Melbourne Tigers vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jul 2019

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 82-70

25-16 17-16 16-13 24-25

Position#6

Record11-8

FormLLLWW

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game85.2

Melbourne Tigers 🏆

Eltham

Position#17

Record6-13

FormWLLLL

Points / game86.3

Allowed / game90.9

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Eltham

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Eltham winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

72-66

H18/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

98-85

+13

H26/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

104-91

104

+13

H02/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

80-81

-1

A16/06

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

96-61

+35

H22/06

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

82-90 OT

-8

A28/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

81-102

102

-21

A29/06

NBL 1

Frankston

98-99

-1

A06/07

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

94-93

H14/07

NBL 1

Ballarat

86-78

A20/07

NBL 1

16-22

17-15

16-17

23-12

26-24

27-19

26-25

19-17

28-30

23-19

27-20

26-22

17-20

23-22

23-20

17-19

25-11

17-18

29-15

25-17

19-12

18-21

15-19

23-23

16-26

16-22

19-26

30-28

20-24

26-28

25-29

27-18

31-14

14-24

27-26

22-29

27-14

25-24

16-17

18-23

173.7Avg total

89.1Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	87.1	85.2	172.3	+1.9	58%
Season at home (10)	92.6	81.5	174.1	+11.1	90%
Season away (9)	81.0	89.3	170.3	-8.3	22%
Last 10 (10)	89.1	84.6	173.7	+4.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	92.4	180.6	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	77.5	86.9	164.4	-9.4	33%
vs Similar (11)	81.7	85.7	167.5	-4.0	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	96.1	83.1	179.3	+13.0	86%

This opponent (Eltham) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Eltham

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#18

97-80

+17

A19/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

82-71

+11

H26/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

79-74

H01/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

78-82

-4

H15/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

72-77

-5

A16/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

107-89

107

+18

H22/06

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

88-92

-4

H29/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

71-110

110

-39

A06/07

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

87-91

-4

H12/07

NBL 1

Nunawading

94-97

-3

H20/07

NBL 1

22-26

20-24

32-15

23-15

25-10

22-18

16-22

19-21

26-15

24-26

20-20

9-13

19-15

19-28

20-18

20-21

22-23

19-14

17-20

14-20

28-23

28-20

27-24

24-22

24-17

23-16

23-33

18-26

25-27

12-28

15-20

19-35

19-18

20-25

23-22

25-26

23-26

18-28

28-11

25-32

171.8Avg total

85.5Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	86.3	90.9	177.2	-4.7	32%
Season at home (10)	87.4	88.9	176.3	-1.5	30%
Season away (9)	85.0	93.2	178.2	-8.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	86.3	171.8	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	95.8	185.2	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	83.5	92.6	176.1	-9.1	25%
vs Similar (10)	87.4	90.7	178.1	-3.3	30%
vs Weaker (1)	97.0	80.0	177.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersEltham

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.6	41.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.8	58%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	24.7	20.4	45.1	+4.3	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	21.7	22.1	43.7	-0.4	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.0	43.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	26.0	48.0	-4.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.6	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	24.1	43.8	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.8	43.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.3	22.9	40.2	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.4	32%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.4	23.4	43.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.8	25.4	47.1	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

33-37

-4

H18/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

53-43

+10

H26/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

51-49

H02/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

40-42

-2

A16/06

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

42-29

+13

H22/06

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

37-33

A28/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

32-48

-16

A29/06

NBL 1

Frankston

46-52

-6

A06/07

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

45-38

H14/07

NBL 1

Ballarat

52-38

+14

A20/07

NBL 1

84.0Avg total

43.1Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	42.4	82.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.5	40.9	82.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	44.3	83.1	-5.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	40.9	84.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	41.8	84.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.4	42.2	79.6	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.8	44.1	82.9	-5.3	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	47.7	40.0	87.7	+7.7	100%	-

This opponent (Eltham) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#18

42-50

-8

A19/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

47-28

+19

H26/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

50-41

H01/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

38-43

-5

H15/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

41-37

A16/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

56-43

+13

H22/06

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

47-33

+14

H29/06

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

37-55

-18

A06/07

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

39-43

-4

H12/07

NBL 1

Nunawading

41-54

-13

H20/07

NBL 1

86.5Avg total

43.8Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	42.4	45.2	87.6	-2.7	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	42.9	43.1	86.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	41.9	47.4	89.3	-5.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	42.7	86.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	45.6	89.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	43.5	46.5	90.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.6	43.6	85.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	50.0	92.0	-8.0	0%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.1	21.9	46.1	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.9	20.3	43.1	+2.6	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	23.9	21.7	45.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.1	24.0	45.1	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	15.0	47.0	+17.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	18.9	40.1	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	22.8	42.8	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.2	48.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.1	21.8	40.8	-2.7	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.7	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.6	24.1	44.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	28.2	50.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.9	22.1	41.0	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	42.6	84.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.2	40.9	86.1	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.5	44.8	83.3	-6.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	42.2	87.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	47.6	92.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.1	44.8	84.8	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.9	41.6	84.5	+1.3	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	45.1	40.4	85.6	+4.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	41.9	43.9	85.8	-1.9	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	44.5	45.8	90.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	39.1	41.8	80.9	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	43.6	85.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	50.2	95.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	40.0	46.1	86.1	-6.1	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.2	43.5	85.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	55.0	30.0	85.0	+25.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

Eltham wins

No previous meetings.

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/07/19	A	Ballarat	86-78
14/07/19	H	Hobart Huskies	94-93
06/07/19	A	Frankston	98-99
29/06/19	A	Hobart Huskies	81-102
28/06/19	A	NW Tasmania	82-90 OT
22/06/19	H	BA CoE	96-61
16/06/19	A	Nunawading	80-81
02/06/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	104-91
26/05/19	H	Knox	98-85
18/05/19	H	Geelong	72-66

Elthamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/07/19	H	Nunawading	94-97
12/07/19	H	BA CoE	87-91
06/07/19	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	71-110
29/06/19	H	Bendigo Braves	88-92
22/06/19	H	Ringwood	107-89
16/06/19	A	Knox	72-77
15/06/19	H	Diamond Valley	78-82
01/06/19	H	Kilsyth	79-74
26/05/19	H	Hobart Huskies	82-71
19/05/19	A	Southern Sabres	97-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	58%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	LLLLW	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	58%	90%	22%
Points / game	87.1	92.6	81.0
Allowed / game	85.2	81.5	89.3
Point differential	+1.9	+11.1	-8.3
Avg total	172.3	174.1	170.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	60%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	11%	10%	11%

Eltham

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	32%
Home	LWLLL	30%
Away	WLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	32%	30%	33%
Points / game	86.3	87.4	85.0
Allowed / game	90.9	88.9	93.2
Point differential	-4.7	-1.5	-8.2
Avg total	177.2	176.3	178.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	20%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	12% (8)	14% (7)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	20	16	4	80%	90.2	76.2	+14.0
2	Nunawading	20	14	6	70%	92.8	84.5	+8.2
3	Frankston	20	14	6	70%	94.2	87.8	+6.3
4	Kilsyth	20	12	8	60%	85.8	84.1	+1.7
5	Geelong	20	12	8	60%	80.8	79.8	+1.1
6	Melbourne Tigers	19	11	8	58%	87.1	85.2	+1.9
7	Dandenong	20	11	9	55%	91.7	88.0	+3.6
8	Bendigo Braves	20	11	9	55%	84.6	82.6	+2.0
9	Hobart Huskies	20	10	10	50%	87.2	88.3	-1.1
10	Waverley	20	10	10	50%	88.3	90.1	-1.8
11	Diamond Valley	20	9	11	45%	86.4	88.2	-1.8
12	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	20	8	12	40%	92.8	95.7	-2.9
13	Knox	20	8	12	40%	81.1	84.2	-3.0
14	NW Tasmania	20	8	12	40%	84.9	88.0	-3.0
15	BA CoE	20	8	12	40%	83.0	86.8	-3.8
16	Eltham	19	6	13	32%	86.3	90.9	-4.7
17	Ringwood	20	6	14	30%	90.4	95.3	-5.0
18	Southern Sabres	20	5	15	25%	87.0	98.8	-11.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne Tigers	25	17	16	24	82
Eltham	16	16	13	25	70

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs Eltham Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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