Eltham vs Waverley Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jun 2023

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 98-94

26-18 25-25 24-23 23-28

Position#5

Record10-7

FormWLLLL

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game83.6

Eltham 🏆

Waverley

Position#9

Record10-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game86.1

Allowed / game84.4

NBL1 South

Other2023

Meetings · Eltham v Waverley

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Waverley winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eltham

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

#18

99-76

+23

H07/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

100-91

100

H13/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

104-99 OT

104

H20/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

87-70

+17

A26/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

86-94 OT

-8

A27/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

114-66

114

+48

H03/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

78-90

-12

A17/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

84-91 OT

-7

A18/06

NBL1 South

Knox

67-103

103

-36

H24/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

81-96

-15

A25/06

NBL1 South

28-10

28-19

29-21

14-26

23-22

20-26

25-14

32-29

23-22

27-21

15-29

23-16

21-22

31-14

15-15

20-19

20-22

13-25

30-12

13-17

31-13

27-19

31-23

25-11

19-28

20-24

20-22

19-16

15-26

23-15

21-19

16-15

17-27

16-21

16-26

18-29

19-18

25-23

23-26

14-29

177.6Avg total

90.0Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	89.4	83.6	173.1	+5.8	59%
Season at home (8)	96.9	80.6	177.5	+16.2	88%
Season away (9)	82.8	86.3	169.1	-3.6	33%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	87.6	177.6	+2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	89.2	174.0	-4.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	70.8	82.6	153.4	-11.8	20%
vs Similar (6)	82.0	83.5	165.5	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	93.0	80.4	173.4	+12.6	79%

This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Waverley

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#17

91-89

H07/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

77-71

A12/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

87-79

H14/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

108-95

108

+13

A20/05

NBL1 South

Knox

90-86

A21/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

77-92

-15

H28/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

97-80

+17

A03/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

93-90

H04/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

95-87

H18/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

90-54

+36

A24/06

NBL1 South

21-18

23-29

25-17

22-25

19-17

17-22

25-18

16-14

22-17

21-19

20-26

24-17

19-32

38-18

24-17

27-28

26-25

22-22

19-25

23-14

16-18

24-31

27-16

10-27

21-19

20-27

30-15

26-19

25-24

26-22

27-21

15-23

20-31

20-19

25-17

30-20

22-9

19-23

28-8

21-14

172.8Avg total

90.5Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	86.1	84.4	170.4	+1.7	62%
Season at home (8)	82.5	84.4	166.9	-1.9	50%
Season away (8)	89.6	84.4	174.0	+5.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	90.5	82.3	172.8	+8.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	80.6	171.0	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	80.4	87.9	168.3	-7.4	43%
vs Similar (12)	86.2	90.7	176.9	-4.4	33%
vs Weaker (11)	87.7	75.8	163.5	+11.9	73%

This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ElthamWaverley

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.6	40.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.1	40.0	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.6	20.4	36.0	-4.8	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	22.8	42.7	-3.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	23.3	44.3	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.6	25.6	47.2	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.6	17.8	38.5	+2.8	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.7	43.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.1	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	21.5	43.0	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.5	43.1	+2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.4	46.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.7	23.0	42.7	-3.3	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.8	20.8	43.7	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.2	21.4	42.5	-0.2	36%	-

ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

#18

56-29

+27

H07/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

43-48

-5

H13/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

50-43

H20/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

52-36

+16

A26/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

33-47

-14

A27/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

58-32

+26

H03/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

39-52

-13

A17/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

38-41

-3

A18/06

NBL1 South

Knox

33-48

-15

H24/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

44-41

A25/06

NBL1 South

86.3Avg total

44.6Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.7	81.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	38.5	80.9	+3.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	42.8	81.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	41.7	86.3	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	42.8	85.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	32.0	41.2	73.2	-9.2	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.7	43.5	83.2	-3.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.5	39.1	85.6	+7.4	71%	-

This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#17

44-47

-3

H07/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

36-39

-3

A12/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

43-36

H14/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

57-50

A20/05

NBL1 South

Knox

48-47

A21/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

40-49

-9

H28/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

41-46

-5

A03/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

51-46

H04/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

40-50

-10

H18/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

41-32

A24/06

NBL1 South

88.3Avg total

44.1Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.7	43.0	85.6	-0.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	42.1	83.7	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	43.8	87.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	44.2	88.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	44.6	87.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	40.7	43.0	83.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	44.4	46.4	90.8	-2.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.6	55%	-

This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.5	42.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.7	40.1	+0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.8	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.3	18.9	42.2	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	18.9	43.4	+5.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	15.4	42.8	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.0	17.2	43.2	+8.8	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.5	41.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	22.0	41.7	-2.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.9	25.1	45.0	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.5	81.2	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	40.0	83.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	38.9	78.5	+0.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.4	83.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	43.2	83.8	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.8	41.4	80.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.2	39.5	80.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.0	38.1	82.1	+5.9	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.9	40.9	83.8	+2.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	42.1	83.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	39.9	84.5	+4.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	38.1	84.5	+8.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	36.0	83.8	+11.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.5	42.2	81.7	-2.7	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.8	44.2	86.1	-2.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.9	36.6	82.5	+9.3	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Eltham wins

Waverley wins

Date	Game	Score
10/07/22	Waverley v Eltham	74-70
21/05/22	Eltham v Waverley	82-94
27/06/21	Waverley v Eltham	108-94
06/04/19	Eltham v Waverley	84-89

Elthamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/06/23	A	Geelong	81-96
24/06/23	H	Knox	67-103
18/06/23	A	Bendigo Braves	84-91 OT
17/06/23	A	Frankston	78-90
03/06/23	H	Casey Cavaliers	114-66
27/05/23	A	NW Tasmania	86-94 OT
26/05/23	A	Hobart Chargers	87-70
20/05/23	H	Ringwood	104-99 OT
13/05/23	H	Melbourne Tigers	100-91
07/05/23	H	Dandenong	99-76

Waverleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/06/23	A	Casey Cavaliers	90-54
18/06/23	H	Hobart Chargers	95-87
04/06/23	H	Kilsyth	93-90
03/06/23	A	Bendigo Braves	97-80
28/05/23	H	Keilor Thunder	77-92
21/05/23	A	Knox	90-86
20/05/23	A	Ballarat	108-95
14/05/23	H	Dandenong	87-79
12/05/23	A	Mt Gambier	77-71
07/05/23	H	NW Tasmania	91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	59%
Home	WWWWL	88%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	59%	88%	33%
Points / game	89.4	96.9	82.8
Allowed / game	83.6	80.6	86.3
Point differential	+5.8	+16.2	-3.6
Avg total	173.1	177.5	169.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	62%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	18%	12%	22%

Waverley

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	62%
Home	WWLWW	50%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	62%	50%	75%
Points / game	86.1	82.5	89.6
Allowed / game	84.4	84.4	84.4
Point differential	+1.7	-1.9	+5.2
Avg total	170.4	166.9	174.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	0%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	17	13	4	76%	88.2	75.5	+12.7
2	Frankston	17	13	4	76%	93.1	83.8	+9.2
3	Sandringham Sabres	17	13	4	76%	92.8	84.5	+8.3
4	Mt Gambier	16	11	5	69%	95.2	87.7	+7.5
5	Waverley	16	10	6	62%	86.1	84.4	+1.7
6	Nunawading	17	10	7	59%	90.4	84.4	+6.1
7	Eltham	17	10	7	59%	89.4	83.6	+5.8
8	Diamond Valley	17	10	7	59%	87.9	87.5	+0.4
9	Geelong	16	8	8	50%	89.4	88.7	+0.7
10	Ballarat	17	8	9	47%	92.1	94.1	-2.1
11	Melbourne Tigers	17	8	9	47%	84.2	87.1	-2.9
12	Bendigo Braves	17	8	9	47%	88.3	93.1	-4.8
13	Kilsyth	17	7	10	41%	88.2	89.8	-1.6
14	Hobart Chargers	17	7	10	41%	83.6	86.9	-3.2
15	Keilor Thunder	17	7	10	41%	86.9	93.2	-6.4
16	NW Tasmania	17	7	10	41%	81.6	89.1	-7.5
17	Ringwood	18	5	13	28%	88.9	94.1	-5.2
18	Casey Cavaliers	17	3	14	18%	74.3	86.8	-12.5
19	Dandenong	18	3	15	17%	86.4	91.4	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Eltham	26	25	24	23	98
Waverley	18	25	23	28	94

← all games of the day

Eltham vs Waverley Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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