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Eltham W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 64-89
13-25 14-21 19-20 18-23
Position#19
Record3-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#4
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game71.4
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Eltham W v Keilor Thunder W
21 Jun 2025
ELTH64
KEIL89
30 Apr 2023
ELTH82
KEIL62
16 Jul 2022
ELTH80
KEIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eltham WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
55-92
55
92
-37
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
17-21
17-29
16-15
23-31
28-21
18-25
24-27
18-25
25-23
21-9
17-29
16-25
22-24
17-21
18-14
25-20
17-16
13-23
22-23
15-13
19-25
28-25
15-27
13-28
26-30
19-20
26-26
15-24
10-20
15-21
15-27
20-20
18-19
26-21
18-21
14-16
18-24
25-13
8-20
165.1Avg total
76.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.484.6160.1-9.221%
Season at home (6)76.288.8165.0-12.717%
Season away (8)74.981.5156.4-6.625%
Last 10 (10)76.788.4165.1-11.710%
Last 5 (5)72.688.0160.6-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.681.3155.9-6.729%
vs Similar (8)77.582.0159.5-4.525%
vs Weaker (8)82.080.2162.2+1.862%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
12-13
17-14
11-14
20-16
21-7
15-19
20-8
30-24
11-16
24-15
24-11
29-16
24-16
26-14
16-21
16-19
16-22
8-21
18-23
17-14
27-19
13-12
12-14
23-24
24-21
16-15
19-22
26-15
14-12
25-20
23-19
27-24
15-21
33-8
16-27
31-23
26-14
13-11
23-22
148.9Avg total
80.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.971.4152.4+9.586%
Season at home (7)84.667.4152.0+17.1100%
Season away (7)77.375.4152.7+1.971%
Last 10 (10)80.668.3148.9+12.390%
Last 5 (5)86.672.2158.8+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.590.5146.0-35.00%
vs Similar (9)71.267.9139.1+3.378%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.469.7155.1+15.795%
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
Eltham WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Eltham WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
83.7Avg total
38.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.781.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.944.885.7-3.831%-
Last 30 away (17)40.137.677.7+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.883.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.877.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.139.677.8-1.536%-
vs Similar (8)41.841.883.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (8)43.141.684.8+1.550%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston W
#7
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
77.3Avg total
42.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.477.4+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.235.378.6+7.988%-
Last 30 away (14)38.437.776.1+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.977.3+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.483.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.551.586.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (9)35.634.870.3+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.235.679.8+8.679%-
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Eltham W wins
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
Eltham Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/25ASandringham W65-73
14/06/25HBendigo Braves W82-81
31/05/25HDiamond Valley W55-92
24/05/25HGeelong W84-104
17/05/25ALaunceston W77-90
16/05/25AHobart Chargers W77-82
10/05/25AKilsyth W73-84
04/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W81-86
03/05/25ADiamond Valley W93-104
26/04/25HBallarat W80-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HBallarat W93-70
06/06/25AMelbourne Tigers W91-80
31/05/25HCasey Cavaliers W88-66
24/05/25HKilsyth W92-86 OT
17/05/25HWaverley W69-59
10/05/25AKnox W58-85
03/05/25HNunawading W95-67
26/04/25ALaunceston W89-66
25/04/25AHobart Chargers W76-50
13/04/25HFrankston W55-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %21%17%25%
Points / game75.476.274.9
Allowed / game84.688.881.5
Point differential-9.2-12.7-6.6
Avg total160.1165.0156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game80.984.677.3
Allowed / game71.467.475.4
Point differential+9.5+17.1+1.9
Avg total152.4152.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W15150100%89.767.1+22.6
2 Keilor Thunder W1412286%80.971.4+9.5
3 Knox W1613381%80.467.6+12.8
4 Dandenong Rangers W1511473%85.771.8+13.9
5 Diamond Valley W1510567%85.477.9+7.5
6 Waverley W1510567%76.469.8+6.6
7 Frankston W1610662%76.470.0+6.4
8 Melbourne Tigers W159660%79.775.3+4.4
9 Ringwood W168850%77.976.1+1.9
10 Sandringham W157847%78.280.5-2.3
11 Nunawading W157847%69.175.0-5.9
12 Mt. Gambier W1661038%69.275.9-6.6
13 Casey Cavaliers W1551033%72.980.8-7.9
14 Ballarat W1551033%71.582.9-11.3
15 Kilsyth W1541127%68.980.7-11.9
16 Hobart Chargers W1641225%70.381.5-11.2
17 Eltham W1431121%75.484.6-9.2
18 Launceston W1531220%72.180.9-8.9
19 Bendigo Braves W1731418%72.081.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham W1314191864
Keilor Thunder W2521202389
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