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Knox W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 85-58
19-16 22-16 21-8 23-18
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game69.1
Knox W 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#4
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game69.2
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Knox W v Keilor Thunder W
09 Aug 2025
KNOX80
KEIL73
10 May 2025
KNOX85
KEIL58
13 Jul 2024
KNOX73
KEIL64
17 Jun 2023
KNOX89
KEIL58
14 Aug 2022
KNOX64
KEIL58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H27/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A17/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
16-11
18-22
25-16
19-26
19-25
18-17
22-18
21-17
24-18
13-17
15-25
12-11
22-8
21-16
21-12
22-22
22-19
23-14
28-18
14-30
18-17
29-18
30-14
20-19
14-19
21-21
21-20
19-21
13-13
26-14
24-23
18-14
19-17
28-18
21-12
40-14
17-10
22-21
21-29
154.1Avg total
83.0Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.669.1155.7+17.486%
Season at home (4)87.267.8155.0+19.5100%
Season away (3)85.771.0156.7+14.767%
Last 10 (10)83.071.1154.1+11.970%
Last 5 (5)87.072.8159.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.071.4156.4+13.681%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#5
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H10/08
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
53-96
53
96
-43
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
23-18
26-19
26-17
29-21
19-29
13-20
21-17
32-17
15-17
18-21
25-19
28-23
29-17
24-13
19-17
25-23
12-21
22-19
25-14
23-38
14-24
8-6
8-28
15-13
12-13
17-14
11-14
20-16
21-7
15-19
20-8
30-24
11-16
24-15
24-11
29-16
24-16
26-14
16-21
153.6Avg total
82.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.269.2149.5+11.088%
Season at home (3)83.363.7147.0+19.7100%
Season away (5)78.472.6151.0+5.880%
Last 10 (10)82.071.6153.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)73.666.6140.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)53.096.0149.0-43.00%
vs Similar (7)68.767.4136.1+1.371%
vs Weaker (22)81.765.5147.1+16.291%
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
Knox WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A17/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
72.9Avg total
38.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.580.5+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.838.080.8+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)43.436.880.2+6.669%-
Last 10 (10)38.334.672.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.873.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)38.034.372.3+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.637.881.4+5.870%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/08
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
82.2Avg total
43.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.135.776.8+5.469%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.635.078.6+8.688%-
Last 30 away (13)38.036.574.5+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.082.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.676.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.062.099.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (7)33.433.667.0-0.157%-
vs Weaker (21)43.935.179.0+8.776%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Knox W wins
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HHobart Chargers W100-74
26/04/25ABendigo Braves W86-61
25/04/25HCasey Cavaliers W82-71
17/04/25ASandringham W76-79
08/04/25HWaverley W91-79
05/04/25ADiamond Valley W95-73
29/03/25HKilsyth W76-47
27/07/24HBallarat W73-77
20/07/24HMt. Gambier W78-86
13/07/24HKeilor Thunder W73-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HNunawading W95-67
26/04/25ALaunceston W89-66
25/04/25AHobart Chargers W76-50
13/04/25HFrankston W55-54
11/04/25ADandenong Rangers W53-96
05/04/25ABendigo Braves W84-77
30/03/25HMt. Gambier W100-70
29/03/25ADiamond Valley W90-74
10/08/24HWaverley W82-87
03/08/24HBallarat W96-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game86.687.285.7
Allowed / game69.167.871.0
Point differential+17.4+19.5+14.7
Avg total155.7155.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game80.283.378.4
Allowed / game69.263.772.6
Point differential+11.0+19.7+5.8
Avg total149.5147.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W880100%91.866.5+25.2
2 Keilor Thunder W87188%80.269.2+11.0
3 Knox W76186%86.669.1+17.4
4 Waverley W86275%77.469.8+7.6
5 Dandenong Rangers W85362%83.872.2+11.5
6 Diamond Valley W85362%85.282.2+3.0
7 Frankston W74357%74.069.3+4.7
8 Melbourne Tigers W74357%82.078.6+3.4
9 Sandringham W95456%77.677.4+0.1
10 Nunawading W95456%70.472.2-1.8
11 Ringwood W84450%77.571.5+6.0
12 Casey Cavaliers W84450%71.077.0-6.0
13 Ballarat W83538%72.179.9-7.8
14 Mt. Gambier W93633%68.680.1-11.6
15 Kilsyth W93633%66.679.1-12.6
16 Hobart Chargers W103730%69.676.5-6.9
17 Eltham W82625%77.082.9-5.9
18 Bendigo Braves W92722%73.082.8-9.8
19 Launceston W100100%66.781.5-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox W1922212385
Keilor Thunder W161681858
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