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East Carolina vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 64-75
28-37 36-38
Position#250
Record9-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game69.2
East Carolina
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs 🏆
USA
Position#99
Record10-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game61.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · East Carolina v SMU Mustangs
13 Jan 2024
EAST64
SMU 75
04 Feb 2023
EAST77
SMU 72
12 Feb 2022
EAST66
SMU 80
08 Feb 2021
EAST56
SMU 71
11 Jan 2020
EAST71
SMU 68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#106
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A25/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H04/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H21/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H07/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
28-42
29-36
45-30
32-31
31-21
28-35
34-33
30-37
35-33
35-19
44-31
35-44
35-42
36-35
28-44
29-32
33-25
33-31
40-31
134.2Avg total
67.1Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.769.2141.9+3.456%
Season at home (12)75.268.0143.2+7.267%
Season away (4)65.273.0138.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)67.167.1134.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)69.666.8136.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)66.174.1140.2-8.025%
vs Similar (13)72.671.3143.9+1.354%
vs Weaker (4)70.860.5131.2+10.2100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#117
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H30/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
90-47
90
47
+43
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A17/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
89-53
89
53
+36
H20/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
92-65
92
65
+27
A22/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H03/01
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-24
29-45
23-30
47-27
37-35
26-30
46-16
44-31
40-36
34-40
25-18
43-39
49-24
40-29
49-41
43-24
32-24
34-30
36-24
23-38
133.7Avg total
73.2Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.561.7136.2+12.967%
Season at home (9)77.159.8136.9+17.378%
Season away (6)70.764.5135.2+6.250%
Last 10 (10)73.260.5133.7+12.760%
Last 5 (5)74.858.2133.0+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.878.8148.6-8.917%
vs Similar (6)69.868.3138.2+1.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.061.5139.5+16.583%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +3.0+3.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +3.0+3.0
East CarolinaSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#106
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A25/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H04/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H09/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A15/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H21/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H30/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A11/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
31.8Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.434.366.7-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.634.468.0-0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)30.834.064.8-3.242%-
Last 10 (10)31.833.965.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.265.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.235.865.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (13)35.434.269.5+1.254%-
vs Weaker (4)30.231.061.2-0.850%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#117
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H30/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
46-16
46
16
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
25-18
25
18
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H20/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A22/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A07/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
36.9Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.267.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.930.466.3+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)33.934.268.1-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)36.927.264.1+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.226.264.4+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.836.870.7-3.050%-
vs Similar (6)33.828.362.2+5.583%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.729.466.1+7.267%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
East Carolina wins
5
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
19/02/23SMU Mustangs v East Carolina86-70
04/02/23East Carolina v SMU Mustangs77-72
12/02/22East Carolina v SMU Mustangs66-80
08/02/21East Carolina v SMU Mustangs56-71
17/12/20SMU Mustangs v East Carolina70-55
23/01/20SMU Mustangs v East Carolina84-64
11/01/20East Carolina v SMU Mustangs71-68
East Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24ATemple73-62
07/01/24HTulsa62-57
03/01/24AFlorida Atlantic64-79
30/12/23HEast Tennessee St70-86
21/12/23HDelaware State79-50
15/12/23AFlorida65-70
09/12/23HSouth Carolina62-68
04/12/23HMd.-East. Shore63-52
01/12/23HNC Wilmington74-66
25/11/23AGeorge Mason59-81
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AMemphis59-62
03/01/24HCharlotte66-54
22/12/23AMurray State92-65
20/12/23HHouston Christian89-53
17/12/23AFlorida State68-57
07/12/23AArizona State74-76
03/12/23HTX A&M Commerce90-47
30/11/23HDayton63-65
26/11/23HLouisiana Monroe70-57
23/11/23AWisconsin61-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %56%67%25%
Points / game72.775.265.2
Allowed / game69.268.073.0
Point differential+3.4+7.2-7.8
Avg total141.9143.2138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%78%50%
Points / game74.577.170.7
Allowed / game61.759.864.5
Point differential+12.9+17.3+6.2
Avg total136.2136.9135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis1614288%79.973.6+6.2
2 Florida Atlantic1612475%82.170.9+11.2
3 Tulane1510567%86.778.1+8.6
4 UAB1510567%77.375.6+1.7
5 North Texas149564%69.658.9+10.6
6 South Florida149564%76.470.3+6.1
7 Tulsa159660%75.667.8+7.8
8 East Carolina169756%72.769.2+3.4
9 Charlotte158753%68.864.8+4.0
10 Wichita State158753%73.571.7+1.8
11 Temple168850%72.472.6-0.2
12 UTSA Roadrunners167944%80.681.1-0.5
13 Rice1661038%73.475.8-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1613381%83.869.5+14.2
2 Duke1512380%81.965.2+16.7
3 Wake Forest1612475%80.969.3+11.6
4 Clemson1612475%80.372.2+8.1
5 NC State1612475%76.969.0+7.9
6 Miami (FL)1611569%83.072.3+10.7
7 Virginia1611569%64.957.8+7.1
8 Syracuse1611569%76.372.7+3.6
9 SMU Mustangs1510567%74.561.7+12.9
10 Virginia Tech1510567%74.367.2+7.1
11 Pittsburgh1610662%77.466.1+11.4
12 Boston College1610662%78.973.7+5.2
13 Florida State1610662%76.773.1+3.6
14 Stanford158753%78.975.6+3.3
15 Georgia Tech158753%72.473.7-1.3
16 Notre Dame1771041%63.065.2-2.2
17 California1661038%75.576.4-0.9
18 Louisville1661038%73.876.6-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Carolina283664
SMU Mustangs373875
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