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Eltham vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 103-72
34-13 19-22 25-19 25-18
Position#6
Record7-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.5
Eltham 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#1
Record14-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game81.8
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Eltham v Knox
28 Jun 2025
ELTH103
KNOX72
12 May 2024
ELTH95
KNOX86
24 Jun 2023
ELTH67
KNOX103
04 Jul 2021
ELTH80
KNOX94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
A03/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
A10/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A16/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A17/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H24/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H14/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H21/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
25-18
16-21
16-23
22-17
19-25
21-18
25-25
15-34
24-23
19-26
17-21
25-26
13-26
12-19
19-18
26-29
21-19
24-21
19-20
24-22
13-16
14-16
22-14
24-26
22-18
19-15
27-22
27-21
17-26
15-22
27-23
23-19
16-19
19-35
29-26
17-21
22-32
18-18
21-25
174.4Avg total
84.1Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.587.5173.0-1.947%
Season at home (7)84.782.1166.9+2.657%
Season away (8)86.292.1178.4-5.938%
Last 10 (10)84.190.3174.4-6.250%
Last 5 (5)83.287.2170.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.089.5162.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.785.8166.5-5.150%
vs Weaker (18)90.479.8170.2+10.683%
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H16/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
89-72
89
72
+17
A17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H23/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A21/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
25-16
9-21
22-13
27-12
21-16
24-28
25-20
15-18
21-20
23-24
30-10
19-24
26-30
33-18
19-18
23-19
36-28
26-13
18-16
15-22
28-16
26-23
26-21
16-22
19-17
22-24
21-22
20-20
26-20
30-27
13-22
21-20
19-30
22-22
32-18
20-20
12-28
24-23
30-26
176.2Avg total
92.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.481.8174.2+10.682%
Season at home (9)90.282.0172.2+8.278%
Season away (8)94.981.5176.4+13.488%
Last 10 (10)92.084.2176.2+7.880%
Last 5 (5)91.891.8183.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.0105.0211.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.288.8175.0-2.525%
vs Weaker (25)93.778.1171.8+15.684%
This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +5.0+5.0
ElthamKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A03/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A10/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A16/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A17/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H21/06
NBL1 South
88.7Avg total
42.5Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.582.3+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.841.485.2+2.350%-
Last 30 away (18)40.439.980.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.546.288.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.085.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.048.585.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.040.378.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (18)44.439.784.1+4.761%-
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H23/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
84.5Avg total
42.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.240.586.7+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.539.585.9+7.071%-
Last 30 away (13)45.941.887.8+4.146%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.784.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.082.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.040.086.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.842.582.2-2.80%-
vs Weaker (25)47.340.287.5+7.168%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Eltham wins
6
Knox wins
DateGameScore
17/08/24Knox v Eltham90-66
12/05/24Eltham v Knox95-86 OT
29/07/23Knox v Eltham84-81
24/06/23Eltham v Knox67-103
15/05/22Knox v Eltham95-69
04/07/21Eltham v Knox80-94
16/06/19Knox v Eltham77-72
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HKeilor Thunder78-96
15/06/25ASandringham Sabres87-99
14/06/25HBendigo Braves86-92
31/05/25HDiamond Valley92-81
24/05/25HGeelong73-68
17/05/25ANW Tasmania90-89
16/05/25AHobart Chargers69-89
10/05/25AKilsyth75-104
04/05/25HMelbourne Tigers87-85
03/05/25ADiamond Valley104-100 OT
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25ANW Tasmania86-97
20/06/25AHobart Chargers94-90
15/06/25HMt Gambier106-105 OT
14/06/25HMelbourne Tigers78-85
31/05/25AKilsyth95-82
25/05/25AWaverley103-76
23/05/25HFrankston97-90
17/05/25ADandenong89-72
16/05/25HGeelong97-76
10/05/25HKeilor Thunder75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game85.584.786.2
Allowed / game87.582.192.1
Point differential-1.9+2.6-5.9
Avg total173.0166.9178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %13%0%25%
Knox
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL82%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%78%88%
Points / game92.490.294.9
Allowed / game81.882.081.5
Point differential+10.6+8.2+13.4
Avg total174.2172.2176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%33%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1714382%92.481.8+10.6
2 Mt Gambier1711665%96.685.7+10.9
3 Melbourne Tigers1610662%87.880.4+7.4
4 Casey Cavaliers1610662%89.484.5+4.9
5 Hobart Chargers159660%87.083.1+3.9
6 Sandringham Sabres169756%92.591.2+1.3
7 Ballarat169756%87.793.9-6.2
8 Kilsyth1810856%87.285.4+1.8
9 Ringwood168850%95.989.9+5.9
10 Frankston168850%91.687.6+4.1
11 Nunawading168850%85.986.6-0.8
12 Waverley168850%92.894.7-1.9
13 Eltham157847%85.587.5-1.9
14 Bendigo Braves1881044%85.493.7-8.3
15 Geelong1771041%83.788.6-4.9
16 Keilor Thunder156940%81.788.7-7.0
17 NW Tasmania1651131%86.988.9-2.0
18 Diamond Valley1641225%84.494.9-10.4
19 Dandenong1631319%88.296.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham34192525103
Knox1322191872
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