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Eltham vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 73-68
24-22 13-16 14-16 22-14
Position#6
Record5-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game87.6
Eltham 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#17
Record4-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Eltham v Geelong
24 May 2025
ELTH73
GEEL68
20 Jul 2024
ELTH86
GEEL81
02 Jun 2024
ELTH92
GEEL70
14 May 2022
ELTH76
GEEL85
26 Jun 2021
ELTH85
GEEL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A12/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
A25/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
105-71
105
71
+34
H26/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
A03/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
A10/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A16/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A17/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-16
20-22
16-22
25-30
18-7
31-21
20-14
20-25
19-26
21-21
20-17
18-22
19-13
18-20
29-29
22-12
32-21
24-20
27-18
30-25
25-18
16-21
16-23
22-17
19-25
21-18
25-25
15-34
24-23
19-26
17-21
25-26
13-26
12-19
19-18
26-29
21-19
24-21
19-20
174.3Avg total
86.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.787.6174.3-0.950%
Season at home (3)88.079.3167.3+8.767%
Season away (7)86.191.1177.3-5.043%
Last 10 (10)86.787.6174.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)85.093.4178.4-8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.089.5162.5-16.50%
vs Similar (12)82.685.3167.9-2.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.879.4170.2+11.381%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
58-108
58
108
-50
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A25/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A26/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A16/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A18/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-32
19-26
11-23
16-27
24-21
21-23
25-17
28-11
18-22
18-25
32-28
20-21
19-23
22-20
21-26
27-22
17-16
22-23
20-23
27-20
11-15
23-28
21-15
23-15
20-25
11-12
20-21
22-27
24-24
22-14
16-11
26-27
12-27
16-21
28-24
20-25
25-37
31-16
18-17
14-24
169.6Avg total
82.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.287.4169.6-5.240%
Season at home (4)83.286.8170.0-3.550%
Season away (6)81.587.8169.3-6.333%
Last 10 (10)82.287.4169.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)80.685.0165.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.687.8165.4-10.229%
vs Similar (10)83.778.2161.9+5.580%
vs Weaker (6)82.382.2164.5+0.250%
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
ElthamGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A25/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H26/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A03/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A10/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A16/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A17/05
NBL1 South
86.5Avg total
42.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.182.5+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (11)44.540.084.5+4.564%-
Last 30 away (19)41.140.281.3+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.686.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.492.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.048.585.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (12)39.641.581.1-1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.138.183.2+7.175%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A18/05
NBL1 South
83.7Avg total
38.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.881.2-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.642.283.8-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.643.378.9-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)38.745.083.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.882.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.444.680.9-8.221%-
vs Similar (10)41.140.581.6+0.640%-
vs Weaker (6)38.542.581.0-4.033%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Eltham wins
4
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
20/07/24Eltham v Geelong86-81
02/06/24Eltham v Geelong92-70
25/06/23Geelong v Eltham96-81
14/05/22Eltham v Geelong76-85
26/06/21Eltham v Geelong85-93
20/04/19Geelong v Eltham103-72
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25ANW Tasmania90-89
16/05/25AHobart Chargers69-89
10/05/25AKilsyth75-104
04/05/25HMelbourne Tigers87-85
03/05/25ADiamond Valley104-100 OT
26/04/25HBallarat105-71
25/04/25ANunawading91-95 OT
12/04/25AMt Gambier80-89
05/04/25ADandenong94-72
29/03/25HRingwood72-82
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AMt Gambier88-94
16/05/25AKnox76-97
10/05/25HDandenong88-76
03/05/25ASandringham Sabres73-85
26/04/25AHobart Chargers78-73
25/04/25ANW Tasmania86-82
12/04/25HBendigo Braves89-91
11/04/25AWaverley88-96
05/04/25HBallarat98-72
29/03/25HMt Gambier58-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %50%67%43%
Points / game86.788.086.1
Allowed / game87.679.391.1
Point differential-0.9+8.7-5.0
Avg total174.3167.3177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %20%0%29%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game82.283.281.5
Allowed / game87.486.887.8
Point differential-5.2-3.5-6.3
Avg total169.6170.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1110191%91.777.7+14.0
2 Mt Gambier118373%96.583.0+13.5
3 Casey Cavaliers117464%87.081.9+5.1
4 Melbourne Tigers106460%86.078.7+7.3
5 Kilsyth106460%85.482.7+2.7
6 Bendigo Braves127558%87.492.7-5.2
7 Frankston116555%91.387.5+3.8
8 Hobart Chargers116555%84.681.4+3.3
9 Nunawading116555%86.988.6-1.7
10 Ballarat116555%86.093.7-7.7
11 Eltham105550%86.787.6-0.9
12 Waverley115645%90.693.5-2.8
13 Geelong104640%82.287.4-5.2
14 Keilor Thunder104640%82.190.2-8.1
15 Sandringham Sabres114736%86.091.2-5.2
16 Diamond Valley114736%86.692.9-6.3
17 Ringwood124833%91.889.1+2.8
18 NW Tasmania113827%86.086.8-0.8
19 Dandenong112918%86.795.4-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham2413142273
Geelong2216161468
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