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Eltham vs Waverley Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 97-92
28-29 27-24 23-20 19-19
Position#6
Record9-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game86.3
Eltham 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#13
Record9-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game94.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Eltham v Waverley
05 Jul 2025
ELTH97
WAVE92
04 Jul 2024
ELTH94
WAVE89
22 Jul 2023
ELTH97
WAVE68
30 Jun 2023
ELTH98
WAVE94
21 May 2022
ELTH82
WAVE94
06 Apr 2019
ELTH84
WAVE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
A10/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A16/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A17/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H24/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H14/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H21/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
103-72
103
72
+31
H28/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A29/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-34
24-23
19-26
17-21
25-26
13-26
12-19
19-18
26-29
21-19
24-21
19-20
24-22
13-16
14-16
22-14
24-26
22-18
19-15
27-22
27-21
17-26
15-22
27-23
23-19
16-19
19-35
29-26
17-21
22-32
18-18
21-25
34-13
19-22
25-19
25-18
21-21
23-21
24-18
25-23
171.9Avg total
84.6Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.086.3173.3+0.753%
Season at home (8)87.080.9167.9+6.162%
Season away (9)87.091.1178.1-4.144%
Last 10 (10)84.687.3171.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)89.488.4177.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.089.5162.5-16.50%
vs Similar (12)83.684.4168.0-0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.780.9170.6+8.881%
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
104-103
104
103
+1
A10/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A17/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
A24/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
107-122
107
122
-15
A31/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H09/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
113-101
113
101
+12
A14/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H21/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H28/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
29-34
25-27
25-21
27-27
26-27
18-25
19-16
16-25
30-14
14-19
10-17
16-20
28-27
27-27
35-17
19-23
28-36
13-26
16-18
30-37
33-26
20-32
24-27
38-15
7-32
25-19
26-14
23-33
29-20
34-28
27-20
25-16
27-20
26-16
17-29
33-25
24-19
24-22
16-24
189.5Avg total
95.4Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)93.094.4187.4-1.453%
Season at home (9)93.288.7181.9+4.667%
Season away (8)92.8100.9193.6-8.138%
Last 10 (10)95.494.1189.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)101.694.8196.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)90.1100.2190.3-10.238%
vs Similar (9)92.690.7183.2+1.956%
vs Weaker (8)93.485.4178.8+8.062%
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
ElthamWaverley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A10/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A16/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A17/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H21/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H28/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/06
NBL1 South
88.0Avg total
42.6Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.882.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.741.686.2+3.150%-
Last 30 away (18)40.440.280.6+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.488.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.086.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.048.585.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (12)39.840.079.8-0.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.540.484.9+4.156%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H11/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A17/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A24/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A31/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H09/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A14/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H28/06
NBL1 South
101.0Avg total
51.3Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.548.395.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.945.494.3+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)46.151.197.3-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)51.349.7101.0+1.630%-
Last 5 (5)53.848.6102.4+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)47.451.198.5-3.723%-
vs Similar (9)49.447.496.9+2.067%-
vs Weaker (8)45.544.690.1+0.962%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Eltham wins
4
Waverley wins
DateGameScore
04/07/24Eltham v Waverley94-89
22/07/23Eltham v Waverley97-68
30/06/23Eltham v Waverley98-94
10/07/22Waverley v Eltham74-70
21/05/22Eltham v Waverley82-94
27/06/21Waverley v Eltham108-94
06/04/19Eltham v Waverley84-89
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25ACasey Cavaliers93-83
28/06/25HKnox103-72
21/06/25HKeilor Thunder78-96
15/06/25ASandringham Sabres87-99
14/06/25HBendigo Braves86-92
31/05/25HDiamond Valley92-81
24/05/25HGeelong73-68
17/05/25ANW Tasmania90-89
16/05/25AHobart Chargers69-89
10/05/25AKilsyth75-104
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HHobart Chargers97-90
21/06/25HKilsyth95-81
14/06/25AFrankston113-101
09/06/25HDiamond Valley96-80
31/05/25ARingwood107-122
25/05/25HKnox76-103
24/05/25ADandenong106-91
17/05/25AKeilor Thunder70-75
11/05/25HCasey Cavaliers90-95
10/05/25ASandringham Sabres104-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game87.087.087.0
Allowed / game86.380.991.1
Point differential+0.7+6.1-4.1
Avg total173.3167.9178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%22%
Waverley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%67%38%
Points / game93.093.292.8
Allowed / game94.488.7100.9
Point differential-1.4+4.6-8.1
Avg total187.4181.9193.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1915479%90.882.9+7.9
2 Mt Gambier1913668%96.784.6+12.1
3 Melbourne Tigers1811761%86.780.2+6.4
4 Sandringham Sabres1710759%92.590.0+2.5
5 Kilsyth1911858%87.185.2+1.9
6 Casey Cavaliers1810856%88.985.8+3.1
7 Hobart Chargers1810856%86.984.5+2.4
8 Ballarat1810856%88.291.6-3.4
9 Eltham179853%87.086.3+0.7
10 Waverley179853%93.094.4-1.4
11 Frankston189950%91.988.2+3.7
12 Ringwood189950%93.990.9+3.1
13 Nunawading1881044%85.986.7-0.8
14 Bendigo Braves1981142%84.493.3-8.9
15 Geelong1871139%83.788.5-4.8
16 Keilor Thunder1661038%82.689.2-6.6
17 Diamond Valley1751229%84.593.8-9.4
18 NW Tasmania1851328%85.689.7-4.1
19 Dandenong1851328%89.796.0-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham2827231997
Waverley2924201992
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