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Melbourne Tigers W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 80-91
24-27 21-15 8-33 27-16
Position#8
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#4
Record10-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game70.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Keilor Thunder W
06 Jun 2025
MELB80
KEIL91
01 Jun 2024
MELB70
KEIL77
10 Jul 2022
MELB73
KEIL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
82-49
82
49
+33
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-23
29-19
16-14
27-19
18-20
18-33
18-18
22-18
20-27
22-18
18-17
23-18
16-24
19-24
21-29
25-18
23-25
9-21
29-17
29-21
13-6
21-7
19-15
16-14
12-18
18-11
22-19
28-19
23-18
18-23
14-12
32-18
17-27
22-16
14-16
15-11
10-26
16-18
15-24
155.3Avg total
79.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.776.4155.1+2.464%
Season at home (5)78.678.4157.0+0.260%
Season away (6)78.874.7153.5+4.267%
Last 10 (10)79.276.1155.3+3.170%
Last 5 (5)74.867.8142.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.681.9153.5-10.425%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.779.0154.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (11)81.979.5161.5+2.464%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
53-96
53
96
-43
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
12-21
22-19
25-14
23-38
14-24
8-6
8-28
15-13
12-13
17-14
11-14
20-16
21-7
15-19
20-8
30-24
11-16
24-15
24-11
29-16
24-16
26-14
16-21
16-19
16-22
8-21
18-23
17-14
27-19
13-12
12-14
23-24
24-21
16-15
19-22
26-15
14-12
25-20
23-19
146.5Avg total
75.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.170.8149.9+8.283%
Season at home (6)83.267.0150.2+16.2100%
Season away (6)75.074.7149.7+0.367%
Last 10 (10)75.970.6146.5+5.380%
Last 5 (5)80.472.6153.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.590.5146.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.866.4135.1+2.475%
vs Weaker (20)81.466.0147.4+15.595%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Melbourne Tigers WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
80.4Avg total
41.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.079.5-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.143.380.4-6.238%-
Last 30 away (17)39.739.278.9+0.559%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.080.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.674.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.742.778.4-7.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.736.073.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker (11)43.039.882.8+3.264%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
77.2Avg total
39.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.536.176.7+4.469%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.377.8+7.288%-
Last 30 away (13)38.137.275.2+0.946%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.377.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.678.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.551.586.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.833.568.2+1.262%-
vs Weaker (19)43.635.679.2+7.979%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
2
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25AGeelong W56-79
24/05/25ACasey Cavaliers W85-77
17/05/25ABendigo Braves W83-72
11/05/25HFrankston W68-62
10/05/25ABallarat W82-49
04/05/25AEltham W86-81
24/04/25HNunawading W79-95
13/04/25HDandenong Rangers W82-80
08/04/25ADiamond Valley W81-90
04/04/25HKilsyth W90-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25HCasey Cavaliers W88-66
24/05/25HKilsyth W92-86 OT
17/05/25HWaverley W69-59
10/05/25AKnox W58-85
03/05/25HNunawading W95-67
26/04/25ALaunceston W89-66
25/04/25AHobart Chargers W76-50
13/04/25HFrankston W55-54
11/04/25ADandenong Rangers W53-96
05/04/25ABendigo Braves W84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game78.778.678.8
Allowed / game76.478.474.7
Point differential+2.4+0.2+4.2
Avg total155.1157.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game79.183.275.0
Allowed / game70.867.074.7
Point differential+8.2+16.2+0.3
Avg total149.9150.2149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W12120100%90.866.6+24.2
2 Keilor Thunder W1210283%79.170.8+8.2
3 Knox W1310377%80.869.8+10.9
4 Dandenong Rangers W139469%83.271.7+11.5
5 Waverley W139469%76.769.3+7.4
6 Diamond Valley W128467%86.478.9+7.5
7 Melbourne Tigers W117464%78.776.4+2.4
8 Frankston W138562%74.368.3+6.0
9 Sandringham W116555%79.476.2+3.2
10 Ringwood W137654%77.572.3+5.2
11 Nunawading W136746%68.174.0-5.9
12 Mt. Gambier W135838%70.976.0-5.1
13 Casey Cavaliers W124833%69.678.5-8.9
14 Ballarat W124833%70.282.8-12.7
15 Hobart Chargers W134931%70.878.2-7.4
16 Kilsyth W1331023%68.581.2-12.7
17 Bendigo Braves W1431121%70.781.7-11.0
18 Eltham W1221017%75.885.9-10.2
19 Launceston W1321115%70.480.8-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W242182780
Keilor Thunder W2715331691
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