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Eltham vs Waverley Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 94-89
19-28 26-25 29-18 20-18
Position#2
Record10-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game83.1
Eltham 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#12
Record11-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game87.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Eltham v Waverley
05 Jul 2025
ELTH97
WAVE92
04 Jul 2024
ELTH94
WAVE89
22 Jul 2023
ELTH97
WAVE68
30 Jun 2023
ELTH98
WAVE94
21 May 2022
ELTH82
WAVE94
06 Apr 2019
ELTH84
WAVE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H12/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H18/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H26/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A01/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H02/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
100-71
100
71
+29
A15/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
93-96
93
96
-3
H22/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A29/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
20-17
14-21
25-17
27-21
16-21
24-22
18-26
27-26
21-21
21-22
22-20
24-16
21-23
11-24
18-22
20-19
24-18
18-31
18-19
19-11
23-22
36-15
14-22
25-22
20-14
25-24
30-11
22-28
30-14
25-26
16-28
17-23
22-21
25-22
26-19
11-25
19-16
27-24
26-15
172.2Avg total
88.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.183.1172.1+6.056%
Season at home (9)91.180.0171.1+11.156%
Season away (9)87.086.1173.1+0.956%
Last 10 (10)88.383.9172.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)91.680.4172.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.093.5167.5-19.50%
vs Similar (7)89.390.3179.6-1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.979.7168.6+9.257%
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
110-75
110
75
+35
H04/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H18/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
117-77
117
77
+40
H26/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A01/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
84-110
84
110
-26
H07/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A15/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
91-98
91
98
-7
H16/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H22/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A01/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-25
25-15
36-10
30-19
12-25
21-19
20-20
17-23
24-22
25-23
21-14
34-15
17-23
27-16
39-23
29-27
26-27
27-15
22-22
24-32
21-25
18-28
21-25
30-22
21-26
24-25
27-24
25-25
29-28
15-28
22-17
29-19
15-24
17-30
26-22
27-19
22-26
15-12
36-17
187.0Avg total
98.0Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)93.687.5181.1+6.161%
Season at home (10)91.786.3178.0+5.450%
Season away (8)96.089.0185.0+7.075%
Last 10 (10)98.089.0187.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)92.894.8187.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.891.0171.8-10.217%
vs Similar (9)89.388.1177.4+1.267%
vs Weaker (15)95.384.4179.7+10.967%
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +7.6+7.6
ElthamWaverley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H12/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H26/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A01/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H02/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H22/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/06
NBL1 South
83.6Avg total
43.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.686.1+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.239.388.5+9.973%-
Last 30 away (15)39.744.083.7-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.583.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.547.082.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (7)43.347.690.9-4.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.739.184.8+6.567%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H18/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H26/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A01/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H07/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H16/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H22/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A01/07
NBL1 South
95.8Avg total
48.1Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.390.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.944.389.2+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.846.491.1-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)48.147.795.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.649.297.8-0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.047.586.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (9)46.345.391.7+1.067%-
vs Weaker (15)46.344.390.7+2.060%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Eltham wins
4
Waverley wins
DateGameScore
22/07/23Eltham v Waverley97-68
30/06/23Eltham v Waverley98-94
10/07/22Waverley v Eltham74-70
21/05/22Eltham v Waverley82-94
27/06/21Waverley v Eltham108-94
06/04/19Eltham v Waverley84-89
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/24ABendigo Braves83-80
28/06/24ASandringham Sabres90-85
22/06/24HNW Tasmania93-96
15/06/24ACasey Cavaliers100-71
02/06/24HGeelong92-70
01/06/24ADiamond Valley80-87
26/05/24HHobart Chargers74-85
24/05/24AMt Gambier91-89
18/05/24HSandringham Sabres85-90
12/05/24HKnox95-86 OT
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/24ARingwood100-74
22/06/24HCasey Cavaliers87-95
16/06/24HBallarat91-98
15/06/24ADiamond Valley102-97
07/06/24HSandringham Sabres84-110
01/06/24ANunawading104-91
26/05/24HNW Tasmania117-77
18/05/24HKilsyth87-82
11/05/24AKnox98-91 OT
04/05/24HBendigo Braves110-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game89.191.187.0
Allowed / game83.180.086.1
Point differential+6.0+11.1+0.9
Avg total172.1171.1173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Waverley
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%50%75%
Points / game93.691.796.0
Allowed / game87.586.389.0
Point differential+6.1+5.4+7.0
Avg total181.1178.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1915479%89.279.9+9.3
2 Sandringham Sabres1813572%94.180.5+13.6
3 Ballarat1913668%91.186.0+5.1
4 Dandenong1912763%85.283.6+1.5
5 Frankston1811761%92.484.2+8.2
6 Waverley1811761%93.687.5+6.1
7 Keilor Thunder1811761%88.389.7-1.4
8 Knox1911858%94.482.2+12.2
9 Hobart Chargers1911858%81.980.5+1.4
10 Eltham1810856%89.183.1+6.0
11 Nunawading20101050%85.085.3-0.3
12 Geelong189950%79.784.2-4.4
13 NW Tasmania1981142%82.589.8-7.3
14 Bendigo Braves1971237%80.086.7-6.7
15 Melbourne Tigers1971237%75.482.5-7.1
16 Ringwood2161529%84.190.3-6.1
17 Kilsyth1851328%78.185.9-7.9
18 Diamond Valley1851328%84.894.6-9.8
19 Casey Cavaliers1931616%78.789.9-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham1926292094
Waverley2825181889
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