game75.575.5-
Allowed / game65.865.8-
Point differential+9.8+9.8-
Avg total141.2141.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game79.582.371.0
Allowed / game77.571.097.0
Point differential+2.0+11.3-26.0
Avg total157.0153.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 Memphis43175%87.086.8+0.2
7 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple42250%71.574.2-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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