Ballarat vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 87-81

21-29 22-14 21-26 23-12

Position#5

Record12-5

FormWLWLW

Points / game92.6

Allowed / game85.8

Ballarat 🏆

Melbourne Tigers

Position#13

Record7-11

FormWLLLL

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game82.2

NBL1 South

Other2024

Meetings · Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne Tigers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eltham

95-82

+13

H11/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

80-68

+12

A12/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

78-80

-2

A18/05

NBL1 South

Knox

89-86 OT

H25/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

99-96

H26/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

76-75

A01/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

84-86

-2

H15/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

98-91

A16/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

79-94

-15

H22/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

108-99

108

A23/06

NBL1 South

20-24

32-19

17-23

26-16

22-16

20-19

17-19

21-14

24-14

20-22

23-20

11-24

13-20

16-17

27-21

20-18

24-24

19-25

21-25

35-22

20-16

22-23

15-22

19-14

21-22

26-21

21-21

16-22

25-25

28-29

28-15

17-22

19-22

22-19

26-22

12-31

26-29

30-25

25-25

27-20

174.3Avg total

88.6Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	92.6	85.8	178.5	+6.8	71%
Season at home (8)	91.8	86.5	178.2	+5.2	62%
Season away (9)	93.4	85.2	178.7	+8.2	78%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	85.7	174.3	+2.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	89.0	178.0	+0.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	90.7	90.4	181.1	+0.3	57%
vs Similar (10)	95.1	96.4	191.5	-1.3	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	94.3	86.0	180.3	+8.3	69%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

63-81

-18

A10/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

84-74

+10

A11/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

80-78

H18/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

84-78

A25/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

69-82

-13

H01/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

84-79

H06/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

66-72

-6

A15/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

77-86

-9

H16/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

44-77

-33

A22/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

73-91

-18

H28/06

NBL1 South

15-17

18-20

22-25

8-19

28-19

21-17

16-10

19-28

14-24

22-20

20-23

24-11

14-20

25-18

26-15

19-25

24-15

12-22

14-25

19-20

21-28

20-16

19-22

24-13

20-19

21-18

19-18

6-17

17-31

22-20

23-20

15-15

11-14

11-23

10-21

12-19

18-34

27-14

11-24

17-19

152.2Avg total

72.4Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	75.1	82.2	157.3	-7.1	39%
Season at home (10)	75.7	84.1	159.8	-8.4	30%
Season away (8)	74.4	79.9	154.2	-5.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	79.8	152.2	-7.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	81.0	149.8	-12.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	76.7	85.9	162.7	-9.2	40%
vs Similar (12)	78.3	82.5	160.8	-4.2	33%
vs Weaker (3)	85.7	80.0	165.7	+5.7	100%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratMelbourne Tigers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	21.3	45.5	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	20.4	44.3	+3.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.4	22.4	46.9	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	24.3	20.9	45.1	+3.4	71%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.7	22.5	46.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.5	20.7	45.2	+3.8	46%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	23.2	42.5	-3.8	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.8	42.4	-1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	25.2	42.6	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.9	23.2	42.1	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	24.1	47.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	24.2	48.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.9	45.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	23.4	49.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.1	24.7	47.9	-1.6	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.4	24.8	49.2	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.2	23.3	46.5	-0.2	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	20.5	41.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	13.7	31.3	+4.0	100%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eltham

52-43

H11/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

42-35

A12/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

44-36

A18/05

NBL1 South

Knox

29-37

-8

H25/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

43-49

-6

H26/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

42-39

A01/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

47-43

H15/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

53-54

-1

A16/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

41-41

H22/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

56-54

A23/06

NBL1 South

88.0Avg total

44.9Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.7	45.5	93.2	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.8	44.6	92.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.6	46.4	94.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	43.1	88.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	46.2	94.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	47.4	45.6	93.0	+1.9	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	48.1	47.3	95.4	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	47.6	44.0	91.6	+3.6	69%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

33-37

-4

A10/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

49-36

+13

A11/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

36-44

-8

H18/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

39-38

A25/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

36-37

-1

H01/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

41-44

-3

H06/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

41-37

A15/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

39-51

-12

H16/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

22-37

-15

A22/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

45-48

-3

H28/06

NBL1 South

79.0Avg total

38.1Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	42.5	82.3	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.2	43.7	83.9	-3.5	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.3	40.8	80.2	-1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	40.9	79.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	43.4	81.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.1	44.2	82.3	-6.1	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.3	41.4	83.8	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.3	38.0	76.3	+0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.0	22.1	46.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	21.9	40.4	-3.3	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.4	23.1	46.5	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.1	22.5	44.6	-0.5	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.9	39.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	20.5	38.8	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.0	37.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	21.3	37.3	-5.3	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.4	44.5	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	21.5	45.6	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.9	21.6	44.4	+1.3	71%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.2	24.3	46.5	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.9	19.0	42.9	+4.9	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.6	20.7	36.3	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.6	34.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	16.6	31.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.0	17.7	45.7	+10.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	43.9	88.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	44.4	88.2	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.0	43.4	89.4	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	41.6	84.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.8	84.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.4	43.4	84.9	-2.0	57%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.6	47.4	93.0	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	46.0	41.5	87.5	+4.5	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	41.1	78.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.5	41.0	81.5	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.8	41.2	75.1	-7.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	38.9	73.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	37.6	68.8	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.7	41.5	79.2	-3.9	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.0	41.1	77.1	-5.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

Melbourne Tigers wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/24	Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat	80-78
04/06/23	Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat	106-88
01/04/23	Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers	92-68
07/08/22	Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat	86-78
21/05/22	Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers	86-72
27/06/21	Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat	77-92
20/07/19	Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers	78-86
27/05/17	Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers	99-83
20/05/17	Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat	55-86
31/07/16	Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers	118-87

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/06/24	A	Ringwood	108-99
22/06/24	H	Nunawading	79-94
16/06/24	A	Waverley	98-91
15/06/24	H	Dandenong	84-86
01/06/24	A	Bendigo Braves	76-75
26/05/24	H	Diamond Valley	99-96
25/05/24	H	Knox	89-86 OT
18/05/24	A	Melbourne Tigers	78-80
12/05/24	A	Kilsyth	80-68
11/05/24	H	Eltham	95-82

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/06/24	H	Bendigo Braves	73-91
22/06/24	A	Kilsyth	44-77
16/06/24	H	Frankston	77-86
15/06/24	A	Geelong	66-72
06/06/24	H	Casey Cavaliers	84-79
01/06/24	H	Keilor Thunder	69-82
25/05/24	A	Nunawading	84-78
18/05/24	H	Ballarat	80-78
11/05/24	A	NW Tasmania	84-74
10/05/24	A	Hobart Chargers	63-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	71%
Home	WWWLL	62%
Away	WLWWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	71%	62%	78%
Points / game	92.6	91.8	93.4
Allowed / game	85.8	86.5	85.2
Point differential	+6.8	+5.2	+8.2
Avg total	178.5	178.2	178.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	38%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Melbourne Tigers

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	39%
Home	WLWLL	30%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	39%	30%	50%
Points / game	75.1	75.7	74.4
Allowed / game	82.2	84.1	79.9
Point differential	-7.1	-8.4	-5.5
Avg total	157.3	159.8	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	17	13	4	76%	88.9	80.4	+8.6
2	Sandringham Sabres	18	13	5	72%	94.1	80.5	+13.6
3	Ballarat	17	12	5	71%	92.6	85.8	+6.8
4	Dandenong	17	11	6	65%	86.5	84.2	+2.4
5	Keilor Thunder	17	11	6	65%	89.2	90.5	-1.3
6	Waverley	17	10	7	59%	93.2	88.3	+4.9
7	Frankston	16	9	7	56%	91.8	85.8	+6.1
8	Knox	18	10	8	56%	94.2	84.2	+10.0
9	Hobart Chargers	18	10	8	56%	80.9	80.8	+0.2
10	Eltham	17	9	8	53%	89.4	83.2	+6.2
11	Nunawading	17	9	8	53%	86.9	84.2	+2.7
12	Geelong	18	9	9	50%	79.7	84.2	-4.4
13	NW Tasmania	18	8	10	44%	82.8	90.3	-7.5
14	Bendigo Braves	18	7	11	39%	80.0	86.9	-6.9
15	Melbourne Tigers	18	7	11	39%	75.1	82.2	-7.1
16	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	84.9	89.5	-4.6
17	Diamond Valley	17	5	12	29%	85.3	94.3	-9.0
18	Kilsyth	17	4	13	24%	77.9	86.5	-8.6
19	Casey Cavaliers	18	3	15	17%	79.0	89.3	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	21	22	21	23	87
Melbourne Tigers	29	14	26	12	81

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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